Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.03K

Unrealized P&L

-$351

Hit rate

33.8%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$5.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$661

8 positions

First seen

2026-09-04

last 10-30 10:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

36% 20% -$788

Crypto

35% 40% +$64

Tech

26% 25% -$1,261

Politics

3% 0% -$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	+1,025	$486	32¢	$323	-$163	10-21 11:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+592	$285	44¢	$261	-$24	10-30 10:18
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	Yes	+959	$115	7¢	$67	-$48	09-23 13:34
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+6	$2	96¢	$6	+$4	09-28 01:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	+5	$1	30¢	$1	+$0	09-20 09:33
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	88¢	$1	+$0	10-20 15:14
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	10-20 02:56
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+965	$121	0¢	$1	-$120	10-24 12:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	17	$872	4,905	2,109	+2,796	No	-$841	09-23 05:06
will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	3	$567	814	352	+462	No	+$458	09-30 12:30
will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	12	$548	593	352	+240	No	+$237	09-29 15:47
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	4	$486	1,025	0	+1,025	open	—	10-21 11:08
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?	4	$293	299	0	+299	No	+$5	10-12 00:25
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	12	$291	16,432	0	+16,432	Yes	-$291	09-22 16:32
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	3	$285	592	0	+592	open	—	10-30 10:18
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?	3	$258	559	0	+559	No	-$258	09-05 08:14
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	11	$248	1,361	504	+858	Yes	-$19	09-15 12:53
Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?	7	$229	683	0	+683	Yes	-$229	09-22 16:41
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	18	$184	1,448	0	+1,448	No	-$184	09-23 05:06
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?	1	$179	663	0	+663	No	-$179	09-05 08:23
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$158	100	94	+6	open	—	09-28 01:57
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	3	$154	565	0	+565	Yes	-$154	09-21 12:55
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$147	520	0	+520	Yes	-$147	10-01 14:05
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?	3	$124	356	0	+356	Yes	-$124	09-22 16:54
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?	2	$123	80	80	+0	No	+$24	09-18 15:44
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	8	$121	965	0	+965	open	—	10-24 12:10
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	1	$115	959	0	+959	open	—	09-23 13:34
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	5	$94	624	0	+624	Yes	-$94	09-24 14:37
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	4	$91	153	0	+153	No	-$91	10-22 14:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	1	$90	645	0	+645	Yes	-$90	10-12 10:15
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	3	$57	288	0	+288	Yes	-$57	09-19 16:02
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?	3	$41	143	0	+143	Yes	-$41	09-15 13:00
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	4	$25	81	0	+81	Yes	+$56	10-15 07:53
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?	1	$9	458	0	+458	Yes	-$9	09-24 14:45
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	09-26 10:44
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	09-22 12:24
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	3	$7	10	6	+4	Yes	+$4	09-22 15:14
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	2	$5	10	0	+10	No	$0	09-23 04:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:18:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	313	42¢	$131	0x0e623e…
10-24 12:10:09	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x7f927e…
10-24 12:09:59	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x94c9b3…
10-22 14:54:41	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x7ca63a…
10-22 14:54:36	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4e2bad…
10-22 14:54:32	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x55b1c4…
10-22 14:54:27	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	58	59¢	$34	0x4a12f2…
10-22 14:37:47	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	8¢	$9	0x759cf5…
10-22 11:18:36	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	9¢	$17	0x1ec4e8…
10-22 02:57:05	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	425	15¢	$64	0x732207…
10-22 01:35:12	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	15¢	$12	0x49c0c2…
10-22 01:27:56	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xd1245a…
10-22 01:27:45	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x8dab3c…
10-21 11:08:17	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x342096…
10-21 09:30:11	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x474138…
10-20 15:14:18	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd21afd…
10-20 02:56:39	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf72e6b…
10-15 07:53:26	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x804f96…
10-12 10:15:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	645	14¢	$90	0x37ed55…
10-12 00:25:53	Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x18852f…
10-12 00:25:45	Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?	No	BUY	169	98¢	$166	0xb9ed93…
10-12 00:25:32	Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x914462…
10-12 00:25:24	Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x3cbc0b…
10-10 08:58:25	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	70	44¢	$31	0xb07714…
10-07 11:02:35	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	325	49¢	$159	0x4f89bd…
10-07 09:42:02	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x5032de…
10-06 19:44:53	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	600	47¢	$282	0x45999c…
10-06 16:50:57	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x2b01eb…
10-06 16:06:11	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	271	55¢	$149	0x85d84e…
