Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2.71K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved (90d)

1,809

Trades (90d)

6,493

10,431 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$308.1K

$500.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$63

6 positions

First seen

2026-07-01

last 10-31 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

96% 73% -$1,584

Politics

1% 80% -$23

Sports

1% 73% +$104

Crypto

1% 69% -$224

Pop-Culture

0% 67% -$60

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	Yes	+21	$14	87¢	$18	+$4	07-19 10:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+18	$15	82¢	$15	$0	09-05 20:14
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+13	$12	90¢	$12	+$0	08-25 08:05
China coup attempt before 2027?	No	+8	$8	97¢	$8	+$0	08-25 08:25
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	+8	$7	96¢	$8	+$0	08-25 08:24
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	No	+21	$5	13¢	$3	-$3	07-19 09:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol dnf fox1 2026 07 30 game2	20	$3.7K	2,088	2,088	+0	BNK FEARX	+$98	07-30 09:32
lol vfb khk 2026 07 30	13	$3.5K	1,822	1,822	+0	Kaufland Hangry Knights	+$32	07-30 20:16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	11	$3.5K	1,808	1,808	+0	No	+$124	08-21 03:55
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	46	$3.3K	2,642	2,537	+105	Yes	-$183	07-21 15:53
cs2 ldp bst 2026 07 31	22	$3.0K	1,697	1,697	+0	BESTIA	+$117	07-31 23:51
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	12	$2.9K	1,642	1,642	+0	No	+$56	08-06 21:17
cs2 lgc mibr 2026 09 12	15	$2.9K	2,015	2,015	+0	Legacy	+$325	09-12 09:36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	15	$2.9K	1,499	1,499	+0	No	-$9	08-22 17:19
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	17	$2.9K	2,206	2,206	+0	Yes	-$431	09-11 02:01
lol edg we 2026 07 30 game2	21	$2.8K	1,602	1,602	+0	Team WE	+$68	07-30 10:53
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	26	$2.5K	1,575	1,575	+0	Yes	+$205	08-27 02:54
cs2 g2 lgc 2026 09 13	19	$2.5K	2,016	2,016	+0	Legacy	+$425	09-13 12:24
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	14	$2.3K	1,323	1,323	+0	No	-$53	07-25 21:56
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	8	$2.2K	1,234	1,234	+0	No	+$30	07-25 04:34
cs2 bb3 g2 2026 09 12	13	$2.2K	1,957	1,775	+183	G2	+$107	09-12 14:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	14	$2.2K	1,150	1,150	+0	No	+$145	09-16 18:02
cs2 pain ast10 2026 07 30	31	$2.1K	2,026	1,848	+177	Astralis	+$59	07-31 20:12
lol nip wb 2026 07 30	4	$2.0K	1,047	1,047	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$10	07-30 08:39
val c9 loud 2026 07 31	47	$2.0K	1,663	1,663	+0	LOUD	+$119	07-31 23:57
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	25	$2.0K	1,358	1,358	+0	Yes	+$106	09-04 01:40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	26	$2.0K	1,198	1,198	+0	No	+$129	07-09 16:19
mlb sea lad 2026 07 29	3	$2.0K	996	996	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$12	07-30 04:45
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	9	$1.8K	1,003	1,003	+0	No	+$50	09-08 15:21
val g21 sen 2026 08 02	25	$1.8K	1,072	1,072	+0	G2 Esports	+$214	08-03 02:36
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	44	$1.8K	1,563	1,110	+453	Yes	+$390	07-28 13:24
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$11	09-09 10:07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	14	$1.7K	1,147	1,147	+0	Yes	+$39	07-27 09:07
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	21	$1.7K	933	933	+0	No	+$59	08-20 18:09
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	13	$1.7K	892	892	+0	No	-$27	09-04 02:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	9	$1.6K	932	932	+0	No	+$9	09-01 14:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x418cae…
10-31 17:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	78	39¢	$30	0xbcdb99…
10-31 15:46:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	285	73¢	$208	0xdd55a3…
10-31 13:32:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x49669a…
10-31 13:12:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xa4eb41…
10-31 12:42:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xf52bfa…
10-31 07:54:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x047cd0…
10-31 05:20:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x7e602c…
10-30 18:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	140	34¢	$48	0xa78ade…
10-30 15:22:04	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	184	5¢	$9	0xbc8451…
10-30 15:21:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	243	2¢	$5	0xb3ecd0…
10-30 14:13:45	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	97	29¢	$28	0xb1af4a…
10-30 13:43:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	330	82¢	$272	0x248821…
10-30 13:40:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x75396b…
10-30 11:56:49	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x272772…
10-30 10:05:43	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x66358f…
10-30 07:09:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	74¢	$139	0x5ef55a…
10-30 07:04:37	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x44269e…
10-30 07:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	99	95¢	$94	0x5394c5…
10-30 06:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x21c390…
10-30 06:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x973577…
10-30 02:55:49	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x0e54c6…
10-30 02:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x4d4779…
10-30 01:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x999a84…
10-30 01:52:19	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	72¢	$39	0xb9e6c9…
10-30 01:51:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0x152f26…
10-30 01:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xb12ae7…
10-29 16:11:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	173	79¢	$137	0x24581e…
