Agitated-Compassionate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,024

lifetime

Volume

$23.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-25 10:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

41% — —

Politics

34% 100% +$9

Crypto

22% 63% +$45

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	21	$1.5K	1,576	1,575	+1	open	—	07-21 01:59
us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	17	$1.3K	1,258	1,257	+1	open	—	07-24 15:24
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	4	$979	546	546	+0	open	—	06-22 21:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	16	$892	800	800	+0	open	—	06-30 11:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	13	$815	817	817	+1	open	—	07-25 10:15
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 20?	4	$700	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	05-20 19:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	12	$693	800	799	+1	open	—	06-30 05:15
will ethereum dip to 1300 june 1 7 2026	1	$640	641	0	+641	open	—	06-07 21:00
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	7	$622	600	599	+1	open	—	06-26 07:53
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	7	$598	600	599	+1	open	—	07-21 04:06
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	12	$570	680	679	+0	open	—	07-11 01:19
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	7	$540	600	599	+1	open	—	06-28 05:54
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	5	$519	997	3	+994	open	—	05-28 20:45
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	7	$496	400	399	+1	open	—	07-24 10:54
israel closes its airspace by august 15	5	$464	400	399	+1	open	—	07-23 18:00
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	12	$461	600	599	+1	open	—	07-19 21:01
Fed rate hike in 2026?	4	$394	400	399	+1	open	—	07-12 02:56
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	2	$347	175	175	+0	open	—	01-08 01:05
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	2	$331	200	200	+0	open	—	07-12 22:19
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	3	$318	200	200	+0	open	—	07-18 13:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$289	151	151	+0	No	+$9	05-10 20:19
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 17 23	2	$284	143	142	+0	open	—	02-17 13:01
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 gir	2	$280	162	162	+0	open	—	02-16 21:37
will silver si hit low 55 by end of february 998 393 222 319 616 673 571 163	2	$274	151	151	+0	open	—	02-16 20:54
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$262	200	200	+0	open	—	07-15 18:32
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	2	$254	200	200	+0	open	—	07-15 14:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$246	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 03:44
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	2	$202	200	200	+0	open	—	06-25 15:35
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$201	103	103	+0	open	—	03-31 16:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 13 2026 20260612000830408	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	06-13 09:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 10:15:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xdf4a97…
07-25 10:14:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0x5da954…
07-25 10:14:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x0baf31…
07-25 07:00:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xd94503…
07-25 06:59:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	34	78¢	$27	0xf9aec0…
07-25 06:58:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0x873fcc…
07-24 16:39:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	32	79¢	$25	0xb23646…
07-24 16:39:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xcda09f…
07-24 15:24:40	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	215	55¢	$118	0xc17b6a…
07-24 15:24:39	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0x47597e…
07-24 15:23:54	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x25b71a…
07-24 15:23:43	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x655b26…
07-24 15:23:40	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	45	57¢	$26	0x80aba9…
07-24 15:23:31	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0xdbfc29…
07-24 10:54:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	SELL	168	61¢	$102	0x800f99…
07-24 10:50:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xfb511e…
07-24 10:43:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x2365a0…
07-24 10:31:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	SELL	198	61¢	$121	0x79a415…
07-24 10:30:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	SELL	25	62¢	$16	0xbccf8d…
07-24 10:30:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x129c2f…
07-24 07:56:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	288	55¢	$158	0xd419c2…
07-24 07:56:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	111	55¢	$61	0x4d6533…
07-24 07:56:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x87514e…
07-24 04:11:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	162	43¢	$70	0x179f3c…
07-24 04:11:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	115	43¢	$50	0x73bbdb…
07-24 04:10:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	122	44¢	$54	0x3a4817…
07-24 04:01:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	104	45¢	$47	0x3d9268…
07-24 04:01:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	96	45¢	$43	0x389dc9…
07-23 18:00:28	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	65	57¢	$37	0xd09205…
07-23 18:00:27	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	321	57¢	$183	0xd0b218…
07-23 18:00:15	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x743f4d…
07-23 17:39:33	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x87c288…
07-23 16:02:43	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	399	60¢	$240	0xc2d8a9…
07-23 16:02:19	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x2b0fdc…
07-23 15:32:40	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	189	36¢	$68	0x783984…
07-23 15:32:40	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	210	36¢	$76	0x29e036…
07-23 15:32:19	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0xa0c860…
07-22 09:48:30	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	36	54¢	$19	0xa59350…
07-22 09:48:30	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	164	54¢	$89	0x7a6c65…
07-22 09:48:13	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x86c0ba…
07-21 06:47:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xd22dfc…
07-21 04:06:49	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0x3ebb84…
07-21 04:06:31	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	185	37¢	$68	0x595077…
07-21 04:06:24	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xa39029…
07-21 01:59:19	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	140	53¢	$74	0x2c91bd…
07-21 01:58:37	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	60	53¢	$32	0x279337…
07-21 01:58:22	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xe0a91e…
07-19 21:01:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	119	76¢	$90	0xc1d815…
07-19 20:51:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xb195d6…
07-19 20:33:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	32	77¢	$25	0x53c633…
07-19 20:33:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0xe0e07c…
07-19 20:33:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x9b7e64…
07-19 20:32:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0x01bdf0…
07-19 20:31:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xc13f30…
07-19 00:58:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xbd8d15…
07-19 00:58:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	180	19¢	$34	0x81f188…
07-19 00:58:16	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x651de7…
07-18 19:14:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0xd98544…
07-18 19:12:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xfe8939…
07-18 13:06:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	72	80¢	$58	0xbff9dc…
07-18 13:06:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	128	80¢	$102	0x6754b5…
07-18 13:05:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x8d7faa…
07-16 04:21:16	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x45df95…
07-16 04:20:53	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x4b06ee…
07-15 18:32:28	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0xca5241…
07-15 18:31:47	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x2193cf…
07-15 15:51:10	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x88e96b…
07-15 15:50:58	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xbe7ece…
07-15 15:50:55	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	199	44¢	$88	0xf8745e…
07-15 14:35:44	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x7262d5…
07-15 14:02:31	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xfb008e…
07-15 13:57:13	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	Yes	SELL	82	46¢	$38	0x50cd30…
07-15 13:26:38	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	Yes	BUY	82	50¢	$41	0xc76191…
07-15 12:55:28	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x2324f4…
07-15 12:53:41	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0xcd2561…
07-12 22:19:47	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	200	83¢	$165	0xdfc7bd…
07-12 22:19:20	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x4a7095…
07-12 14:31:08	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x1233dc…
07-12 14:30:50	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x2e43e2…
07-12 02:56:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x66baee…
07-12 02:55:59	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0xa956f6…
07-12 02:55:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x8e8842…
07-12 02:53:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x4791d9…
07-11 01:19:49	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	200	44¢	$88	0xbc4b06…
07-11 01:19:28	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x5397a1…
07-10 23:50:58	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x362093…
07-10 23:50:41	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x3b58bc…
07-08 15:58:19	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	190	42¢	$80	0x4812a2…
07-08 15:27:20	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xc37bb7…
07-08 15:26:56	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xa31f40…
07-08 03:44:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x858946…
07-08 02:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x19bb6f…
07-07 14:52:44	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	200	51¢	$102	0x5e7bea…
07-07 14:51:55	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xed6c15…
07-07 01:38:41	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	21	41¢	$9	0x9dfad4…
07-07 01:35:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	322	41¢	$132	0xb99c3f…
07-07 01:35:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xa05adc…
07-07 01:35:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0x236024…
07-07 01:35:10	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	176	43¢	$76	0xb1c43f…
07-07 01:35:01	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x587fd2…