Agitated-Compassionate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,074

lifetime

Volume

$27.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-14 22:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Politics

33% 100% +$9

Crypto

20% 63% +$45

Tech

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	21	$1.5K	1,576	1,575	+1	open	—	07-21 01:59
us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	17	$1.3K	1,258	1,257	+1	open	—	07-24 15:24
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	4	$979	546	546	+0	open	—	06-22 21:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	16	$892	800	800	+0	open	—	06-30 11:11
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	10	$850	800	799	+1	open	—	08-01 02:45
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	13	$815	817	817	+1	open	—	07-25 10:15
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 20?	4	$700	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	05-20 19:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	12	$693	800	799	+1	open	—	06-30 05:15
will ethereum dip to 1300 june 1 7 2026	1	$640	641	0	+641	open	—	06-07 21:00
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	7	$622	600	599	+1	open	—	06-26 07:53
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	5	$614	400	400	+0	open	—	08-11 21:39
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	9	$590	600	600	+0	open	—	07-31 04:37
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	12	$570	680	679	+0	open	—	07-11 01:19
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	7	$540	600	599	+1	open	—	06-28 05:54
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	5	$519	997	3	+994	open	—	05-28 20:45
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	6	$515	400	400	+0	open	—	08-06 16:29
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	8	$515	780	780	+0	open	—	08-14 22:10
israel closes its airspace by august 15	5	$464	400	399	+1	open	—	07-23 18:00
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	12	$461	600	599	+1	open	—	07-19 21:01
Fed rate hike in 2026?	4	$394	400	399	+1	open	—	07-12 02:56
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	2	$347	175	175	+0	open	—	01-08 01:05
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	2	$331	200	200	+0	open	—	07-12 22:19
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	3	$331	200	200	+0	open	—	08-10 00:12
will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	3	$326	200	200	+0	open	—	07-28 16:59
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	3	$318	200	200	+0	open	—	07-18 13:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$289	151	151	+0	No	+$9	05-10 20:19
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 17 23	2	$284	143	142	+0	open	—	02-17 13:01
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 gir	2	$280	162	162	+0	open	—	02-16 21:37
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	4	$278	283	282	+1	open	—	08-12 15:20
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	4	$276	200	200	+0	open	—	08-09 11:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 22:10:36	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x79e774…
08-14 22:10:18	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x09251b…
08-13 12:35:37	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	180	30¢	$54	0xdffd7a…
08-13 12:34:39	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	180	31¢	$56	0x0c1e6b…
08-13 02:32:39	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xd76990…
08-13 02:02:27	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0xea4a06…
08-13 01:32:10	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	SELL	150	53¢	$80	0xf08974…
08-13 01:31:52	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xab09e4…
08-12 22:26:54	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	63	25¢	$16	0xd90f9b…
08-12 22:26:54	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	137	25¢	$34	0x7190de…
08-12 22:26:31	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x9acbf2…
08-12 15:20:00	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	82	45¢	$37	0x02ff57…
08-12 15:19:22	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	83	47¢	$39	0xe9f0c3…
08-11 21:39:31	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	150	72¢	$108	0x76e655…
08-11 21:09:07	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xf55e71…
08-11 20:59:09	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x6425cd…
08-10 00:12:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0xc10ee4…
08-10 00:12:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	191	83¢	$158	0x35733d…
08-10 00:06:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x976e06…
08-09 14:44:48	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0x32a0ce…
08-09 14:14:12	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xdd0242…
08-09 12:25:04	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x952548…
08-09 12:24:33	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x37cc0e…
08-09 11:47:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	177	68¢	$120	0x207838…
08-09 11:46:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x79a052…
08-09 11:46:30	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x9f4bba…
08-09 11:15:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xa0fe75…
08-07 12:32:51	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$77	0x5c683c…
08-07 12:32:36	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x30365f…
08-07 10:10:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0xe41c4f…
08-07 10:09:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x7151d0…
08-06 16:29:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	63	78¢	$49	0x712a98…
