Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$135

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

Trades

432

lifetime

Volume

$6.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-13

last 09-23 09:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

48% 50% -$87

Politics

35% 75% -$14

Crypto

15% 71% -$34

Tech

2% 0% $0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?	2	$500	537	0	+537	Yes	+$37	09-20 16:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	8	$487	390	390	+0	open	—	09-23 08:58
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	17	$289	299	149	+150	Yes	-$39	09-20 16:11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	5	$281	152	152	+0	open	—	09-23 09:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$173	121	121	+0	open	—	09-23 09:00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$170	134	134	+0	open	—	09-23 08:59
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	9	$169	139	139	+0	open	—	09-23 08:59
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	11	$158	159	133	+25	No	-$50	09-20 16:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	5	$145	75	75	+0	Yes	+$1	09-22 16:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	3	$137	79	79	+0	open	—	09-22 18:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$136	130	130	+0	open	—	09-23 09:00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$132	87	87	+0	Yes	+$0	09-18 11:55
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	5	$126	159	53	+105	Yes	+$15	09-20 16:57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	9	$113	122	122	+0	Yes	-$23	09-20 19:35
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	8	$98	102	72	+30	Yes	+$9	09-18 12:15
US recession by end of 2026?	5	$93	51	51	+0	open	—	09-23 09:00
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?	4	$89	49	49	+0	open	—	09-23 09:00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	5	$87	62	62	+0	open	—	09-20 18:43
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$66	37	37	+0	open	—	09-23 08:59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	3	$65	35	35	+0	open	—	09-22 16:35
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	3	$62	40	40	+0	open	—	09-23 09:00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	4	$59	34	34	+0	open	—	09-23 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	6	$54	29	29	+0	Down	+$4	09-15 21:20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	5	$52	85	85	+0	open	—	09-22 16:35
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$51	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 08:59
Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	5	$51	60	60	+0	Yes	-$14	09-20 16:11
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	09-18 11:55
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	3	$50	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	09-18 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	8	$49	50	32	+18	Down	-$21	09-15 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	9	$48	30	30	+0	Down	+$5	09-15 21:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 09:00:46	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0xf8d07b…
09-23 09:00:41	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	SELL	25	74¢	$18	0x318539…
09-23 09:00:34	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xde1c25…
09-23 09:00:29	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?	No	SELL	49	89¢	$43	0x8ae67c…
09-23 09:00:23	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	152	92¢	$140	0xfa4235…
09-23 09:00:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	121	71¢	$86	0x0b3021…
09-23 09:00:13	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	51	91¢	$46	0xca684e…
09-23 09:00:07	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x2c7651…
09-23 09:00:01	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	130	52¢	$68	0x3338a5…
09-23 08:59:56	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x456555…
09-23 08:59:50	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0x45dafa…
09-23 08:59:43	Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xe13aab…
09-23 08:59:37	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x4e38af…
09-23 08:59:31	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0x1300b5…
09-23 08:59:23	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	37	91¢	$33	0xa98080…
09-23 08:59:17	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0x37998c…
09-23 08:59:10	Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	78¢	$12	0x41cc98…
09-23 08:59:02	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	82	65¢	$53	0xc53b00…
09-23 08:58:56	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	357	65¢	$232	0x12153f…
09-22 19:47:37	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	96	93¢	$89	0x43732c…
09-22 19:36:34	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x9daebb…
09-22 19:36:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x4cff52…
09-22 19:30:18	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0xc3e8d4…
09-22 19:30:12	Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x1f60ab…
09-22 19:30:06	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x34e5a3…
09-22 19:30:00	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x98b258…
09-22 19:29:54	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0x762442…
09-22 19:29:48	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xd1c217…
09-22 19:29:40	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xc65f41…
09-22 19:29:19	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x93bcd8…
09-22 19:29:15	Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0xb335c1…
09-22 19:28:54	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x2dc8ed…
09-22 18:45:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	70	53¢	$37	0xceaa9f…
09-22 18:37:07	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x25cd52…
09-22 18:30:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	85¢	$10	0xa72e88…
09-22 18:29:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	58¢	$18	0xd755cc…
09-22 18:29:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x7058b7…
09-22 18:28:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	SELL	79	85¢	$67	0xc363d4…
09-22 18:11:57	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x95f720…
09-22 18:10:42	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x646307…
09-22 16:55:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	51	72¢	$37	0x06a01c…
09-22 16:50:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xa1d740…
09-22 16:45:58	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x9e1c09…
09-22 16:37:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x66c3f1…
09-22 16:37:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x41431d…
09-22 16:37:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x6e5159…
09-22 16:36:42	Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x605602…
09-22 16:36:33	Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x859604…
09-22 16:35:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xb892e6…
09-22 16:35:37	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x9314e9…
09-22 16:35:21	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	35	94¢	$33	0x207ebd…
09-22 16:35:07	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xf18788…
09-22 16:34:55	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0x5cc8a7…
09-22 16:33:52	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x7ebd8b…
09-22 16:32:49	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x064af7…
09-21 10:59:44	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x01c284…
09-21 10:58:27	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xf32023…
09-21 09:31:15	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xa59455…
09-21 09:30:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	No	SELL	25	71¢	$18	0x9ca123…
09-21 09:29:48	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	186	61¢	$113	0xe4c14d…
09-21 09:25:26	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	No	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0xc3463a…
09-21 09:25:14	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xa0a5cd…
09-21 08:41:42	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x77ea8f…
09-21 08:41:12	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x1f87a8…
09-21 08:40:59	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x0e4269…
09-21 08:40:42	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x52e81a…
09-20 20:40:07	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x62de0a…
09-20 20:09:49	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9488d7…
09-20 19:37:31	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x1ec9ec…
09-20 19:35:55	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	No	SELL	14	53¢	$7	0x949394…
09-20 19:32:55	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	33	89¢	$29	0x410050…
09-20 19:32:07	Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x094b6b…
09-20 19:31:56	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0x561d01…
09-20 19:31:02	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	61	16¢	$10	0x7c6919…
09-20 19:13:20	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x5e5521…
09-20 19:12:32	Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x2329f7…
09-20 19:08:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0xf62858…
09-20 19:03:38	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x9509f7…
09-20 19:02:58	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xee81e8…
09-20 18:47:16	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x386694…
09-20 18:43:46	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x5d6887…
09-20 18:43:34	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x8d7e58…
09-20 18:43:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0x5b0642…
09-20 18:42:26	NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0e4746…
09-20 18:40:47	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x3e48e2…
09-20 18:40:31	Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x9506c5…
09-20 18:40:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x76e5b0…
09-20 18:39:43	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0xd3f07a…
09-20 18:39:35	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x7ab11d…
09-20 18:37:23	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0xb15a9b…
09-20 18:36:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0xca0ba2…
09-20 16:57:33	Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0x6c2087…
09-20 16:56:45	Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x873fe4…
09-20 16:56:12	Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	430	93¢	$400	0xf3b9a3…
09-20 16:31:21	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xa0a43e…
09-20 16:29:10	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x37a414…
09-20 16:13:04	Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0xc3119e…
09-20 16:11:42	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	38	21¢	$8	0xa094d8…
09-20 16:11:30	Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0xa2183d…
09-20 16:11:18	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0x76d8e8…