Agitated-Compassionate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

Trades

915

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-04 21:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Crypto

33% 63% +$45

Politics

23% 100% +$9

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	+0	$2	58¢	$0	$-2	06-25 15:35
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$4	26¢	$0	$-3	07-01 16:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+0	$2	16¢	$0	$-2	06-26 21:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	4	$979	546	546	+0	open	—	06-22 21:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	16	$892	800	800	+0	open	—	06-30 11:11
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 20?	4	$700	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	05-20 19:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	12	$693	800	799	+1	open	—	06-30 05:15
will ethereum dip to 1300 june 1 7 2026	1	$640	641	0	+641	open	—	06-07 21:00
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	7	$622	600	599	+1	open	—	06-26 07:53
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	7	$540	600	599	+1	open	—	06-28 05:54
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	5	$519	997	3	+994	open	—	05-28 20:45
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	10	$392	480	479	+1	open	—	07-03 11:55
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	2	$347	175	175	+0	open	—	01-08 01:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$289	151	151	+0	No	+$9	05-10 20:19
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 17 23	2	$284	143	142	+0	open	—	02-17 13:01
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 gir	2	$280	162	162	+0	open	—	02-16 21:37
will silver si hit low 55 by end of february 998 393 222 319 616 673 571 163	2	$274	151	151	+0	open	—	02-16 20:54
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	2	$202	200	200	+0	open	—	06-25 15:35
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$201	103	103	+0	open	—	03-31 16:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 13 2026 20260612000830408	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	06-13 09:11
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$194	200	200	+0	open	—	07-04 21:24
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$193	98	98	+0	open	—	03-26 00:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$186	200	200	+0	open	—	06-26 21:25
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	2	$184	93	92	+0	open	—	01-31 23:17
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	2	$183	108	108	+0	open	—	03-15 19:26
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	1	$182	183	0	+183	open	—	02-03 20:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$182	103	102	+1	open	—	04-21 19:03
will russia capture rodynske by january 31	2	$180	93	93	+0	open	—	01-30 12:39
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	3	$174	90	90	+0	open	—	01-30 22:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$166	170	0	+170	open	—	02-22 16:04
will russia capture lyman by january 31 2026	2	$165	85	85	+0	open	—	01-27 22:29
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	1	$149	149	0	+149	No	+$0	05-10 21:28
nothing ever happens microstrategy	3	$132	234	234	+0	open	—	01-24 08:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 21:24:29	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0xa6efb7…
07-04 20:54:04	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x0cd872…
07-03 11:55:34	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	356	36¢	$128	0x4ca606…
07-03 11:39:52	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x6f7859…
07-03 11:25:28	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x40a112…
07-03 11:24:50	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xb40640…
07-03 11:24:37	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0x158838…
07-03 11:24:23	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xc1f954…
07-03 11:22:16	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x67253d…
07-01 16:43:23	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	28¢	$41	0x51bcad…
07-01 16:43:11	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	29¢	$15	0xef0356…
07-01 16:42:34	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x4e2ef1…
07-01 11:08:43	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260629202434612	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x7d1457…
07-01 11:06:01	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260629202434612	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xb436e5…
06-30 11:11:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	164	31¢	$51	0x0ef946…
06-30 10:40:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xf65a1e…
06-30 10:10:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x712f0c…
06-30 10:09:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x68eb7a…
06-30 10:09:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0xa624df…
06-30 10:08:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xd90219…
06-30 05:15:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x4d5076…
06-30 05:14:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x9a6533…
06-29 13:01:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	115	70¢	$80	0x5097ee…
06-29 13:01:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0xf74140…
06-29 13:01:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0xc337ee…
06-29 12:36:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x1ed936…
06-29 06:12:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0x4c70fc…
06-29 06:11:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	170	54¢	$92	0x9748df…
06-29 06:10:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x07675c…
06-29 02:34:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	75	59¢	$45	0xe6ae4f…
06-29 02:33:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xd94bf0…
06-29 02:33:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	124	61¢	$76	0x49ac04…
06-29 02:33:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	195	32¢	$62	0x3b6ad3…
