Worthwhile-Tarragon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$233

Unrealized P&L

+$47

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,142

lifetime

Volume

$307.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$269

Open exposure

$167

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-28 20:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

77% 0% $-13

Other

22% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-220

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+200	$120	84¢	$167	+$47	06-28 20:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	38	$39.7K	20,320	20,320	+0	open	—	03-21 06:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$19.1K	14,200	5,200	+9,000	open	—	04-09 15:48
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	53	$17.0K	8,600	8,600	+0	open	—	04-12 22:31
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	25	$13.0K	6,900	6,900	+0	open	—	04-02 02:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	113	$12.8K	6,479	6,600	-121	open	—	05-11 08:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	15	$10.7K	6,174	6,174	+0	open	—	03-01 03:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	23	$10.5K	7,800	2,800	+5,000	open	—	04-29 22:28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	54	$10.5K	8,485	8,554	-69	open	—	03-01 00:01
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	25	$10.4K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	03-13 09:07
will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	11	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-09 14:39
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	14	$8.8K	4,524	4,524	+0	open	—	01-24 04:59
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	30	$8.0K	4,233	4,233	+0	open	—	03-31 16:53
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	82	$8.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-08 01:03
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	13	$6.3K	2,727	4,057	-1,330	open	—	02-01 04:52
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	8	$6.2K	3,100	3,100	+0	open	—	05-20 10:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	4	$5.7K	2,900	2,900	+0	open	—	04-27 05:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	20	$5.3K	5,300	0	+5,300	open	—	04-25 18:12
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	1	$5.2K	5,200	0	+5,200	open	—	04-23 21:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	23	$4.4K	2,260	2,260	+0	open	—	05-15 17:00
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	13	$4.0K	2,020	2,020	+0	open	—	01-27 01:19
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	5	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-05 07:17
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	10	$4.0K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	03-13 15:55
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	3	$3.6K	1,785	1,785	+0	open	—	03-06 23:55
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	7	$3.3K	1,653	2,203	-550	open	—	02-27 02:54
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	2	$3.0K	1,520	1,520	+0	open	—	01-26 04:50
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	5	$2.6K	1,600	1,070	+530	open	—	02-24 17:13
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	7	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-08 12:32
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	5	$2.5K	1,490	1,000	+490	open	—	02-19 19:40
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	5	$2.4K	827	1,669	-842	open	—	01-26 11:34
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	2	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	03-04 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 20:28:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xe01437…
05-27 16:05:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xf87ce5…
05-26 18:05:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	567	1¢	$6	0x45e47c…
05-26 18:02:18	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	875	22¢	$189	0xddac88…
05-25 22:46:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x038638…
05-25 22:32:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	51	18¢	$9	0xeb8582…
05-25 22:32:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	49	18¢	$9	0x43d4eb…
05-25 07:40:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x77ae76…
05-24 02:36:31	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	57	41¢	$23	0x646acf…
05-24 02:36:15	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	149	41¢	$61	0x4d4e1f…
05-24 02:36:07	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	205	41¢	$84	0x76cfbe…
05-24 02:27:50	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0xf8549e…
05-23 22:43:01	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	24	41¢	$10	0xcde9df…
05-23 22:39:32	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xb2164a…
05-23 22:34:28	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	24	41¢	$10	0xe8686c…
05-23 22:25:20	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x6719d8…
05-23 21:53:17	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x4e472c…
05-23 18:34:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	700	36¢	$253	0x6818e0…
05-23 17:29:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x01727a…
05-23 17:17:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xdeb02c…
05-23 17:09:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	381	25¢	$95	0x00b84a…
05-23 16:53:29	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xd78a47…
05-23 12:06:51	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x4df773…
05-23 11:46:56	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x0d85d2…
05-23 08:23:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xb4e223…
05-20 18:19:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x125344…
05-20 18:18:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0xaa9e4c…
