Sudden-Gateway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$199

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-23 09:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

49% 74% +$197

Crypto

48% 86% +$1

Politics

3% 80% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$472	236	236	+0	No	+$0	05-06 10:18
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$352	352	0	+352	No	+$0	02-28 12:20
bitcoin above 78k on march 17	1	$240	240	0	+240	No	+$0	03-17 12:31
ethereum above 1700 on march 20	1	$238	238	0	+238	Yes	+$0	03-19 12:53
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$236	236	0	+236	No	+$0	04-24 11:13
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	1	$235	235	0	+235	No	+$0	04-17 13:20
will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 10m and 15m	1	$235	235	0	+235	Yes	+$0	04-20 10:50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$233	233	0	+233	No	+$0	05-13 12:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	1	$233	233	0	+233	Yes	+$0	05-06 10:25
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	1	$232	232	0	+232	No	+$0	06-03 10:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$232	232	0	+232	No	+$0	05-08 10:23
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 4?	1	$232	232	0	+232	No	+$0	06-04 13:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	1	$232	232	0	+232	Yes	+$0	05-25 12:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	2	$231	231	0	+231	Yes	+$0	05-21 11:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	1	$231	231	0	+231	Yes	+$0	05-24 12:46
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	1	$207	207	0	+207	No	+$0	04-01 10:19
bitcoin above 64k on march 5	1	$203	203	0	+203	Yes	+$0	03-05 10:55
meta above 600 on april 3 2026	1	$194	194	0	+194	No	+$0	04-03 12:26
ethereum above 1800 on april 7	1	$178	178	0	+178	Yes	+$0	04-07 13:34
ethereum above 1700 on february 15	1	$166	166	0	+166	Yes	+$0	02-14 10:38
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 165 189	1	$166	166	0	+166	No	+$0	03-09 11:00
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 61forbelow	1	$151	151	0	+151	No	+$0	04-12 10:00
highest temperature in nyc on january 6 35forbelow	1	$148	148	0	+148	No	+$0	01-05 12:53
ethereum above 3400 on january 9	1	$148	148	0	+148	No	+$0	01-09 12:25
bitcoin above 86k on january 13	1	$146	146	0	+146	Yes	+$0	01-13 10:36
will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	1	$145	145	0	+145	No	+$0	03-30 10:54
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 18	1	$145	145	0	+145	No	+$0	01-18 12:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	1	$143	145	0	+145	No	+$1	03-13 13:15
bitcoin above 78k on april 15	1	$132	133	0	+133	No	+$1	04-15 10:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$130	78	78	+0	No	$0	01-29 13:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 09:20:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xad3051…
09-09 11:59:10	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe6fa7c…
09-09 11:55:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x07883a…
08-06 16:30:48	Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd0fd55…
07-17 08:18:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9b00d7…
06-04 13:18:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 4?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0xb10ffd…
06-03 10:14:35	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0xa9f82e…
05-25 12:35:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0x6f9d80…
05-24 12:46:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0x707dc3…
05-21 11:40:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x86c8ce…
05-21 11:32:59	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$2	0xca765b…
05-21 11:32:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xcbcb82…
05-13 12:17:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0x4528a4…
05-08 10:23:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0x459f30…
05-08 10:15:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1a6289…
05-06 10:25:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0x9d7f9a…
05-06 10:20:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xd1743f…
05-06 10:18:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0xeaeee3…
05-03 08:23:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd21af2…
04-30 13:42:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0xc26e4d…
04-24 11:13:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x23d841…
04-20 10:50:18	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 10m and 15m	Yes	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0x33b4f1…
04-17 13:20:12	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	No	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0x8e7957…
04-15 11:04:56	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2700 on april 16	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x7d9c7d…
04-15 10:54:36	bitcoin above 66k on april 16	No	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x81359d…
04-15 10:54:10	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0x4694b2…
04-15 10:43:58	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 115 139	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd506a9…
04-12 10:36:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x5a00db…
04-12 10:00:03	highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 61forbelow	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x9b6286…
04-07 13:47:55	ethereum above 2200 on april 7	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x5eb55b…
04-07 13:38:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 7	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe34955…
04-07 13:34:29	ethereum above 1800 on april 7	Yes	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x0b6254…
04-03 12:34:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 3	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xaa6d9e…
04-03 12:28:03	amzn above 205 on april 3 2026	No	BUY	337	0¢	$1	0x667919…
04-03 12:26:17	meta above 600 on april 3 2026	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0xe98e47…
04-01 10:22:43	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x299bc9…
04-01 10:20:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1fd12e…
04-01 10:19:31	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	No	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0x92d769…
03-30 11:05:10	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x377e6a…
03-30 10:54:20	will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x07bedc…
03-19 12:53:55	ethereum above 1700 on march 20	Yes	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0xb2e664…
03-19 12:42:13	ethereum above 1900 on march 19	No	BUY	900	0¢	$2	0x7d298b…
03-17 12:31:43	bitcoin above 78k on march 17	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0xa3d1d7…
03-15 11:32:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xe20332…
03-15 11:31:23	bitcoin above 66k on march 16	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xd201f0…
03-13 13:27:29	highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x19c555…
03-13 13:17:21	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	Yes	BUY	467	0¢	$1	0xaba6ea…
03-13 13:15:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	145	99¢	$143	0x1636a8…
03-09 11:07:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 9	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x5642e8…
03-09 11:00:31	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 165 189	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xe0ea6f…
03-05 10:55:55	bitcoin above 64k on march 5	Yes	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x2c48f1…
03-05 10:23:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x8c6f4a…
02-28 12:20:15	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	352	100¢	$352	0x7d5bf0…
02-14 10:46:17	bitcoin above 60k on february 15	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xd872c5…
02-14 10:38:49	ethereum above 1700 on february 15	Yes	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x6bb342…
02-14 09:17:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 15	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xa01b54…
02-05 13:56:29	bitcoin above 78k on february 5	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x856802…
02-05 13:41:47	ethereum above 2400 on february 5	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xc3847e…
02-05 13:21:41	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x432a3f…
02-05 13:08:49	dota2 mouz gl 2026 02 05	GamerLegion	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xe27e4e…
02-02 10:50:30	bitcoin above 84k on february 2	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xac4bc1…
02-02 10:46:42	bitcoin above 82k on february 2	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x7b8c6e…
02-02 10:40:24	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xd1b505…
02-02 10:15:20	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x007a32…
01-29 13:56:02	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	78	83¢	$65	0x159279…
01-29 13:55:06	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	78	83¢	$65	0x4991d6…
01-29 13:53:08	ethereum above 3300 on january 30	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x93027e…
01-29 13:37:00	will grok be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb59d07…
01-29 13:22:02	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xfbdac0…
01-18 12:32:20	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 18	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xb23207…
01-13 10:36:49	bitcoin above 86k on january 13	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xdcb4c2…
01-13 10:28:43	elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 215 239	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xaa7ec4…
01-09 12:25:00	ethereum above 3400 on january 9	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x295c4f…
01-05 12:53:53	highest temperature in nyc on january 6 35forbelow	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xa49f8b…