Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$67

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-18 20:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% — —

Crypto

29% 60% $-54

Other

11% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes		+123	$49	55¢	$67	+$18	06-15 13:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$161	0	177	-177	open	—	06-15 00:57
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	3	$158	178	178	+0	open	—	05-23 22:04
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	3	$112	225	225	+0	open	—	05-24 15:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	4	$107	87	87	+0	open	—	06-02 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$99	412	0	+412	Down	$-99	05-11 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$77	117	0	+117	open	—	05-16 17:08
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	2	$73	150	150	+0	open	—	05-21 13:24
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$53	870	870	+0	open	—	05-17 20:38
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$50	82	0	+82	Cavaliers	+$33	05-11 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$49	72	0	+72	Up	+$22	05-11 15:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$49	123	0	+123	open	—	06-15 13:22
Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	1	$49	71	0	+71	open	—	05-24 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$49	70	0	+70	Down	+$20	05-11 19:28
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$36	557	557	+0	open	—	05-17 20:39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$28	37	37	+0	open	—	05-24 14:58
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-19 20:29
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5	1	$25	95	0	+95	open	—	05-20 15:56
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	1	$25	95	0	+95	open	—	06-04 15:52
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$25	65	0	+65	open	—	05-24 15:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$25	66	0	+66	open	—	06-18 20:00
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winner	1	$25	40	0	+40	open	—	05-21 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$24	46	0	+46	Down	+$22	05-12 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$19	60	0	+60	Down	$-19	05-11 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	05-19 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$10	62	0	+62	open	—	05-19 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-20 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$10	110	0	+110	open	—	05-28 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$10	990	0	+990	open	—	05-19 15:45
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-28 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$10	69	0	+69	open	—	05-28 18:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 20:00:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x275dd6…
06-15 19:30:33	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871	Yes	BUY	284	3¢	$10	0x68f67c…
06-15 13:22:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	123	40¢	$49	0x7f02ea…
06-15 00:57:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	177	91¢	$161	0xe72a3c…
06-04 15:52:34	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0x726ed8…
06-02 16:00:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x3a1c8f…
05-30 17:14:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xb7a34d…
05-29 13:49:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	330	1¢	$3	0x2036e5…
05-28 19:50:05	Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings	Las Vegas Aces	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf982d4…
05-28 19:33:54	Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	NIP	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xcc891c…
05-28 18:45:19	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf7b499…
05-28 18:41:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	55	48¢	$26	0xe2f596…
05-28 18:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0x40eb58…
05-28 17:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xdeab6f…
05-28 15:08:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0xc32473…
05-24 19:24:38	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$49	0x705be8…
05-24 15:07:32	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x1f7aef…
05-24 15:00:11	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	85	33¢	$28	0x3933bb…
05-24 14:58:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	37	8¢	$3	0x39ab90…
05-23 23:21:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xfa2077…
05-23 22:06:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	140	42¢	$59	0x99590a…
05-23 22:04:13	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	89	75¢	$67	0x833fdd…
05-23 22:03:08	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	89	75¢	$67	0x0c1afe…
05-21 13:27:07	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winner	paiN	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xdce799…
05-21 13:24:52	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	SELL	150	16¢	$23	0x2bffdc…
05-20 15:56:59	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0x12b908…
05-20 14:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x26d9e8…
05-20 14:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x7f1283…
05-19 20:29:04	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x51d014…
05-19 17:56:14	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x91645a…
05-19 17:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xc6e7b3…
05-19 17:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	495	1¢	$5	0xafb211…
05-19 17:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x12399d…
05-19 17:02:57	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0x0ecf80…
05-19 15:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xa4d825…
05-19 15:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	990	1¢	$10	0x8ae0ea…
05-18 15:01:22	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	178	14¢	$25	0x325e18…
05-17 20:41:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	330	2¢	$5	0x0db374…
05-17 20:41:19	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	225	11¢	$25	0xda52dc…
05-17 20:39:09	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	557	2¢	$11	0xd3c3af…
05-17 20:38:59	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	870	2¢	$18	0x7dfe6e…
05-17 16:36:17	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	341	3¢	$10	0xcd67cc…
05-16 18:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x005331…
05-16 17:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x643a20…
05-16 17:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	117	66¢	$77	0x301034…
05-16 14:31:31	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	557	4¢	$25	0x0ab325…
05-16 14:27:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	528	5¢	$25	0x86028c…
05-12 15:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0xed59e8…
05-11 20:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0x309f11…
05-11 19:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	412	24¢	$99	0x71869d…
05-11 19:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	70	71¢	$49	0x52d703…
05-11 15:52:47	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	82	60¢	$50	0xd0597c…
05-11 15:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$49	0xec7437…