Lively-Cormorant — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved (7d)

357

Trades (7d)

1,025

53,739 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.33K

$133.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-01 16:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 177 days

Categories

Other

100% 52% +$5,238

Politics

0% 11% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 780 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		-18	-$16	96¢	$-17	-$1	05-23 20:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 29?	55	$477	1,006	1,006	+0	No	-$128	06-29 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?	51	$313	548	548	+0	Yes	+$55	06-26 18:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?	95	$276	757	757	+0	No	+$19	06-27 10:57
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or below on June 28?	30	$275	454	454	+0	No	-$14	06-28 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 28?	27	$251	451	451	+0	No	+$45	06-28 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?	47	$250	527	527	+0	Yes	+$18	06-26 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?	43	$233	568	568	+0	No	-$91	06-29 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 29?	52	$231	1,034	872	+161	No	-$65	06-29 05:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?	47	$224	373	373	+0	No	+$37	06-25 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 1?	39	$220	516	516	+0	No	-$20	07-01 04:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?	30	$196	497	397	+100	No	-$30	06-29 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 29?	31	$195	373	361	+13	No	+$28	06-29 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 29?	38	$195	302	302	+0	No	+$30	06-29 03:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?	67	$188	423	423	+0	No	+$27	06-25 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 1?	32	$180	439	434	+4	No	+$34	07-01 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on June 27?	61	$175	855	855	+0	No	+$0	06-27 11:01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?	74	$175	644	634	+10	No	-$26	06-29 17:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?	21	$170	411	311	+100	No	+$15	06-30 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 24?	34	$167	375	375	+0	No	+$33	06-24 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 4?	34	$166	357	357	+0	No	+$8	07-04 01:16
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	22	$163	261	261	+0	No	+$2	06-28 03:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?	28	$161	433	433	+0	No	-$14	06-26 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	23	$158	330	330	+0	Yes	+$1	07-04 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?	17	$157	290	290	+0	Yes	+$29	06-30 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?	52	$157	528	528	+0	No	-$43	06-27 03:41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?	30	$157	371	371	+0	No	-$23	06-25 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 28?	35	$156	508	88	+420	No	-$117	06-28 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	25	$155	214	214	+0	Yes	+$21	06-25 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 28?	24	$155	438	298	+140	No	-$18	06-28 00:35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 28?	10	$155	464	464	+0	No	+$15	06-28 05:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xfbb036…
11-01 17:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x05ec4c…
11-01 17:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe5b990…
11-01 17:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc83fab…
11-01 17:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x2b202c…
11-01 17:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on November 2?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xcf060c…
11-01 16:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x882d2c…
11-01 16:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xaa2d99…
11-01 16:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x402f29…
11-01 16:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xbd920c…
11-01 15:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x50ddb5…
11-01 15:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xfcc052…
11-01 15:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x230790…
11-01 15:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa2dcf1…
11-01 15:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x62d9db…
11-01 15:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x6c3da2…
11-01 14:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x2058af…
11-01 14:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x8613e9…
11-01 14:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xc685e2…
11-01 14:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0xafbc4a…
11-01 14:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0xa89980…
11-01 13:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x8fb607…
11-01 13:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 2?	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xcadb7a…
11-01 13:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0ca1e6…
11-01 13:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0xe5afc9…
11-01 12:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xf28996…
11-01 12:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x1040b9…
11-01 12:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xc73c09…
11-01 12:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x4740f5…
11-01 12:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x44ae9e…
11-01 12:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xdca1b9…
11-01 12:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x951f20…
11-01 12:07:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x960b9b…
11-01 12:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6608e7…
11-01 11:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x9d8a5f…
11-01 11:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x86597a…
11-01 11:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xb57c84…
11-01 11:10:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 2?	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0xb310a4…
11-01 11:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xbbd01a…
11-01 11:04:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 2?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x12ee6f…
11-01 11:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xb19745…
11-01 11:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xa39ecf…
11-01 10:53:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 2?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x49bc6f…
11-01 10:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xa581df…
11-01 10:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on November 2?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0xb4e0b3…
11-01 10:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x16d64c…
11-01 10:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x2ad313…
11-01 10:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x8db808…
11-01 10:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x3baa29…
11-01 09:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 2?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x52ac3a…
11-01 09:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x19419a…
11-01 09:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x0491dd…
11-01 08:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xb01c7c…
11-01 08:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x17f246…
11-01 08:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x38b1a5…
11-01 08:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x05092a…
11-01 08:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xcc7073…
11-01 08:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xb62608…
11-01 08:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xbebc6f…
11-01 08:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xf3dfaf…
11-01 08:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x790d10…
11-01 08:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x16eb09…
11-01 08:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xabea7b…
11-01 08:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xaeb560…
11-01 08:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x09fcc4…
11-01 07:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xe64615…
11-01 07:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 2?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x4a03b7…
11-01 07:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x53189a…
11-01 07:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0xfbfc63…
11-01 07:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xaf9361…
11-01 07:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 2?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x262908…
11-01 07:11:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x94679b…
11-01 06:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x819fc4…
11-01 06:55:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x9a724f…
11-01 06:47:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x58602e…
11-01 06:14:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xe11b15…
11-01 06:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x741727…
11-01 05:28:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x5b04af…
11-01 05:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xa2d16d…
11-01 05:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x1538ff…
11-01 05:17:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x8297e1…
11-01 04:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xbf830b…
11-01 04:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x7f9355…
11-01 04:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xa9aefe…
11-01 03:54:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	28	11¢	$3	0x348400…
11-01 03:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x127117…
11-01 03:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xe0000a…
11-01 03:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x87ebf2…
11-01 02:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x92b9af…
11-01 02:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x19ad3f…
11-01 02:50:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$1	0x876aa1…
11-01 02:43:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x69b750…
11-01 02:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbc4164…
11-01 02:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x245fa5…
11-01 02:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x730213…
11-01 02:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xaedb62…
11-01 01:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x783810…
11-01 00:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x4b6bbe…
11-01 00:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xa974f0…
11-01 00:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc5da98…