08-06 16:25:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	114	79¢	$90	0xa03ba9…
08-06 16:24:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	23	79¢	$18	0x552b06…
08-06 16:24:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xc20cd9…
08-06 09:31:06	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	43	55¢	$24	0xb8d8d8…
08-06 09:31:06	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	156	55¢	$86	0x60a84f…
08-06 09:30:45	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xf53d9e…
08-01 09:51:23	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	SELL	66	50¢	$33	0x4fe861…
08-01 09:50:53	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	67	51¢	$34	0xe9b4c8…
08-01 02:45:03	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	195	61¢	$119	0xe94f8b…
08-01 02:14:39	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xc6a97a…
08-01 01:43:57	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xbcdc58…
07-31 04:37:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0x2c2721…
07-31 04:36:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x30e44f…
07-29 14:07:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0xf168d2…
07-29 13:56:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xee9911…
07-28 16:59:59	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	SELL	182	81¢	$147	0x0f3ced…
07-28 16:59:50	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0xd4ad52…
07-28 16:59:26	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xa32824…
07-25 10:15:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xdf4a97…
07-25 10:14:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0x5da954…
07-25 10:14:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x0baf31…
07-25 07:00:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xd94503…
07-25 06:59:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	34	78¢	$27	0xf9aec0…
07-25 06:58:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0x873fcc…
07-24 16:39:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	32	79¢	$25	0xb23646…
07-24 16:39:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xcda09f…
07-24 15:24:40	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	215	55¢	$118	0xc17b6a…
07-24 15:24:39	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0x47597e…
07-24 15:23:54	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x25b71a…
07-24 15:23:43	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x655b26…
07-24 15:23:40	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	45	57¢	$26	0x80aba9…
07-24 15:23:31	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0xdbfc29…
07-24 10:54:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	SELL	168	61¢	$102	0x800f99…
07-24 10:50:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xfb511e…
07-24 10:43:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x2365a0…
07-24 10:31:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	SELL	198	61¢	$121	0x79a415…
07-24 10:30:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	SELL	25	62¢	$16	0xbccf8d…
07-24 10:30:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x129c2f…
07-24 07:56:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	288	55¢	$158	0xd419c2…
07-24 07:56:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	111	55¢	$61	0x4d6533…
07-24 07:56:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x87514e…
07-24 04:11:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	162	43¢	$70	0x179f3c…
07-24 04:11:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	115	43¢	$50	0x73bbdb…
07-24 04:10:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	122	44¢	$54	0x3a4817…
07-24 04:01:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	104	45¢	$47	0x3d9268…
07-24 04:01:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	96	45¢	$43	0x389dc9…
07-23 18:00:28	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	65	57¢	$37	0xd09205…
07-23 18:00:27	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	321	57¢	$183	0xd0b218…
07-23 18:00:15	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x743f4d…
07-23 17:39:33	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x87c288…
07-23 16:02:43	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	399	60¢	$240	0xc2d8a9…
07-23 16:02:19	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x2b0fdc…
07-23 15:32:40	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	189	36¢	$68	0x783984…
07-23 15:32:40	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	210	36¢	$76	0x29e036…
07-23 15:32:19	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0xa0c860…
07-22 09:48:30	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	36	54¢	$19	0xa59350…
07-22 09:48:30	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	164	54¢	$89	0x7a6c65…
07-22 09:48:13	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x86c0ba…
07-21 06:47:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xd22dfc…
07-21 04:06:49	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0x3ebb84…
07-21 04:06:31	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	185	37¢	$68	0x595077…
07-21 04:06:24	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xa39029…
07-21 01:59:19	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	140	53¢	$74	0x2c91bd…
07-21 01:58:37	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	60	53¢	$32	0x279337…
07-21 01:58:22	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xe0a91e…
07-19 21:01:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	119	76¢	$90	0xc1d815…
07-19 20:51:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xb195d6…
07-19 20:33:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	32	77¢	$25	0x53c633…