Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
103
lifetime
Volume
$8.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$79
Open exposure
$601
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-29 17:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
51% 0% $-10
Crypto
46%
Other
3%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +676 $500 74¢ $500 +$0 06-19 16:37
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No -15 $-14 99¢ $-15 $-1 06-17 23:49
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-4 93¢ $-10 $-6 06-30 04:34
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +11 $10 91¢ $10 $-0 06-11 23:54
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 06-02 01:15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -11 $-11 88¢ $-10 +$1 06-17 23:50
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -9 $-7 85¢ $-7 $-0 06-18 00:20
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-7 90¢ $-7 $-0 06-18 00:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-6 $-0 06-18 00:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -6 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-18 00:21
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 +$0 06-17 23:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 06-18 00:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 88¢ $-5 +$0 06-18 00:21
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? No -3 $-3 100¢ $-3 +$0 06-28 20:54
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 00:21
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 31¢ $1 $-0 06-19 16:47