Ill-Fated-Sugar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

308

lifetime

Volume

$313

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-09 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-0

Politics

29% 0% $-0

Crypto

20% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	12	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	01-24 07:40
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	02-10 09:39
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-05 07:59
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	01-26 09:25
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	6	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-28 04:33
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-12 08:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 04:14
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-14 02:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-08 02:10
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 06:18
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-28 09:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-18 03:06
nba mil sac 2026 01 04	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-05 03:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 03:47
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 08:33
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be between 80 and 85	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 02:39
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 1	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-02 02:45
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 02:52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 07:18
will canada strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-06 02:19
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 02:11
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-06 02:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:59
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 03:39
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-13 03:55
bitcoin above 70k on april 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-10 01:55
bitcoin above 68k on april 13	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-13 02:36
will donald trump publicly insult xi jinping by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-09 02:33
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-06 06:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 02:34:40	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x63bcf9…
06-09 02:33:33	will donald trump publicly insult xi jinping by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc40b79…
06-09 02:27:18	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfe2153…
06-09 02:25:09	will donald trump publicly insult xi jinping by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3e78b5…
06-08 02:10:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x43a073…
06-08 02:08:55	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by june 30	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x57e330…
06-08 02:04:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x064d2d…
06-08 01:59:51	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x053eeb…
06-06 06:11:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd05734…
06-06 06:10:45	will solana dip to 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x6d38c1…
06-06 04:35:01	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe6b24d…
06-06 04:30:09	will solana dip to 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2f44a9…
06-05 04:21:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc44199…
06-05 04:19:31	will apple announce ios 27 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xba222f…
06-05 03:47:18	will apple announce ios 27 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc3711a…
06-05 03:44:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x54f2b0…
06-04 06:16:00	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd191df…
06-04 06:12:45	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xf9c95b…
06-04 03:53:18	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf5b8a3…
06-04 03:46:25	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf48cf9…
06-03 03:47:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5537ea…
06-03 03:46:17	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x879cb4…
06-03 03:33:48	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x71a93b…
06-03 03:27:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xcfaaab…
06-02 03:26:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x52903e…
06-02 03:20:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xbdfdaa…
06-02 03:11:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4bbd52…
06-02 03:06:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x749cb9…
06-01 06:12:21	Trump on $250 bill this year?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe34f18…
06-01 03:59:16	Trump on $250 bill this year?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf2bfd2…
05-30 04:37:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc09256…
05-30 03:48:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8dfb10…
05-29 03:23:13	Will Sam Gallucci advance from the CA-26 primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x47017a…
05-29 03:22:16	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5496cb…
05-29 03:12:29	Will Sam Gallucci advance from the CA-26 primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6bdc85…
05-29 03:05:29	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6e06d9…
05-28 04:57:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e7d35…
05-28 04:48:01	Will jL win a trophy by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2fc451…
05-26 03:31:20	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa8ffd0…
05-26 03:24:27	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3184e4…
05-22 04:41:45	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x32555c…
05-22 04:36:08	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8898be…
05-21 06:04:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8d7eaf…
05-21 04:42:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc66183…
05-19 03:39:49	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc889a6…
05-19 03:38:58	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4de2ab…
05-19 03:30:08	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8d385f…
05-19 03:27:04	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x432aa6…
05-18 06:18:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3977b1…
05-18 06:10:28	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x910d39…
05-18 04:50:46	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe9fae…
05-18 04:43:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0f487a…
05-16 04:29:40	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4bb03b…
05-16 03:52:10	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6bc5cc…
05-13 04:17:33	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xe8dece…
05-13 04:14:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0707f1…
05-13 04:04:37	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6cbe77…
05-13 03:55:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x35b733…
05-12 06:10:52	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc77cbe…
05-12 04:44:30	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe94b88…
05-09 02:32:43	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe59aab…
05-09 02:23:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2fa7fe…
05-08 03:57:30	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc3837b…
05-08 03:56:16	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7680e9…
05-08 03:49:39	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6a2790…
05-08 03:38:44	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb1e3e9…
05-07 02:20:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7d04c8…
05-07 02:10:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4e39d8…
05-06 03:47:58	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3d178f…
05-06 03:46:14	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x2cc209…
05-06 03:34:54	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5db8ce…
05-06 03:29:36	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xafb24e…
05-05 03:01:48	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3c23ff…
05-05 03:00:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9f43ee…
05-05 02:52:12	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdec619…
05-05 02:48:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbb9bb1…
05-04 02:29:30	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6dee34…
05-04 02:09:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7ab0ba…
04-30 03:49:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe1b387…
04-30 03:47:28	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x800378…
04-30 03:41:50	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe4e6ed…
04-30 03:36:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbf27f7…
04-29 03:00:10	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1964d2…
04-29 02:59:20	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc18d70…
04-29 02:52:12	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x24654d…
04-29 02:36:50	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd8fdde…
04-28 02:24:22	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa38e80…
04-28 02:22:56	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xaeea2e…
04-28 02:20:36	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc9d372…
04-28 02:17:18	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc184e3…
04-27 02:14:58	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xad7c17…
04-27 02:13:52	Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x34b16c…
04-27 02:10:56	Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdb2a7b…
04-27 02:02:44	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa415bf…
04-25 02:46:30	Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5c26dc…
04-25 02:42:18	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x96dd9b…
04-25 02:37:40	Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd7f2a0…
04-25 02:30:22	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb03d78…
04-24 02:23:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6c70e7…
04-24 02:21:30	bitcoin above 76k on april 24	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf2494a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	104	$695.6K	12,251	06-09 23:15
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	83	$10.2K	2,000	06-10 00:46
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	82	$5.67K	3,674	06-09 17:07
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	81	$36.5K	3,145	06-09 12:53
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	78	$18.0M	22,184	06-10 03:46
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	74	$181.9K	14,856	06-01 04:00
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	69	$223.0K	14,996	06-10 03:07
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	68	$28.3K	10,121	04-18 22:55