05-20 16:50:01	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	225	97¢	$218	0xedd789…
05-20 15:17:07	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	48	80¢	$38	0x2d0947…
05-20 15:16:46	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	51	80¢	$41	0xb82adb…
05-20 14:40:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x01d52f…
05-20 14:38:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x6559e8…
05-20 14:22:31	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x27aa83…
05-20 14:21:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xc6d0fa…
05-20 14:18:44	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	30	84¢	$26	0xb9bc38…
05-20 14:18:44	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	70	84¢	$58	0x540230…
05-20 14:17:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	64	44¢	$28	0xdbc90e…
05-20 10:52:21	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1,574	100¢	$1,569	0x28c537…
05-20 02:45:47	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	26	86¢	$23	0xfda9e8…
05-20 02:37:00	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	74	86¢	$63	0x9168a7…
05-19 22:53:09	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xbb88b1…
05-19 22:53:09	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6082cc…
05-19 22:53:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	476	100¢	$474	0x40d17f…
05-19 20:14:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x23611b…
05-18 19:27:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3c270e…
05-18 19:16:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xda64e0…
05-18 19:15:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x9c639a…
05-18 19:14:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	53	37¢	$20	0xba8a9a…
05-18 12:59:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x9bb754…
05-18 12:57:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x33a874…
05-18 12:52:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0xb84152…
05-18 12:52:15	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	97	89¢	$86	0xf90d8d…
05-18 12:52:11	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x5029ed…
05-18 12:52:11	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	93	89¢	$83	0x27573c…
05-17 12:31:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	700	96¢	$673	0x0a4087…
05-17 11:40:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xe1d98e…
05-16 19:27:13	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,100	94¢	$1,034	0x29f3f1…
05-15 17:00:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2,146	100¢	$2,143	0x8bffa4…
05-15 16:55:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x85867d…
05-15 10:51:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x0542df…
05-14 11:52:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x943556…
05-14 06:46:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x8da43f…
05-13 23:51:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xd51ae2…
05-13 23:51:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0xa0b6be…
05-13 23:42:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	106	4¢	$5	0xa2e168…
05-13 14:46:33	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$994	0x57212e…
05-13 09:28:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	466	98¢	$458	0x9e44fe…
05-13 09:26:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0x64ffa6…
05-13 09:26:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x978289…
05-13 09:26:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0x47c539…
05-13 09:25:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x8b389c…
05-13 09:25:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x86bd46…
05-13 08:57:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	289	98¢	$285	0x5c6f35…
05-13 08:46:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	152	98¢	$149	0x5b2cd8…
05-13 08:33:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x2655b8…
05-13 08:01:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x34bd8d…
05-13 07:49:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8447d7…
05-13 06:53:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x44341d…
05-13 06:52:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	296	98¢	$291	0x53b8b7…
05-13 06:50:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x16160c…
05-13 06:34:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xba1769…
05-13 02:06:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x335fb3…
05-11 08:15:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	6,600	98¢	$6,488	0xa9020b…
05-10 15:15:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x21cd8c…
05-10 15:05:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xe6bb36…
05-10 15:02:27	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xe74ed9…
05-10 07:23:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xd2973a…
05-09 12:01:36	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	2,100	99¢	$2,079	0x14d916…
05-09 10:39:13	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	268	82¢	$220	0x87941f…
05-08 19:40:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	396	85¢	$336	0x5705e7…
05-08 19:34:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x353eff…
05-08 10:32:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	289	98¢	$283	0x76ad73…
05-08 10:23:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0xf7ee8e…
05-08 10:20:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf08ee6…
05-08 10:16:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	155	98¢	$151	0x435744…
05-08 10:15:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2,387	98¢	$2,330	0x11bed2…
05-08 09:57:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xbe356d…
05-07 11:32:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,251	98¢	$1,225	0xc93a82…
05-07 11:31:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x72dc92…
05-07 11:31:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2d09fa…