Ragged-Manner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.55K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.9%

Resolved

219

Trades

255

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 11-02 13:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Sports

89% 12% -$41

Crypto

11% 84% -$1,502

Other

0% 36% -$4

Politics

0% 25% -$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		-2	-$2	99¢	$-2	$0	05-18 02:15
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+2	$1	76¢	$1	+$0	08-24 15:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$4.9K	2,503	2,503	+0	No	-$3	06-18 12:01
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$4.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$2	06-18 16:16
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$4.9K	2,498	2,498	+0	No	-$2	06-18 16:26
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$4.9K	2,490	2,490	+0	No	-$2	06-18 16:33
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 15:45 UTC	1	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	Up	-$1,500	02-09 15:23
nba sac gsw 2026 04 07 spread home 15pt5	2	$1.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	Kings	-$29	04-07 13:47
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	5	$776	129,281	129,281	+0	No	+$0	02-13 11:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$11	14	0	+14	No	+$3	10-14 16:34
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$11	18	0	+18	No	-$11	09-30 16:39
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$7	18	0	+18	Yes	+$11	09-30 16:39
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	2	$5	8	0	+8	No	-$5	07-14 11:04
ethereum above 1900 on july 22 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	07-22 14:23
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	2	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	07-14 11:03
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:50 UTC	5	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	02-25 13:53
cricipl raj mum 2026 04 07	3	$3	8	8	+0	Rajasthan Royals	-$1	04-07 18:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$3	15	0	+15	Up	-$3	05-18 02:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 11:20 UTC	2	$3	10	0	+10	Down	-$1	08-15 11:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:50 UTC	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	02-25 13:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 14:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	05-18 02:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$2	69	0	+69	No	-$2	05-28 16:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?	1	$2	20	0	+20	Yes	-$2	05-30 14:58
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	2	$2	19	0	+19	No	-$2	11-02 13:45
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	1	$2	4	0	+4	Gujarat Titans	+$2	05-28 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$2	13	0	+13	Down	-$2	04-26 10:19
bitcoin above 62k on august 7 2026	2	$2	14	0	+14	Yes	-$1	08-07 12:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:35 UTC	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	02-25 13:39
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	07-01 14:42
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:40 UTC	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	-$1	02-25 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:40 UTC	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	02-25 13:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 13:45:21	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x596e14…
11-02 13:40:00	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x88563f…
10-14 16:34:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x266609…
10-10 16:21:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x45fa38…
10-10 14:02:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x30e544…
09-30 16:39:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xbffa5a…
09-30 16:39:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x5e6157…
09-27 14:12:50	nfl kc mia 2026 09 27	Chiefs	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4f6704…
09-17 11:02:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x162a9f…
09-05 15:43:33	bitcoin above 78k on september 6 2026	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x0d1816…
09-05 15:43:22	bitcoin above 78k on september 6 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1b7ccf…
08-24 15:53:10	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc27126…
08-15 11:24:34	bitcoin above 64k on august 15 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x294e1e…
08-15 11:23:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7476e8…
08-15 11:22:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6c74e4…
08-07 12:09:27	bitcoin above 62k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x978cf3…
08-05 10:33:03	bitcoin above 62k on august 7 2026	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x261c22…
08-05 10:32:50	bitcoin above 62k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xae5b92…
08-04 17:07:26	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x96ee24…
07-29 14:52:26	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x30a02d…
07-26 10:01:10	bitcoin above 64k on july 26 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x027a95…
07-22 14:23:16	ethereum above 1900 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3bf052…
07-21 10:12:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x98a41b…
07-19 14:25:12	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4aa298…
07-15 11:42:22	Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x66671b…
07-15 11:40:20	Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8ab459…
07-14 11:04:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xa8d4e7…
07-14 11:03:41	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x8e0d5f…
07-14 11:03:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcbc397…
07-14 11:02:04	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x15f300…
07-12 14:12:07	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc98996…
07-12 14:11:11	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$1	0xac43aa…
07-03 15:12:31	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7e5b34…
07-01 14:42:05	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3da11f…
06-18 16:33:13	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2,490	98¢	$2,448	0x8b5eb9…
06-18 16:29:10	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2,490	98¢	$2,450	0x6ce8d4…
06-18 16:26:26	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2,498	98¢	$2,455	0xe82952…
06-18 16:21:32	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2,498	98¢	$2,458	0xb5dc22…
06-18 16:16:56	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2,500	98¢	$2,458	0x57455e…
06-18 16:08:58	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2,500	98¢	$2,460	0x1b6fa1…
06-18 12:01:19	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2,503	99¢	$2,467	0x5d8aab…
06-18 11:55:11	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2,503	99¢	$2,470	0x5cc7eb…
06-14 05:57:01	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x282229…
06-02 16:19:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x56154e…
06-02 16:19:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x59f59f…
05-30 14:58:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xaf79a3…
05-28 16:26:09	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	Gujarat Titans	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3235d1…
05-28 16:20:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xe106ff…
05-24 11:15:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd6528d…
05-24 11:15:08	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb93e2a…
05-24 11:13:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe59fb7…
05-24 11:13:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe33adb…
05-18 02:15:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xf8282c…
05-18 02:14:45	BNB Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ef76f…
05-18 02:14:38	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x12c1c5…
05-18 02:14:31	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5de27f…
05-18 02:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x417e34…
05-18 02:13:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x787081…
05-18 02:13:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xddb354…
05-18 02:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd5a74a…
05-16 11:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfca292…
05-16 11:54:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2bc56c…
05-14 10:29:56	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x302a9a…
05-14 10:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaaf579…
05-14 10:29:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb75000…
05-12 10:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0c216f…
05-10 16:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x64233d…
05-10 16:04:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x40773d…
05-08 13:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x97c09a…
05-08 13:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbd9d3e…
05-08 13:48:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xad6b22…
04-26 10:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa19b9d…
04-26 10:44:54	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec0c24…
04-26 10:40:08	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfd20d0…
04-26 10:39:52	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9160f…
04-26 10:39:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe7037…
04-26 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4cfffe…
04-26 10:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9ef04e…
04-26 10:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8c1449…
04-26 10:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x53eff2…
04-26 10:02:12	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7c55aa…
04-26 09:58:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1f4ebf…
04-21 11:06:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9617bb…
04-07 18:04:59	cricipl raj mum 2026 04 07	Mumbai Indians	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x08a09f…
04-07 18:03:33	cricipl raj mum 2026 04 07	Mumbai Indians	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xabdde7…
04-07 18:01:19	cricipl raj mum 2026 04 07	Mumbai Indians	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe9deef…
04-07 13:47:23	nba sac gsw 2026 04 07 spread home 15pt5	Warriors	SELL	1,500	43¢	$646	0x451f2b…
04-07 13:46:31	nba sac gsw 2026 04 07 spread home 15pt5	Warriors	BUY	1,500	45¢	$675	0xf9e087…
04-07 10:43:43	cs2 esc1 sta6 2026 04 07	STATE	BUY	1,002	0¢	$1	0x273cea…
04-07 03:28:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb99404…
04-02 17:03:15	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x408bc3…
04-02 17:02:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9dab2d…
04-02 17:02:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf6678b…
04-02 17:02:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7a60ad…
04-02 17:02:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x36472e…
04-02 16:59:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b29b8…
04-02 16:58:59	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf108e0…
04-02 16:58:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc344b…
04-02 16:58:17	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x54676d…
04-02 16:54:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2674a4…