Heavy-Hook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

197

lifetime

Volume

$67.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$343

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-05 09:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

78% — —

Other

9% 100% +$2

Sports

9% 100% +$1

Politics

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No		+14	$14	99¢	$14	+$0	06-05 09:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	15	$9.3K	4,678	4,678	+0	open	—	02-11 07:05
will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	2	$9.1K	4,575	4,575	+0	open	—	02-14 22:07
will ethereum dip to 1400 in january 2026 585	2	$5.6K	2,806	2,806	+0	open	—	01-29 08:34
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	1	$4.5K	4,539	0	+4,539	open	—	02-23 05:52
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	8	$3.4K	1,689	1,689	+0	open	—	02-03 13:26
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$3.1K	3,127	0	+3,127	open	—	05-19 03:42
nhl col wpg 2026 03 14	1	$2.6K	4,101	0	+4,101	open	—	03-14 12:48
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$2.5K	1,251	1,251	+0	open	—	03-18 14:59
will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	2	$2.4K	1,206	1,206	+0	open	—	03-03 16:33
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	15	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	01-22 14:28
Will Solana reach $140 in April?	1	$2.2K	2,199	0	+2,199	open	—	04-28 02:27
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	34	$2.1K	1,136	1,136	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 09:41
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$2.1K	2,108	0	+2,108	open	—	01-23 15:58
will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	9	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	open	—	02-09 03:09
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.0K	1,024	1,024	+0	open	—	02-03 08:38
will xrp reach 4 in january 2026	3	$1.9K	953	953	-0	open	—	01-23 15:41
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$1.7K	838	838	+0	No	+$1	03-02 18:23
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$1.2K	1,207	0	+1,207	open	—	03-27 02:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1.0K	1,034	0	+1,034	open	—	04-21 03:34
will silver si hit high 185 by end of february 694 754	7	$811	411	411	+0	open	—	02-11 07:02
nhl cbj nyr 2026 03 02	1	$542	1,004	0	+1,004	open	—	03-02 03:30
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$463	233	233	+0	open	—	03-25 05:23
will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	1	$446	448	0	+448	open	—	06-05 09:34
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	1	$439	440	0	+440	open	—	02-23 05:52
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$406	221	218	+2	open	—	02-16 03:30
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$382	202	202	+0	open	—	02-14 03:58
will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	1	$321	321	0	+321	open	—	03-26 05:52
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$264	133	133	+0	open	—	03-02 03:19
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	5	$242	125	125	+0	open	—	02-13 02:09
nba dal mil 2026 01 25	1	$171	305	0	+305	open	—	02-11 07:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 09:36:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x4a21ce…
06-05 09:34:39	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	448	99¢	$446	0xffceae…
05-19 03:44:01	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xc6f43d…
05-19 03:42:39	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	2,515	100¢	$2,510	0x685487…
05-09 02:33:11	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	612	100¢	$610	0x250029…
04-28 02:27:54	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5a2a4e…
04-28 02:27:04	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	No	BUY	2,199	100¢	$2,197	0x4daae9…
04-21 03:35:52	Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf0aacc…
04-21 03:35:10	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x06ec4b…
04-21 03:34:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,034	100¢	$1,033	0xd7ce25…
04-21 03:34:06	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6feae4…
04-13 09:41:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xaa7214…
04-13 09:32:13	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x632589…
04-13 09:32:03	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0xbe0685…
04-13 09:21:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xf2bd21…
04-13 09:12:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x643c27…
04-13 09:08:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1,068	94¢	$1,006	0xfe8500…
04-13 07:38:39	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 215 239	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb09ea9…
04-13 07:37:27	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x9e6d1d…
04-13 06:27:37	atp blanc galan 2026 04 13	Darwin Blanch	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xdf7e39…
04-13 06:20:35	atp blanc galan 2026 04 13	Darwin Blanch	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xa2d8e0…
03-27 02:24:49	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 340 359	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x011e88…
03-27 02:24:13	will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x7c613e…
03-27 02:23:27	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	1,207	100¢	$1,206	0x81df43…
03-27 02:23:17	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc84307…
03-26 05:52:15	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	No	BUY	321	100¢	$321	0x83ab42…
03-26 05:51:57	will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x5fd8b5…
03-26 05:49:59	will 70 to 99 tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x7c3c96…
03-26 05:46:21	will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 955	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x5cb051…