10-29 16:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x92a52d…
10-29 16:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	113	37¢	$41	0xe733a6…
10-29 16:02:22	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0x5f654d…
10-29 16:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	95¢	$44	0x13912f…
10-29 15:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 29?	No	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x67ecc7…
10-29 14:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x804f82…
10-29 09:59:22	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0xf27703…
10-29 07:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	No	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x4d5f50…
10-29 04:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x8e6282…
10-29 03:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x93dddd…
10-29 03:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x81d1fa…
10-29 03:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x6b1fd9…
10-28 18:47:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	429	100¢	$428	0xf13406…
10-28 16:25:16	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x14b2db…
10-28 16:10:07	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xd858d1…
10-28 15:47:26	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x58560f…
10-28 15:33:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x8a113c…
10-28 15:33:10	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0x058fd4…
10-28 15:10:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xaeac64…
10-28 15:08:59	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0xe2ca90…
10-28 15:08:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$27	0xc052e0…
10-28 14:30:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0x9defb5…
10-28 10:20:11	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x11b75f…
10-28 07:01:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	48	49¢	$24	0x110d7a…
10-28 07:01:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x048803…
10-28 06:58:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x5398ed…
10-28 06:58:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0x39dd5b…
10-28 06:56:13	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x6bca3a…
10-28 06:45:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xfb1508…
10-28 06:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x514316…
10-28 06:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0xeb3a4b…
10-28 04:08:37	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xf022d2…
10-28 02:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xf4f34d…
10-28 02:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x75a423…
10-28 02:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	No	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xf12520…
10-27 18:31:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	88	93¢	$82	0x82ca15…
10-27 15:56:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x2c0ddd…
10-27 15:51:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xecfda9…
10-27 15:24:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x3d9af1…
10-27 12:32:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xd73483…
10-27 12:32:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x0d42dd…
10-26 19:50:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x07b207…
10-26 13:52:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x02039f…
10-26 02:19:48	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x27812e…
10-26 01:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0xf9783e…
10-26 01:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x5ba189…
10-26 01:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x42167e…
10-26 01:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	138	33¢	$46	0x1d0fd3…
10-26 01:43:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x2a44bc…
10-26 01:42:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xfc01ca…
10-26 01:40:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	24	76¢	$19	0x928eed…
10-24 07:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0xa56aa1…
10-24 07:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 23?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x54c918…
10-24 03:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 24?	No	BUY	140	65¢	$91	0x5d9fe2…
10-23 17:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	195	45¢	$88	0xc1e678…
10-23 06:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	179	97¢	$174	0xde5962…
10-23 01:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x309121…
10-23 01:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xa25670…
10-23 01:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 23?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x74a592…
10-23 01:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	95	48¢	$46	0xd05fc7…
10-23 01:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	179	9¢	$15	0x157891…
10-23 01:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	169	30¢	$50	0x53106f…
10-21 13:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xd2037a…
10-21 07:44:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x88dbf4…
10-21 03:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	No	BUY	123	56¢	$69	0xd775af…
10-21 03:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	90	44¢	$39	0x47020f…
10-21 02:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0xb8eb2a…
10-16 15:34:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x7a4133…
10-16 12:53:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	72¢	$58	0x435f33…
10-16 07:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	280	1¢	$4	0x3e0e5d…
10-16 07:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	SELL	300	1¢	$3	0xed7b6b…
10-16 04:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 16?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x4c2b03…