Ill-Fated-Sugar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

442

lifetime

Volume

$445

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-01 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

42% 0% $-0

Politics

30% 0% $-0

Crypto

22% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	12	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	01-24 07:40
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	02-10 09:39
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-05 07:59
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	01-26 09:25
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	6	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-28 04:33
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-23 07:12
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-24 07:03
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-12 08:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 04:14
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-14 02:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-08 02:10
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 06:57
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 06:30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 06:18
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-28 09:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-18 03:06
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-30 07:42
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-27 04:26
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 07:07
nba mil sac 2026 01 04	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-05 03:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	07-06 07:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 03:47
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 08:33
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be between 80 and 85	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 02:39
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 1	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-02 02:45
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 02:52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 07:18
will canada strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-06 02:19
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 02:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 08:52:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7ead96…
08-01 08:46:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8ee0f8…
08-01 08:39:14	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x53cf23…
08-01 08:27:23	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x079245…
07-31 06:56:41	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2621c9…
07-31 06:47:39	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5719e9…
07-30 07:42:35	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2dbc6f…
07-30 07:25:54	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6b16cf…
07-28 07:20:25	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x97d4a8…
07-28 07:17:21	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd2f066…
07-28 07:11:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe18632…
07-28 06:53:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7eb793…
07-27 06:19:42	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x136a5c…
07-27 04:46:28	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4b3da6…
07-27 04:26:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0ae7b0…
07-27 04:22:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x49b656…
07-25 07:23:57	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x381ed0…
07-25 07:16:31	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x437625…
07-25 07:10:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x57c1ba…
07-25 07:00:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9a8cda…
07-24 07:15:40	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x4b1034…
07-24 07:08:12	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9f5204…
07-24 07:03:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb9c582…
07-24 06:57:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcf79a8…
07-23 07:12:30	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6bbf5c…
07-23 07:01:57	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe1349b…
07-23 06:58:19	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2e7af2…
07-23 06:45:00	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x877d50…
07-22 06:43:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe9cff0…
07-22 06:31:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbf328e…
07-21 06:16:10	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1bc822…
07-21 06:11:45	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x900976…
07-21 06:06:30	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x45b14b…
07-21 03:48:22	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x748ae0…
07-20 07:16:58	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x178ab8…
07-20 07:10:04	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb39ab0…
07-20 07:07:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x382d28…
07-20 07:01:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6bc5d8…
07-18 07:04:37	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x22ef8d…
07-18 06:59:39	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1484d2…
07-18 06:57:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe5edc8…
07-18 06:52:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1425a7…
07-16 07:07:56	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x3c977c…
07-16 06:50:50	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2f309b…
07-16 06:42:40	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xba6805…
07-16 06:34:05	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5ed3d8…
07-15 06:22:25	will turkey rejoin the f 35 program by december 31 2026 20260708215836390	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x43f8eb…
07-15 06:14:43	will turkey rejoin the f 35 program by december 31 2026 20260708215836390	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe5b36d…
07-14 06:45:08	will aapl reach 340 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x05a4b1…
07-14 06:38:35	will aapl reach 340 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa6450c…
07-13 07:09:19	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf705e3…
07-13 07:01:29	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcfd9d6…
07-11 07:07:01	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x5eb491…
07-11 07:01:38	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa6aaa6…
07-11 06:55:53	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xab33a7…
07-11 06:46:08	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x461885…
07-10 07:24:38	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260706181027670	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xadc5bb…
07-10 07:07:52	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260706181027670	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb55a36…
07-10 07:02:56	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xe31965…
07-10 06:52:07	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf69a7b…
07-09 06:29:07	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2910c6…
07-09 06:20:43	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4f809f…
07-08 06:43:32	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x771445…
07-08 06:27:44	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4150af…
07-08 06:07:13	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb32358…
07-08 04:24:44	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x914445…
07-07 06:55:20	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x393608…
07-07 06:49:19	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb4a933…
07-06 07:22:52	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x63b1b1…
07-06 07:12:43	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc89c18…
07-06 07:06:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x0cac55…
07-06 06:38:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x72098e…
07-06 06:30:52	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x98a613…
07-06 06:17:35	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc129b4…
07-04 06:34:25	Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x618364…
07-04 06:17:04	Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfd52d1…
07-03 03:49:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd4b9ad…
07-03 03:47:34	Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x25c0f1…
07-03 03:37:50	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x28ee98…
07-03 03:35:17	Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f6ebd…
07-02 06:07:47	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x81c033…
07-02 03:43:43	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x47f7f2…
07-01 03:34:53	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe47eb3…
07-01 03:21:08	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf41daf…
06-30 04:34:56	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x61e090…
06-30 04:33:49	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x4cd556…
06-30 03:53:25	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9936f6…
06-30 03:49:16	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd69611…
06-29 07:10:38	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3f5c2c…
06-29 07:09:44	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x79a162…
06-29 07:03:40	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfeecd2…
06-29 06:57:40	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x343169…
06-27 06:38:37	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xca592d…
06-27 06:38:04	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe2d07a…
06-27 06:30:14	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa1a1bc…
06-27 04:11:47	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc7fa09…
06-27 03:43:37	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe87376…
06-25 06:20:58	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x229878…
06-25 06:19:46	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x650398…
06-25 04:56:56	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x694a8a…