Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.2%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$660

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 06-16 16:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-6

Politics

43% 33% $-3

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	6	$57	172	+172	open	—	02-02 00:21
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	6	$57	123	+123	open	—	02-02 00:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$38	85	+85	open	—	02-02 00:16
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	2	$19	38	+38	open	—	02-02 00:12
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	03-16 19:34
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	04-11 10:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-06 19:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	04-08 15:47
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$8	14	+14	open	—	03-06 11:07
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	1	$8	14	+14	open	—	03-12 08:34
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	1	$8	15	+15	Yes	+$7	04-26 11:08
trump approval up or down this week 857	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	03-14 00:55
aapl up or down on april 9 2026	1	$8	16	+16	open	—	04-08 23:49
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-12 16:34
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	03-05 10:29
will powell say sorry or pardon during march press conference 745 799	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	03-18 15:53
Nothing Ever Happens: March	1	$8	14	+14	open	—	03-16 11:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-17 21:10
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-15 11:04
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	04-24 10:28
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	03-19 05:10
Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	04-23 18:17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	1	$8	9	+9	open	—	02-13 01:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-01 15:33
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	02-14 07:14
amzn above 200 on february 27 2026	1	$8	16	+16	open	—	02-14 15:15
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	03-01 07:32
will tsla dip to 383 in february	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	02-14 23:15
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	02-28 07:32
andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 130 159	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	02-28 15:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 16:30:19	will warsh say balance sheet during june press conference 20260608181156659	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xb70098…
06-14 22:12:10	will warsh say fed during june press conference 20260608181156656	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x6b4099…
06-12 06:25:42	will warsh say chair during june press conference 20260608181156655	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xccdea2…
06-01 06:46:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xc3706e…
05-28 12:16:50	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x0b8f52…
05-26 19:45:00	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x738b8f…
05-26 10:07:26	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xa8c5fd…
05-26 02:03:29	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xaa395c…
05-21 07:15:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xd2fe7e…
05-20 23:10:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x14f96c…
05-18 13:46:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x7cadf5…
05-16 12:00:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x9a52db…
05-16 03:59:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x10b9e6…
05-14 03:32:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xe7bb9b…
05-13 02:54:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x3ea720…
05-12 10:53:45	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xd47509…
05-11 10:51:51	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x19ae84…
05-10 18:48:21	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe540ff…
04-27 11:38:20	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x2273df…
04-27 03:24:08	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x21d78f…
04-26 19:24:02	Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x628f19…
04-26 11:08:26	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xf6f591…
04-26 02:57:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xa4eaf8…
04-24 10:28:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x98ac82…
04-24 02:25:58	Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xb0c478…
04-23 18:17:44	Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x38ec1a…
04-22 17:19:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x97cc6f…
04-22 09:14:06	Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa24e21…
04-22 00:55:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xb511fd…
04-21 08:43:28	will trump say obliterated or obliteration during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x80bc08…
04-21 00:37:38	Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xbfee8a…
04-20 08:16:20	Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x5faf7f…
04-12 22:09:11	trump approval up or down this week 715	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb2ea74…
04-12 12:20:37	Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc02609…
04-12 03:53:19	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x5f08f9…
04-11 19:32:01	will madison airs market cap be greater than 13pt5b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0xd3fa56…
04-11 10:07:41	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x5c47d5…
04-11 02:05:29	tsla up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbbedd8…
04-10 18:00:45	qqq up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x3ef58e…
04-10 09:15:03	aapl up or down on april 10 2026	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xee8444…
04-10 00:59:25	will madison airs market cap be between 12pt5b and 13pt0b at market close on ipo day	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x8e438d…
04-09 16:30:21	amzn up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd8fbae…
04-09 07:56:23	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xe7c506…
04-08 23:49:45	aapl up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x376008…
04-08 15:47:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xf4f158…
04-07 23:46:11	will fidesz kdnp win at least 100 seats	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x0235d3…
04-07 15:40:37	Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $45M and $50M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x2edbcd…
04-07 07:39:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x11093d…
03-20 23:43:15	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x03afcd…
03-20 09:44:03	will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x882f65…
03-20 01:18:09	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x501edf…
03-19 14:44:07	will spd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd8bec5…
03-19 05:10:49	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x93619f…
03-18 15:53:29	will powell say sorry or pardon during march press conference 745 799	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x894e6c…
03-17 21:10:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xd8c81b…
03-17 04:08:39	will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x40ff06…
03-16 19:34:41	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xc7d22f…
03-16 11:30:45	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0xcebb7b…
03-16 03:30:33	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0x38d296…
03-15 11:04:59	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x75325f…
03-14 18:32:47	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x5acc23…
03-14 09:08:07	will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	No	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x7545b2…
03-14 00:55:01	trump approval up or down this week 857	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xdf723f…
03-13 16:50:43	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x6d194d…
03-13 08:47:37	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 65 89	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x095a3d…
03-12 16:34:27	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xeabebb…
03-12 08:34:09	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x18806b…
03-11 08:27:03	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 in february 312	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xe3ab42…
03-07 03:28:29	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 65 89	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x6fe8a8…
03-06 19:27:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xa22c04…
03-06 11:07:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xd4a114…
03-06 02:55:23	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbdf18a…
03-05 18:34:23	ndx up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x77733c…
03-05 10:29:01	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xbbad96…
03-04 18:26:31	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x119a0d…
03-04 09:50:09	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xe71c35…
03-04 01:49:13	will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xf90d31…
03-03 17:48:43	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xc9f245…
03-03 09:45:11	will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 716	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2db282…
03-01 23:37:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x9f872f…
03-01 15:33:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x64b489…
03-01 07:32:49	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xf5df93…
02-28 15:32:25	andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 130 159	Yes	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xcce68f…
02-28 07:32:03	will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x69ff2f…
02-14 23:15:21	will tsla dip to 383 in february	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xa974e3…
02-14 15:15:03	amzn above 200 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x0156fd…
02-14 07:14:03	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x689be1…
02-13 01:50:31	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x00f0ce…
02-12 07:41:17	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3ac841…
02-02 00:21:26	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	11	83¢	$10	0x6d2cfd…
02-02 00:16:16	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0xf14106…
02-02 00:15:38	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0x048024…
02-02 00:14:46	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0xd3adad…
02-02 00:13:08	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xd9bef9…
02-02 00:12:38	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xfa5108…
02-02 00:09:46	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0x936d51…
02-02 00:03:26	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	Yes	BUY	19	49¢	$10	0x92547d…
02-02 00:02:56	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	53	18¢	$10	0x5970f5…
02-02 00:00:20	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0xaf549f…
02-01 15:03:14	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	41	23¢	$10	0x8073a4…