10-01 14:05:47	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	520	28¢	$147	0x671a08…
09-30 12:30:15	will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	352	80¢	$282	0x0028ee…
09-29 15:47:26	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	SELL	231	90¢	$209	0xa89757…
09-29 15:46:27	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x940439…
09-29 01:30:05	will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	110	16¢	$18	0x0c145e…
09-28 02:00:15	will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	704	38¢	$268	0x405c91…
09-28 01:57:51	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	94	83¢	$78	0xd23472…
09-26 10:44:59	Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd6de84…
09-24 14:45:41	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?	No	BUY	458	2¢	$9	0xdd6168…
09-24 14:37:57	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	260	15¢	$39	0x0a3b18…
09-24 14:37:42	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	330	15¢	$50	0xe61438…
09-24 14:37:21	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x5474d8…
09-24 14:32:05	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0xeb9b00…
09-23 13:34:31	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	Yes	BUY	959	12¢	$115	0xe3fcc7…
09-23 08:53:58	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	37¢	$17	0x93c0a1…
09-23 05:20:07	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa59e06…
09-23 05:06:52	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	3¢	$6	0x7fafc4…
09-23 05:06:41	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	3¢	$4	0xec5681…
09-23 05:06:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,109	1¢	$16	0x2d8c8a…
09-23 04:42:11	Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3f3b60…
09-23 01:45:04	Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc414f2…
09-22 16:54:58	Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1feed4…
09-22 16:41:39	Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	39	23¢	$9	0x3b8aca…
09-22 16:41:34	Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe5cfaf…
09-22 16:40:31	Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	336	35¢	$118	0x5b01d2…
09-22 16:32:34	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	13,333	0¢	$13	0x116468…
09-22 16:29:10	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	954	1¢	$10	0x4c0b97…
09-22 16:25:34	Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xcbf0bc…
09-22 16:16:48	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,005	17¢	$170	0x2483ac…
09-22 16:07:57	Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	118	34¢	$41	0x95dd58…
09-22 16:07:42	Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x5c4cc1…
09-22 16:07:25	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	496	5¢	$25	0x9f77d3…
09-22 16:06:22	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x1e2abc…
09-22 16:05:51	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc9b8d3…
09-22 16:05:46	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	95	4¢	$4	0x5fce27…
09-22 16:05:42	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	189	4¢	$8	0xb38be4…
09-22 16:05:39	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xb48c04…
09-22 16:05:06	Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	500	34¢	$172	0xb61e14…
09-22 15:15:18	Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x67d983…
09-22 15:14:57	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xfd9a5f…
09-22 15:13:03	Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x704dd8…
09-22 15:02:30	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xc5bebd…
09-22 14:57:00	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x35f46f…
09-22 14:51:22	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	80	28¢	$22	0xa8c4ec…
09-22 12:24:57	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xfb1127…
09-21 13:12:59	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	55	69¢	$38	0x868ae6…
09-21 13:00:32	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa775ef…
09-21 13:00:32	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x9deb71…
09-21 13:00:32	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	90	70¢	$63	0x7ca1bb…
09-21 12:55:59	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	55	70¢	$38	0xfc5bc7…
09-21 12:55:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	No	BUY	445	27¢	$120	0xb9a696…
09-21 12:55:15	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	55	70¢	$38	0x37b6a0…
09-21 12:53:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	No	BUY	110	28¢	$31	0xe8a7d5…
09-21 12:50:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xfdee3f…
09-21 12:38:17	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x5d416c…
09-21 12:36:06	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	55	70¢	$38	0x375fb7…
09-21 08:51:26	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	SELL	121	53¢	$64	0xd70b9e…
09-20 09:33:19	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x5ffe5c…
09-20 09:31:16	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x112d98…
09-20 07:03:00	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	188	7¢	$13	0xba4f4f…
09-19 16:02:33	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	130	15¢	$20	0xa9934c…
09-19 16:02:23	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x121410…
09-19 16:02:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x7a0659…
09-18 15:44:36	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	98	29¢	$28	0x187b74…
09-18 15:44:04	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?	No	SELL	80	92¢	$74	0x4acd38…
09-16 02:49:21	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x560ca0…
09-16 02:47:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?	No	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0xcd3132…
09-15 13:00:43	NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xf77017…
09-15 13:00:34	NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?	No	BUY	37	28¢	$10	0xe089d5…
09-15 13:00:28	NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?	No	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x914c5f…
09-15 12:53:22	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	504	23¢	$115	0x7a2415…