Partial-Disadvantage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

494

lifetime

Volume

$1.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-16 13:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% $-10

Crypto

45% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-0

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	3	$45	35	35	+0	open	—	02-20 16:19
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	4	$39	45	45	+0	open	—	02-04 15:17
btc updown 5m 1771606200	4	$35	31	17	+15	open	—	02-20 16:56
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	2	$33	200	200	+0	open	—	02-08 13:34
btc updown 5m 1771707000	5	$33	31	25	+5	open	—	02-21 20:54
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$32	94	94	+0	No	$-0	01-24 15:23
will the san francisco 49ers win super bowl 2026	2	$30	312	312	+0	open	—	01-17 21:42
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	02-18 01:33
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	2	$29	174	174	+0	open	—	03-26 18:12
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	3	$26	49	45	+4	open	—	02-24 16:07
btc updown 5m 1771554600	3	$26	44	37	+7	open	—	02-20 02:32
ucl psv1 bay 2026 01 28 bay	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	01-28 23:48
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 4pt5	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	04-07 23:31
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	3	$24	112	112	+0	open	—	03-26 18:05
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	4	$21	23	23	+0	open	—	02-24 20:07
donald trump of truth social posts february 17 february 24 200plus	2	$20	101	101	+0	open	—	02-18 19:12
bad bunny video becomes most viewed sb halftime on youtube in 1st month	5	$20	883	883	+0	open	—	02-23 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	7	$19	21	15	+6	open	—	05-01 21:59
btc updown 5m 1771707600	4	$19	16	16	+0	open	—	02-21 21:06
bun wer ein 2026 01 16 draw	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	01-16 23:30
btc updown 5m 1771512900	2	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	02-19 14:59
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	3	$18	38	21	+17	open	—	02-20 16:20
btc updown 5m 1771645500	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	02-21 03:51
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	2	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	03-13 15:57
btc updown 5m 1771711500	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	02-21 22:08
btc updown 5m 1771550400	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	02-20 01:24
btc updown 5m 1771541700	3	$14	13	8	+5	open	—	02-19 23:01
btc updown 5m 1775254200	4	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	04-03 22:14
btc updown 5m 1771517400	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	02-19 16:15
btc updown 5m 1771606800	2	$13	23	23	+0	open	—	02-20 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 13:34:07	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Ghana	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xeca672…
05-30 16:42:26	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xb21436…
05-27 14:33:25	Will Donald Trump dance on May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xe37dde…
05-21 14:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x49a354…
05-06 20:01:50	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x01aca2…
05-02 16:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xde9852…
05-02 16:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xd66fe4…
05-02 16:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x226362…
05-02 16:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x3aaeec…
05-02 16:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8887a0…
05-02 16:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	14¢	$1	0x58e057…
05-02 16:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9139c3…
05-02 16:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xe6993b…
05-02 16:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0acdaa…
05-02 16:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xfd522e…
05-02 16:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa28f4a…
05-02 16:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x734f38…
05-02 16:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf54dfe…
05-02 15:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd511a5…
05-01 22:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa392db…
05-01 22:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x632a60…
05-01 22:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0d1ab9…
05-01 22:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0a2013…
05-01 22:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x331081…
05-01 21:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x2e68f7…
05-01 21:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0xe03a8a…
05-01 21:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x931045…
05-01 21:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x27d8a2…
05-01 21:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd06ca3…
05-01 21:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x262cb8…
05-01 21:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xba0d1a…
05-01 21:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0xc4fe88…
05-01 21:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xf513cd…
05-01 21:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf5eaec…
05-01 21:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6ea384…
05-01 21:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x32bbc9…
05-01 21:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xd0f1b6…
05-01 21:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb1cdba…
05-01 21:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x4ba202…
05-01 21:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xac8524…
05-01 21:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x25e07a…
04-30 13:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xb678db…
04-30 13:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf81963…
04-30 13:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xd0841d…
04-30 13:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb97fb3…
04-29 21:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x781c7b…
04-13 22:19:55	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5c763b…
04-13 22:19:49	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x603ec9…
04-10 14:11:27	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x84a6fd…
04-10 01:17:49	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 0 39	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0x84ee02…
04-09 15:20:47	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 0 39	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x843bc6…
04-09 15:20:05	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x5fdc6c…
04-09 15:19:45	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0xfc5904…
04-09 15:13:39	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	Yes	SELL	64	0¢	$0	0x89be7c…
04-09 15:13:17	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	SELL	26	10¢	$3	0x07317f…
04-08 20:33:45	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd1e2ab…
04-08 20:31:01	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x231844…
04-08 20:14:05	btc updown 5m 1775679000	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe35849…
04-08 20:07:43	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x78da17…
04-08 20:07:15	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xdae963…
04-08 20:04:05	btc updown 5m 1775678400	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6fc2f2…
04-08 19:17:51	btc updown 5m 1775675700	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x46e3e4…
04-08 19:17:33	btc updown 5m 1775675700	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0x91744a…
04-08 19:15:41	btc updown 5m 1775675700	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x154f97…
04-08 19:15:15	btc updown 5m 1775675700	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x95802a…
04-08 18:09:23	btc updown 5m 1775671500	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x52fce6…
04-08 18:07:47	btc updown 5m 1775671500	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xf86bf1…
04-08 18:06:39	btc updown 5m 1775671500	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc32929…
04-08 18:06:19	btc updown 5m 1775671500	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x22ba80…
04-08 17:45:51	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 0 39	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x46b769…
04-08 17:45:43	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x3f913c…
04-08 17:45:37	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb09cd2…
04-08 17:45:33	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xceff7a…
04-07 23:31:47	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4b1b46…
04-07 18:01:51	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x60ec18…
04-07 18:00:45	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 draw	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x389f94…
04-07 18:00:29	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xda89a0…
04-07 17:58:25	btc updown 5m 1775584500	Up	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x33dd53…
04-07 17:57:49	btc updown 5m 1775584500	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0x2f3db6…
04-07 17:57:21	btc updown 5m 1775584500	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5e90ae…
04-07 17:57:07	btc updown 5m 1775584500	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x8e4146…
04-06 22:30:33	btc updown 5m 1775514600	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xbbec69…
04-06 22:30:25	btc updown 5m 1775514600	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x06e87d…
04-06 22:26:07	btc updown 5m 1775514300	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1b2582…
04-06 21:19:01	btc updown 5m 1775510100	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x82aa59…
04-06 21:13:43	btc updown 5m 1775509800	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xcdbc98…
04-06 21:12:31	btc updown 5m 1775509800	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x06ef83…
04-06 21:12:05	btc updown 5m 1775509800	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4b3817…
04-06 21:11:53	btc updown 5m 1775509800	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa55e12…
04-06 21:09:31	btc updown 5m 1775509500	Up	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xa0e2cc…
04-06 21:07:33	btc updown 5m 1775509500	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x385a0f…
04-06 21:06:51	btc updown 5m 1775509500	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x66cf19…
04-06 21:05:37	btc updown 5m 1775509500	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x76a202…
04-06 20:16:47	btc updown 5m 1775506500	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xc10b16…
04-06 20:16:29	btc updown 5m 1775506500	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xccd9c9…
04-06 20:15:43	btc updown 5m 1775506500	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x71bd7f…
04-06 20:15:35	btc updown 5m 1775506500	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe7358c…
04-06 20:14:15	btc updown 5m 1775506200	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x8edca2…
04-06 20:14:13	btc updown 5m 1775506200	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x26b175…
04-06 20:10:07	Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0x06fe02…