Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.70K
Unrealized P&L
-$571
Hit rate
36.4%
Resolved (90d)
24
Trades (90d)
146
146 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$5.82K
$5.82K lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$772
10 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 10-30 10:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
36% 22% -$642
Crypto
35% 40% +$64
Tech
26% 33% -$1,076
Politics
3% 0% -$43
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +1,025 $486 42¢ $425 -$60 10-21 11:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +592 $285 42¢ $252 -$33 10-30 10:18
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? Yes +959 $115 7¢ $67 -$48 09-23 13:34
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +965 $121 1¢ $8 -$114 10-24 12:10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,448 $184 0¢ $7 -$178 09-23 05:06
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $2 96¢ $6 +$4 09-28 01:57
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +520 $147 1¢ $4 -$142 10-01 14:05
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +5 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 09-20 09:33
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 10-20 15:14
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-20 02:56