Offensive-Pianist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

Trades

310

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-13 19:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

52% 80% $-1

Other

33% 0% $-1

Crypto

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes		+15	$1	14¢	$2	+$1	07-05 13:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	7	$313	332	332	+0	open	—	02-28 03:50
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$234	119	119	+0	open	—	02-25 03:15
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$116	135	0	+135	open	—	02-28 03:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	15	$107	85	60	+25	open	—	05-05 23:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	6	$107	60	80	-20	open	—	05-24 03:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	10	$88	54	54	+0	open	—	04-30 08:48
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	7	$56	47	47	+0	open	—	03-30 18:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	4	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	04-02 12:27
btc updown 15m 1772046900	5	$26	20	15	+5	open	—	02-25 19:28
btc updown 15m 1772057700	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	02-25 22:20
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	04-10 23:33
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	3	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	04-27 20:59
btc updown 15m 1772044200	6	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	02-25 18:47
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-06 02:10
btc updown 15m 1772056800	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	02-25 22:11
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$12	457	7	+450	open	—	02-15 03:47
btc updown 15m 1772104500	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-26 11:27
btc updown 5m 1774986300	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 19:51
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$10	3,511	0	+3,511	open	—	02-03 23:03
Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 10:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 10:34
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	3	$9	20	10	+10	open	—	07-13 19:42
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-02 10:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-05 11:22
houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	04-02 16:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-18 15:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-06 11:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	4	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	04-29 08:05
btc updown 15m 1769607000	6	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	01-28 13:41
btc updown 15m 1772054100	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	02-25 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 19:42:20	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x2fdb35…
07-13 17:54:22	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x07cbec…
07-08 17:28:46	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x70d11f…
07-05 13:12:16	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0x3b7b40…
06-12 17:51:15	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	SELL	55	7¢	$4	0xb18aba…
06-03 16:00:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x122630…
05-31 21:40:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x725e41…
05-30 10:30:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x295c42…
05-29 11:37:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x9335ee…
05-29 11:33:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1100bc…
05-26 20:07:53	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x240627…
05-26 17:31:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x32c4b5…
05-26 04:58:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$2	0x18c226…
05-25 04:49:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x34d9dd…
05-24 03:57:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x169842…
05-19 20:51:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x673156…
05-18 18:22:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8b378e…
05-18 18:22:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8eeb1d…
05-17 14:06:29	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3157f6…
05-17 14:05:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe545f8…
05-16 19:09:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x42d10b…
05-15 14:25:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x35ea88…
05-12 10:45:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6debc5…
05-11 18:11:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1b8036…
05-10 22:32:28	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xa16c3d…
05-10 21:44:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe2c726…
05-09 19:33:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xcc08db…
05-08 18:15:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xc85e0a…
05-08 18:15:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa5ce24…
05-08 17:05:04	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe81769…
05-06 11:55:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x5ecb72…
05-06 11:17:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x8e2172…
05-05 23:49:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x52eb5c…
05-05 18:42:44	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x51b77e…
05-04 21:38:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x5ad491…
05-04 21:27:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4ed944…
05-04 17:29:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x6699c7…
05-04 16:21:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe7ad1e…
05-04 16:00:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x12612d…
05-04 15:42:02	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6bb562…
05-04 15:32:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xb92832…
05-04 13:09:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xceaeba…
05-04 13:00:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xa2e5fd…
05-04 11:43:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xf77d1b…
05-04 10:34:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3264ee…
05-02 20:13:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xb7415d…
05-02 10:50:34	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xf2cfa7…
05-01 17:43:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb63a42…
05-01 16:01:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x87a90a…
05-01 13:59:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x06086d…
05-01 12:42:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb6a4a4…
05-01 12:34:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xbec012…
05-01 12:34:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x2b7a63…
05-01 11:36:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0xbb220d…
05-01 10:16:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x03f07c…
05-01 07:21:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x241dcf…
05-01 06:56:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x75311c…
05-01 04:47:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x41b2ec…
04-30 23:15:44	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x63f126…
04-30 17:29:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xdc8b5d…
04-30 11:27:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x0947a7…
04-30 10:48:48	Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x53abe5…
04-30 08:48:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xcd8876…
04-30 08:42:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8185f7…
04-29 19:32:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xae7fde…
04-29 18:47:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8d207c…
04-29 17:29:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x233fdf…
04-29 08:05:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xc959e8…
04-28 18:15:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x25ef60…
04-28 16:25:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf78824…
04-28 14:41:44	Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xffafc5…
04-28 10:23:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xb7df50…
04-27 20:59:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x41e54c…
04-27 20:52:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc2ae18…
04-26 22:58:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf8aa28…
04-26 22:01:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xf91d9f…
04-26 18:49:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc129d7…
04-26 18:48:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9535fa…
04-24 11:05:22	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x86c589…
04-23 15:10:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3bfd1b…
04-23 15:09:54	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x45841c…
04-23 15:09:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9008ec…
04-21 15:27:36	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbb9585…
04-21 15:27:00	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdb0aa1…
04-20 11:41:08	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7cd577…
04-19 22:05:32	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xb0ec9b…
04-18 15:55:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xaff932…
04-18 13:58:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x44edf7…
04-18 12:58:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x67b7a4…
04-17 23:52:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe8d202…
04-17 17:58:02	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7e8f43…
04-16 18:29:32	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1613d4…
04-16 16:09:22	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x6168e9…
04-16 00:26:26	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x02cc9a…
04-14 22:32:56	US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x9796b5…
04-14 19:19:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xf87e53…
04-14 19:09:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4b1aa5…
04-14 15:25:59	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1ed095…
04-13 19:36:15	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8c4432…
04-12 19:10:15	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xfb80ad…