False-Gateway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,716

lifetime

Volume

$261.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$153

Open exposure

$48

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 07-19 22:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Sports

79% 74% +$94,550

Politics

18% 100% +$400

Crypto

3% 100% +$22

Other

0% 33% -$77

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No		+257	$76	18¢	$48	-$29	07-19 18:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	230	$33.4K	226,214	268,220	-42,007	No	+$6,000	07-06 19:17
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	99	$29.3K	38,138	74,177	-36,039	No	+$3,499	07-07 17:24
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	146	$28.8K	122,514	42,222	+80,292	Yes	+$76,173	07-17 14:42
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	48	$23.9K	52,404	54,404	-2,000	No	-$7,655	07-14 20:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$21.7K	21,769	0	+21,769	Yes	+$44	04-09 00:37
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$21.7K	21,725	0	+21,725	Yes	+$22	04-08 23:38
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	88	$15.6K	251,511	188,405	+63,106	No	-$3,676	07-07 04:23
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	213	$9.1K	120,931	146,516	-25,586	No	+$4,094	07-11 23:40
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	58	$7.9K	75,974	85,310	-9,337	No	+$2,188	07-05 21:45
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	82	$7.8K	17,880	17,880	+0	No	+$1,207	07-15 19:24
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$7.3K	7,317	0	+7,317	No	+$22	06-03 08:59
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$6.8K	5,555	50,816	-45,261	No	+$5,603	07-01 18:14
UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Muslim Salikhov (Welterweight, Prelims)	20	$6.2K	6,561	6,561	+0	cancelled	+$348	05-17 16:10
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	83	$3.6K	10,000	9,894	+106	Sean Strickland	+$286	05-09 22:17
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	3	$3.5K	1,893	1,893	-0	No	+$56	06-22 20:15
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$3.3K	3,393	0	+3,393	No	+$73	05-18 12:31
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$3.2K	44,298	44,298	+0	No	-$75	07-01 09:00
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	82	$3.1K	7,388	7,373	+15	Yes	-$174	07-12 00:24
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	16	$2.9K	32,833	1,972	+30,861	No	-$2,142	07-11 11:31
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$2.8K	10,000	45,495	-35,495	No	+$1,939	06-28 15:31
UFC Fight Night: Nicolas Dalby vs. Jeremiah Wells (Welterweight, Prelims)	53	$2.5K	3,195	1,871	+1,324	cancelled	+$32	05-12 04:51
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	23	$2.2K	108,305	72,439	+35,866	No	-$1,869	06-29 19:01
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$2.2K	413,000	415,000	-2,000	No	+$502	07-03 00:46
will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	9	$1.9K	2,130	0	+2,130	No	+$258	06-23 14:06
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	44	$1.8K	42,982	44,982	-2,000	No	+$174	07-06 08:13
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$1.6K	3,000	38,495	-35,495	No	+$1,331	06-29 22:47
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$1.5K	12,000	4,934	+7,066	No	+$6,598	07-19 22:27
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	47	$1.4K	55,555	35,495	+20,060	No	-$185	07-07 00:18
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$829	10,000	35,495	-25,495	No	+$369	07-02 15:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$710	972	0	+972	No	+$261	05-26 16:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:27:30	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	109	12¢	$13	0x8b9043…
07-19 22:27:15	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	505	12¢	$63	0xe8a953…
07-19 22:26:54	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	373	13¢	$49	0xf10c53…
07-19 22:26:54	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x352d90…
07-19 22:26:34	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,111	10¢	$112	0xc61b80…
07-19 21:59:13	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	134	10¢	$13	0x75fd31…
07-19 21:59:10	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	92	10¢	$9	0xbe030d…
07-19 21:59:07	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x2201a1…
07-19 21:59:07	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x03985e…
07-19 21:59:06	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	268	10¢	$26	0x2b7115…
07-19 21:59:03	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xa2ed4b…
07-19 21:58:55	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	31	10¢	$3	0xd843ea…
07-19 21:36:55	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xd35c08…
07-19 21:36:55	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,868	9¢	$164	0xd13d0b…
07-19 21:36:55	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x6df9b2…
07-19 21:36:55	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	81	9¢	$7	0x57bfdd…
07-19 21:36:55	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x45c852…
07-19 21:36:55	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x165679…
07-19 21:36:55	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x00b4e4…
07-19 21:36:34	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x4cac2a…
07-19 21:36:33	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x29abfa…
07-19 21:36:33	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	41	9¢	$4	0x1fe2ff…
07-19 18:32:07	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	116	30¢	$35	0xc6d6f7…
07-19 18:22:36	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xbb9eb4…
07-19 17:58:55	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2,562	1¢	$15	0x6a3f88…
07-19 17:35:36	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb07d49…
07-19 17:19:58	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x85b509…
07-19 16:26:00	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	Yes	BUY	644	19¢	$122	0x002a0f…
