Lively-Cormorant — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2.07K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved (90d)

6,546

Trades (90d)

27,042

50,843 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$49.3K

$125.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-03 17:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 179 days

Categories

Other

100% 52% +$5,237

Politics

0% 11% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 780 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		-18	-$16	96¢	$-17	-$1	05-23 20:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 29?	55	$477	1,006	1,006	+0	No	-$128	06-29 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?	51	$313	548	548	+0	Yes	+$55	06-26 18:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?	95	$276	757	757	+0	No	+$19	06-27 10:57
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or below on June 28?	30	$275	454	454	+0	No	-$14	06-28 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 28?	27	$251	451	451	+0	No	+$45	06-28 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?	47	$250	527	527	+0	Yes	+$18	06-26 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?	43	$233	568	568	+0	No	-$91	06-29 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 29?	52	$231	1,034	872	+161	No	-$65	06-29 05:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?	47	$224	373	373	+0	No	+$37	06-25 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 1?	39	$220	516	516	+0	No	-$20	07-01 04:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?	30	$196	497	397	+100	No	-$30	06-29 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 29?	31	$195	373	361	+13	No	+$28	06-29 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 29?	38	$195	302	302	+0	No	+$30	06-29 03:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?	67	$188	423	423	+0	No	+$27	06-25 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 1?	32	$180	439	434	+4	No	+$34	07-01 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on June 27?	61	$175	855	855	+0	No	+$0	06-27 11:01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?	74	$175	644	634	+10	No	-$26	06-29 17:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?	21	$170	411	311	+100	No	+$15	06-30 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 24?	34	$167	375	375	+0	No	+$33	06-24 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 4?	34	$166	357	357	+0	No	+$8	07-04 01:16
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	22	$163	261	261	+0	No	+$2	06-28 03:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?	28	$161	433	433	+0	No	-$14	06-26 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	23	$158	330	330	+0	Yes	+$1	07-04 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?	17	$157	290	290	+0	Yes	+$29	06-30 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?	52	$157	528	528	+0	No	-$43	06-27 03:41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?	30	$157	371	371	+0	No	-$23	06-25 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 28?	35	$156	508	88	+420	No	-$117	06-28 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	25	$155	214	214	+0	Yes	+$21	06-25 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 28?	24	$155	438	298	+140	No	-$18	06-28 00:35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 28?	10	$155	464	464	+0	No	+$15	06-28 05:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 17:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or higher on November 4?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x9b3f61…
11-03 17:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbe372f…
11-03 16:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x2e6706…
11-03 16:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x5e509b…
11-03 15:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x4c9863…
11-03 15:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x4a8e8a…
11-03 14:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x228408…
11-03 13:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x21fe17…
11-03 13:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xa63271…
11-03 13:19:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xff4da3…
11-03 13:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xe60810…
11-03 12:57:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x4238bf…
11-03 12:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x6425c9…
11-03 12:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x37ab22…
11-03 12:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x3cb34f…
11-03 12:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x3abf5a…
11-03 11:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x8c75ca…
11-03 11:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	61	4¢	$2	0xcf9838…
11-03 10:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x0b36a3…
11-03 09:58:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x333c17…
11-03 09:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x494e61…
11-03 09:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on November 4?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x9efc0d…
11-03 09:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x51245a…
11-03 09:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$0	0xf41e03…
11-03 08:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xc4cb1d…
11-03 08:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xfb7a94…
11-03 07:22:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x5d23ce…
11-03 07:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc13835…
11-03 07:04:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfd1c09…
11-03 06:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x01ee5c…
11-03 06:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xa4a369…
11-03 06:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on November 4?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xb38b11…
11-03 06:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x872dbc…
11-03 06:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x2dcca7…
11-03 06:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0xdb463e…
11-03 05:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0x2b56fa…
11-03 05:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x49d181…
11-03 05:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x91eac2…
11-03 05:02:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x31a5d9…
11-03 04:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x71dfb4…
11-03 03:55:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 3?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0xc12b14…
11-03 03:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0xe7b942…
11-03 03:09:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x31babf…
11-03 03:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x3aaa95…
11-03 02:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on November 4?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x39e7f3…
11-03 01:25:19	highest temperature in panama city on november 4 2026 32corhigher	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x25ff41…
11-03 01:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa06bd0…
11-03 01:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x17affd…
11-03 00:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x1fffe3…
11-02 23:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 3?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xcab704…
11-02 23:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	82	1¢	$0	0xacae06…
11-02 23:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0x96efdc…
11-02 22:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x44c4d5…
11-02 22:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xcda6ce…
11-02 22:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 3?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xa7d3c3…
11-02 22:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x3dcf19…
11-02 22:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0xc938c6…
11-02 22:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x58f689…
11-02 21:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xb62353…
11-02 21:05:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0xf2c4ed…
11-02 21:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x85a935…
11-02 20:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x475347…
11-02 20:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x6904ad…
11-02 20:18:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x3e09d1…
11-02 20:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x19ed94…
11-02 18:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x1564fe…
11-02 18:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb14295…
11-02 18:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x19fc7c…
11-02 17:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x4de091…
11-02 17:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or higher on November 4?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xef886a…
11-02 17:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	71	2¢	$2	0x7db9b9…
11-02 17:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$0	0x22c295…
11-02 17:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x87eb84…
11-02 17:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x98c52e…
11-02 16:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x2bf84c…
11-02 15:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x0edb0e…
11-02 15:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xc4cc2d…
11-02 15:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x5732e0…
11-02 15:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x29187e…
11-02 14:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xef3a8e…
11-02 14:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x4cfe88…
11-02 13:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x485dc5…
11-02 13:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x2d2edc…
11-02 13:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x6e784f…
11-02 12:56:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbcfb97…
11-02 12:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xd79a47…
11-02 12:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xd002c7…
11-02 12:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x0d8a3f…
11-02 12:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xfd50e2…
11-02 12:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xd65f5e…
11-02 11:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xc71115…
11-02 11:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x528563…
11-02 11:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xac380c…
11-02 10:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x152ef1…
11-02 09:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xe6581a…
11-02 09:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x26ad0b…
11-02 09:21:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x3bba92…
11-02 09:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x094e18…
11-02 08:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on November 2?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x97c12d…
11-02 08:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x145d82…