06-29 02:24:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xb3039d…
06-29 02:24:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x0b2227…
06-28 18:41:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0x375550…
06-28 18:41:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xeb7c96…
06-28 05:54:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	SELL	194	61¢	$118	0x97b080…
06-28 05:54:22	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x51bfab…
06-28 05:53:55	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x70eca6…
06-28 05:27:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	101	33¢	$33	0x2e6fa0…
06-28 05:04:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	56	34¢	$19	0xf48092…
06-28 04:56:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0xa49d34…
06-28 04:55:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x47f442…
06-28 04:54:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x38d2f0…
06-27 22:47:22	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0x6fca29…
06-27 22:46:59	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x300a7b…
06-27 22:46:28	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xeeef3c…
06-27 21:52:50	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	SELL	163	32¢	$52	0xad4028…
06-27 21:15:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	SELL	236	34¢	$80	0xba9adf…
06-27 21:14:26	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xcfc526…
06-27 20:46:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0xd0fa8a…
06-26 21:25:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0xf01167…
06-26 21:25:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xf2869b…
06-26 07:53:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0xe5fb36…
06-26 07:53:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	160	47¢	$75	0x245867…
06-26 07:52:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xcd8b5e…
06-26 05:25:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0xf57f87…
06-26 05:25:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xb9d29a…
06-25 15:35:49	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x797180…
06-25 15:35:16	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xb9fcd5…
06-25 13:36:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x4c1b1c…
06-25 13:35:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xd5215d…
06-22 21:28:20	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	546	97¢	$529	0x0ce54f…
06-15 22:00:30	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x261f44…
06-15 21:58:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x3be3e5…
06-13 09:14:49	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	329	91¢	$300	0x073f16…
06-13 09:12:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 14 2026 20260612000748609	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x046a50…
06-13 09:11:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 13 2026 20260612000830408	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x263e54…
06-13 09:11:07	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xa82464…
06-07 21:00:06	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	641	100¢	$640	0xcca6a3…
06-07 09:51:22	btc updown 15m 1780825500	Down	BUY	31	38¢	$12	0x8ae631…
06-07 09:51:21	btc updown 15m 1780825500	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x3fedb9…
06-07 09:51:21	btc updown 15m 1780825500	Down	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x2f9868…
06-07 09:51:21	btc updown 15m 1780825500	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x20fae2…
06-07 09:51:21	btc updown 15m 1780825500	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x1c71b4…
06-07 09:47:13	btc updown 15m 1780825500	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xcc7273…
06-07 09:47:13	btc updown 15m 1780825500	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8554a5…
06-07 09:47:13	btc updown 15m 1780825500	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x57f08f…
06-07 09:47:12	btc updown 15m 1780825500	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6cba6c…
06-07 09:47:12	btc updown 15m 1780825500	Up	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x5d48bc…
06-07 09:47:12	btc updown 15m 1780825500	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x530938…
06-07 09:30:48	btc updown 15m 1780824600	Up	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xfa5554…
06-07 09:30:48	btc updown 15m 1780824600	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xa2dc3d…
06-07 09:30:48	btc updown 15m 1780824600	Up	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x5b24a7…
06-07 09:30:46	btc updown 15m 1780824600	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x858e17…
06-07 09:30:46	btc updown 15m 1780824600	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3068ec…
06-07 09:30:46	btc updown 15m 1780824600	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x2b8b36…
06-07 09:30:45	btc updown 15m 1780824600	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xce077c…
06-07 09:30:45	btc updown 15m 1780824600	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xa0c3ba…
06-07 09:16:42	btc updown 15m 1780823700	Up	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x880544…
06-07 09:15:45	btc updown 15m 1780823700	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xbd8e9b…
06-07 09:15:45	btc updown 15m 1780823700	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x90f4fe…
06-07 09:15:43	btc updown 15m 1780823700	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa27026…
06-07 09:00:15	btc updown 15m 1780822800	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x4968fc…
06-07 09:00:13	btc updown 15m 1780822800	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfd7678…
06-07 09:00:13	btc updown 15m 1780822800	Up	BUY	17	38¢	$6	0x2f23b6…
06-07 09:00:13	btc updown 15m 1780822800	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x10b411…
06-07 08:45:13	btc updown 15m 1780821900	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xa16489…
06-07 08:45:13	btc updown 15m 1780821900	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x4afe5e…