07-19 15:32:25	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xe02f5c…
07-19 15:24:22	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x037dba…
07-19 14:43:12	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1b7ea4…
07-19 14:15:46	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe8bdd0…
07-19 14:15:46	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	226	1¢	$1	0xa5b5dc…
07-19 14:15:45	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xcac32c…
07-19 13:48:12	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x4be453…
07-19 13:28:13	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x65c641…
07-19 13:24:25	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$0	0x6afa00…
07-19 13:22:46	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x97dba2…
07-19 13:20:49	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfb9814…
07-19 13:03:31	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$0	0x8eecb7…
07-19 13:03:31	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x49d726…
07-19 13:03:30	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe4e382…
07-19 12:56:21	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,758	1¢	$11	0xd47a2a…
07-19 12:38:48	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xd146be…
07-19 12:38:45	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x68f635…
07-19 12:09:49	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x87be03…
07-19 11:48:27	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x5dde99…
07-19 11:36:39	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x7a3354…
07-19 11:14:40	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8c0c0f…
07-19 10:42:52	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0xa3d336…
07-19 10:30:24	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	Yes	BUY	65	19¢	$12	0x6cac46…
07-19 09:54:58	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x2c4b31…
07-19 08:59:15	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd2df25…
07-19 08:48:21	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0xbfbf70…
07-19 08:42:54	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x1274c2…
07-19 08:38:13	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xd8e1a6…
07-19 08:29:43	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	48	30¢	$14	0x251fb5…
07-19 08:14:07	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	Yes	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0x3749a4…
07-19 08:13:21	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10,000	8¢	$800	0x65ac60…
07-19 08:04:07	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xff3d2e…
07-19 08:04:06	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xd982b4…
07-19 08:04:06	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$0	0x55f39e…
07-19 08:04:06	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x431d16…
07-19 08:04:06	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	64	1¢	$0	0x24d25f…
07-19 08:04:06	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x156e59…
07-19 08:04:04	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x78b25b…
07-19 08:03:48	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x104d2d…
07-19 08:03:46	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x5f85f4…
07-19 07:48:09	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	8	30¢	$3	0x023ef9…
07-19 07:25:31	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	233	1¢	$1	0x8c2550…
07-19 07:23:21	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xe97f3c…
07-19 07:20:19	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x49b094…
07-18 22:34:46	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte3	No	BUY	194	53¢	$103	0xc8b53e…
07-18 22:34:42	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte3	No	BUY	43	53¢	$23	0x966d4d…
07-18 22:34:40	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte3	No	BUY	157	53¢	$83	0x7b88b9…
07-18 22:34:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte3	No	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0x4a19c9…
07-18 22:34:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte3	No	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x9e7696…
07-18 22:02:21	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0x70f60b…
07-18 20:06:12	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	BUY	511	56¢	$286	0xcc2226…
07-18 20:05:28	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x49a94e…
07-18 19:02:33	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	BUY	134	56¢	$75	0xeade22…
07-17 14:42:22	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11,111	59¢	$6,511	0x68b09a…
07-15 19:24:49	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	208	20¢	$42	0x564f78…
07-15 19:24:20	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x8e960e…
07-15 19:23:44	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	250	20¢	$50	0x440fc1…
07-15 19:20:29	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	83	20¢	$17	0x284cf3…
07-15 19:20:22	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0x882282…
07-15 19:20:20	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	83	20¢	$17	0xb6b521…
07-15 19:19:29	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0xc98f31…
07-15 19:18:35	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x49fca3…
07-15 19:18:35	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	27	20¢	$5	0x23f2a6…
07-15 19:18:16	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x0e698b…
07-15 19:18:01	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x9b41fb…
07-15 19:17:59	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	153	20¢	$31	0xe3175d…
07-15 19:17:59	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0xe0a7bb…
07-15 19:17:59	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0xdbbbd7…
07-15 19:17:20	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	52	20¢	$10	0xfec40c…
07-15 19:17:20	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	55	20¢	$11	0x9aa37b…
07-15 19:17:05	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	138	20¢	$28	0x920500…
07-15 19:17:05	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	469	20¢	$94	0x780c35…