Lively-Cormorant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.22K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

11,913

Trades

53,984

lifetime

Volume

$134.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-06 00:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 182 days

Categories

Other

100% 52% +$5,239

Politics

0% 11% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 780 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-18	-$16	97¢	$-17	-$1	05-23 20:36
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on November 7?	Yes	+54	$2	4¢	$2	+$0	11-06 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 6?	Yes	+82	$1	2¢	$2	+$0	11-05 04:57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 7?	Yes	+27	$1	6¢	$2	+$0	11-06 01:20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 6?	Yes	+27	$1	3¢	$1	$0	11-05 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on November 5?	Yes	+6	$0	0¢	$0	$0	11-04 09:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 29?	55	$477	1,006	1,006	+0	No	-$128	06-29 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?	51	$313	548	548	+0	Yes	+$55	06-26 18:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?	95	$276	757	757	+0	No	+$19	06-27 10:57
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or below on June 28?	30	$275	454	454	+0	No	-$14	06-28 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 28?	27	$251	451	451	+0	No	+$45	06-28 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?	47	$250	527	527	+0	Yes	+$18	06-26 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?	43	$233	568	568	+0	No	-$91	06-29 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 29?	52	$231	1,034	872	+161	No	-$65	06-29 05:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?	47	$224	373	373	+0	No	+$37	06-25 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 1?	39	$220	516	516	+0	No	-$20	07-01 04:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?	30	$196	497	397	+100	No	-$30	06-29 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 29?	31	$195	373	361	+13	No	+$28	06-29 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 29?	38	$195	302	302	+0	No	+$30	06-29 03:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?	67	$188	423	423	+0	No	+$27	06-25 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 1?	32	$180	439	434	+4	No	+$34	07-01 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on June 27?	61	$175	855	855	+0	No	+$0	06-27 11:01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?	74	$175	644	634	+10	No	-$26	06-29 17:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?	21	$170	411	311	+100	No	+$15	06-30 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 24?	34	$167	375	375	+0	No	+$33	06-24 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 4?	34	$166	357	357	+0	No	+$8	07-04 01:16
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	22	$163	261	261	+0	No	+$2	06-28 03:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?	28	$161	433	433	+0	No	-$14	06-26 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	23	$158	330	330	+0	Yes	+$1	07-04 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?	17	$157	290	290	+0	Yes	+$29	06-30 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?	52	$157	528	528	+0	No	-$43	06-27 03:41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?	30	$157	371	371	+0	No	-$23	06-25 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 28?	35	$156	508	88	+420	No	-$117	06-28 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	25	$155	214	214	+0	Yes	+$21	06-25 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 28?	24	$155	438	298	+140	No	-$18	06-28 00:35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 28?	10	$155	464	464	+0	No	+$15	06-28 05:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 01:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0xb85071…
11-06 01:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x98b1ea…
11-06 01:20:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3b17e8…
11-06 01:20:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xc8b142…
11-06 01:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xb78692…
11-06 01:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xc997f7…
11-06 01:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xce3c0e…
11-06 01:19:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x2fbba7…
11-06 01:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x2d3154…
11-06 01:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x534775…
11-06 01:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xca9350…
11-06 01:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x1d9bff…
11-06 01:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x4373e1…
11-06 00:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 9°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x2b2af1…
11-05 15:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x2b31a1…
11-05 12:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0xee4859…
11-05 12:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x36a5fe…
11-05 12:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0xeb4ead…
11-05 12:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x1e5e2a…
11-05 07:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x71e086…
11-05 07:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x39f1da…
11-05 05:08:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x6aa691…
11-05 05:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	SELL	103	1¢	$1	0x8bd6d0…
11-05 04:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x529c20…
11-05 04:23:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x9e24c2…
11-05 04:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 5?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x221e26…
11-05 03:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 5?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xfb2330…
11-05 03:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	SELL	101	6¢	$6	0x02bfab…
11-05 02:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xaa56f0…
11-05 01:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xc96327…
11-05 00:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xc9ab8b…
11-04 23:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x138942…
11-04 23:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x08550d…
11-04 22:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x320dc7…
11-04 22:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x23e455…
11-04 22:22:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x46059a…
11-04 22:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x29f7ed…
11-04 22:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0xe7595f…
11-04 22:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0xa79727…
11-04 20:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x634d6e…
11-04 19:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x32e8e9…
11-04 17:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x2ed731…
11-04 17:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xfef381…
11-04 17:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc8c597…
11-04 16:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$1	0x386aa7…
11-04 16:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	36	15¢	$5	0x15e1db…
11-04 16:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x264a80…
11-04 15:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x88aedc…
11-04 15:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xdad4de…
11-04 14:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xae5da3…
11-04 14:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0xb77acb…
11-04 14:22:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xfe6e96…
11-04 13:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x210c89…
11-04 13:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xc217ea…
11-04 13:20:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x8b44a2…
11-04 12:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 9°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xfa509a…
11-04 12:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x49727c…
11-04 11:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x41a10c…
11-04 11:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x242d02…
11-04 11:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x73de14…
11-04 10:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xb32de4…
11-04 10:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x867df9…
11-04 09:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x1593d7…
11-04 08:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x90cd27…
11-04 08:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x44d62d…
11-04 07:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xdd68f2…
11-04 07:05:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x80a325…
11-04 06:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$3	0x31ecd1…
11-04 06:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xcb4b5e…
11-04 06:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x1d1fbe…
11-04 06:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x72f6d1…
11-04 06:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xca1489…
11-04 05:03:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xfcb5d1…
11-04 05:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$2	0x58a7c4…
11-04 04:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xefb405…
11-04 04:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xd67c4b…
11-04 04:22:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xfa63b3…
11-04 04:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x2f9932…
11-04 04:04:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x92fb3b…
11-04 03:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xbe6a2f…
11-04 03:10:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x9b060b…
11-04 02:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x72dca1…
11-04 02:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x5d629f…
11-04 02:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xdfa56f…
11-04 01:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x17e036…
11-04 01:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x580fef…
11-04 00:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xfc5a9f…
11-03 23:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0xe85076…
11-03 23:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xc501ed…
11-03 21:16:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0xf0bee7…
11-03 21:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x3f995d…
11-03 20:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0xada25b…
11-03 20:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xdb0df3…
11-03 20:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x3af700…
11-03 20:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa52efd…
11-03 20:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xd2f0cd…
11-03 19:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xd24e16…
11-03 19:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd3c317…
11-03 19:10:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa78f87…
11-03 17:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or higher on November 4?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x9b3f61…