03-26 05:45:45	Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x266dc9…
03-26 05:45:21	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xf9c968…
03-25 05:23:01	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	233	99¢	$232	0x767674…
03-22 14:21:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe9a6d9…
03-22 14:18:33	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc122bd…
03-22 14:09:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xdcd057…
03-22 14:05:57	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	146	94¢	$137	0x1e4153…
03-22 13:57:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x96db6e…
03-22 13:57:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x8bdbfc…
03-22 13:48:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x9a7325…
03-22 13:21:29	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xd43783…
03-22 13:21:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xbe9250…
03-22 13:19:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x036829…
03-22 13:16:03	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x4c8f0f…
03-22 13:13:55	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xf7ca6a…
03-22 13:13:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xdd24bb…
03-22 12:50:55	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6da65a…
03-22 12:44:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x91cbfb…
03-22 12:22:23	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x37262b…
03-22 11:57:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x9f3a7a…
03-22 11:41:59	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x87326f…
03-22 11:10:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	405	94¢	$382	0x804d51…
03-22 10:51:05	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x85c40d…
03-22 10:50:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0x3c4c72…
03-22 10:43:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x20ef9d…
03-22 10:38:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x898b07…
03-22 10:22:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0xea4890…
03-22 10:14:57	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe25968…
03-22 10:10:09	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xc26daa…
03-22 10:09:53	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x7ab8e8…
03-22 10:09:39	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3e60d0…
03-18 14:59:51	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	1,251	99¢	$1,242	0x220b47…
03-18 09:25:57	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4593ad…
03-18 09:22:43	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x821e53…
03-18 09:20:19	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdd2e53…
03-18 09:20:15	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x9e9be7…
03-18 03:08:39	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x809ace…
03-18 03:07:21	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x0da2f7…
03-18 03:06:47	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdfadfd…
03-16 08:54:47	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x9599e4…
03-14 12:50:49	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xc26186…
03-14 12:49:31	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,251	99¢	$1,242	0x15f840…
03-14 12:48:59	nhl nyr min 2026 03 14	Wild	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0xf0fb95…
03-14 12:48:33	nhl col wpg 2026 03 14	Avalanche	BUY	4,101	63¢	$2,584	0xb52a4d…
03-14 12:46:53	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	233	99¢	$231	0x89a184…
03-05 18:54:51	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10,102	0¢	$10	0xf2a7d1…
03-03 16:33:43	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	SELL	1,206	100¢	$1,201	0xb85e96…
03-02 18:23:35	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xba7988…
03-02 18:23:29	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x68bdbf…
03-02 18:23:23	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	153	99¢	$152	0x254ca5…
03-02 18:23:17	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	219	99¢	$217	0x84a4d8…
03-02 18:23:11	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	313	99¢	$310	0x946db0…
03-02 18:23:05	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xed7ab6…
03-02 03:31:45	will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 196	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xd9c92a…
03-02 03:30:27	nhl cbj nyr 2026 03 02	Blue Jackets	BUY	1,004	54¢	$542	0xc6c58d…
03-02 03:26:19	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	1,206	99¢	$1,199	0xc4e761…
03-02 03:23:23	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	838	99¢	$830	0xe8da37…
03-02 03:19:31	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	SELL	35	75¢	$26	0xb0ed34…
03-02 03:19:23	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xa837f0…
03-02 03:19:09	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	133	98¢	$131	0xd28982…
02-23 05:56:16	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xb3c138…
02-23 05:55:54	will there be at least 1300 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x710175…
02-23 05:54:44	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0x1fa4f3…
02-23 05:54:04	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x6ca2b0…
02-23 05:52:48	will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	No	BUY	4,539	100¢	$4,525	0xea4fc9…
02-23 05:52:36	will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	No	BUY	440	100¢	$439	0x8c7f63…
02-19 16:24:16	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	77	77¢	$59	0x0af479…
02-16 03:30:37	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	218	93¢	$203	0x47356b…
02-15 19:08:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	310	8¢	$25	0x8c8d88…
02-14 22:07:11	will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	No	SELL	4,575	100¢	$4,557	0x34ce29…
02-14 04:09:39	btc updown 5m 1771041900	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xfd2968…