Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$805

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$145

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 09-16 05:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

91% 44% -$25

Politics

9% 40% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+80	$50	90¢	$72	+$22	09-16 05:28
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	-74	-$72	97¢	$-71	+$0	09-16 05:27
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	-42	-$5	4¢	$-2	+$3	05-28 13:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	5	$170	66	140	-74	open	—	09-16 05:27
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	3	$117	78	78	+0	No	+$17	04-03 07:20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	3	$83	49	49	+0	No	+$3	04-09 11:52
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	3	$64	49	49	+0	No	+$24	03-09 08:11
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	2	$55	1,874	0	+1,874	Yes	-$55	08-19 11:28
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$50	80	0	+80	open	—	09-16 05:28
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	1	$49	0	54	-54	No	-$5	05-11 05:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$30	91	0	+91	No	-$30	05-28 13:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	1	$25	100	0	+100	Yes	-$25	07-27 05:46
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	2	$23	17	17	+0	No	+$7	03-09 08:11
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	2	$19	111	111	+0	No	-$1	01-29 12:11
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$18	15	15	+0	No	-$2	03-09 08:10
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?	2	$18	11	11	+0	No	+$2	06-02 11:49
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	5	$15	13	13	+0	No	+$1	04-20 10:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$14	0	56	-56	Yes	+$14	05-19 06:26
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	2	$12	22	22	+0	Yes	-$2	02-02 11:16
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	2	$11	85	85	+0	No	+$1	01-30 06:33
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$9	0	15	-15	Yes	-$6	05-26 05:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	2	$8	24	23	+1	No	-$2	04-20 10:28
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	1	$5	0	42	-42	open	—	05-28 13:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$3	11	0	+11	Yes	+$8	04-15 05:51
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-20 10:28
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-02 08:48
will russia enter novooleksandrivka by march 31 2026	2	$2	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-25 16:24
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	1	$1	40	0	+40	Yes	-$1	03-13 08:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$1	6	0	+6	Yes	-$1	04-17 13:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 05:28:16	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x90b571…
09-16 05:27:49	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0xeab8ee…
08-19 11:28:55	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	909	3¢	$30	0x8ac681…
08-19 11:28:30	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	39	83¢	$32	0xbc0730…
08-19 11:28:16	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	966	3¢	$25	0x9e34fc…
08-19 11:26:36	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	83¢	$25	0xe88ff6…
07-27 05:46:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x2f41bc…
07-27 05:45:46	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	82¢	$25	0xa9b40f…
06-27 05:00:17	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5b03bd…
06-02 11:49:55	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x63cf13…
06-01 07:33:54	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x12881a…
05-28 13:25:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xdf916a…
05-28 13:22:45	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0xedf151…
05-26 05:08:13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0x38ee9e…
05-19 06:26:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	25¢	$14	0x0fcd61…
05-11 11:30:26	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	75¢	$49	0xe52b48…
05-11 05:05:38	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	54	91¢	$49	0xd9e5f4…
04-20 10:28:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	23	11¢	$3	0x2508cb…
04-20 10:28:26	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe8c24a…
04-20 10:28:16	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x46a766…
04-17 13:36:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x842382…
04-17 13:36:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa4b71f…
04-15 05:56:36	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb8e27b…
04-15 05:51:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x97a23e…
04-15 05:12:36	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xd74b34…
04-13 13:25:45	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9c20b5…
04-09 13:28:03	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x418eb5…
04-09 13:15:17	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9f0066…
04-09 11:52:45	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	49	88¢	$43	0xb79d50…
04-03 08:40:51	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xe28212…
04-03 07:20:13	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0xb58244…
04-02 08:48:15	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xa6d193…
03-25 16:24:13	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x9d4407…
03-24 13:29:25	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x58e76f…
03-24 13:29:09	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x90be85…
03-20 11:36:25	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xad2607…
03-20 06:32:31	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	SELL	38	79¢	$30	0xb81606…
03-13 08:38:53	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xf699b6…
03-09 08:17:03	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x71a555…
03-09 08:11:11	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0x89bc53…
03-09 08:11:03	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	SELL	49	90¢	$44	0x346cf6…
03-09 08:10:49	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0xcc9bd0…
03-02 06:29:31	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x1c7bd1…
02-04 11:58:26	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7863ec…
02-02 11:16:54	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	Yes	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0x4277fb…
01-30 13:15:10	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xa48ff0…
01-30 06:33:46	will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	Yes	SELL	85	7¢	$6	0xf1bc2a…
01-29 13:16:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x202d45…
01-29 13:13:36	will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0xa502e7…
01-29 12:11:54	will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	Yes	SELL	111	8¢	$9	0x8d4502…
01-29 12:09:30	will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xafa862…
01-26 12:10:43	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x569052…