Lopsided-Snowmobiling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$108

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

1,206

Trades

2,037

lifetime

Volume

$3.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-12

last 10-25 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 56% -$95

Other

2% 22% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No		+15	$0	1¢	$0	$0	10-25 16:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 11am et	9	$60	89	63	+26	Down	-$7	08-09 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	13	$29	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$24	3,492	3,242	+250	No	-$4	04-12 18:27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	7	$23	75	75	+0	open	—	09-16 00:11
bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	3	$23	63	57	+6	Up	+$10	08-10 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 18:10 UTC	2	$22	15	15	+0	Up	+$7	02-18 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 16:45 UTC	4	$22	26	16	+10	Down	+$10	02-27 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 11:10 UTC	3	$21	25	18	+7	Up	-$3	02-17 11:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 17:25 UTC	2	$21	21	21	+0	Down	-$1	02-18 17:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 15:10 UTC	5	$21	20	20	+0	Down	+$11	02-27 15:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:35 UTC	3	$20	12	12	+0	Down	+$4	02-17 14:39
bitcoin above 74k on april 11	2	$20	278	258	+19	No	$0	04-11 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 10:25 UTC	3	$18	19	14	+5	Down	+$1	02-14 10:28
bitcoin up or down february 12 12pm et	2	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	02-12 18:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 09:25 UTC	2	$17	12	11	+0	Up	+$6	02-27 09:31
Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-16?	3	$16	34	8	+26	No	-$10	08-16 13:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 08:10 UTC	3	$16	20	10	+10	Down	+$4	02-17 08:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:00 UTC	2	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	02-28 09:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 05:50 UTC	2	$15	11	10	+0	Down	+$6	02-26 05:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 11:30 UTC	2	$15	15	15	+0	Down	-$1	02-17 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 04:15 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	02-19 04:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 15:00 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	02-26 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 10:05 UTC	2	$15	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	02-17 10:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 06:00 UTC	3	$14	12	7	+4	Down	-$3	03-30 06:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 17:50 UTC	4	$14	113	13	+100	Down	+$8	02-25 17:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 06:50 UTC	2	$13	47	0	+47	Down	-$13	02-28 06:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 15:35 UTC	3	$13	32	0	+32	Down	-$4	02-27 15:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 10:30 UTC	3	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	03-29 10:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 12:00 UTC	3	$13	10	6	+4	Up	-$1	03-16 12:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 11:30 UTC	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$5	02-18 11:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 16:12:32	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf8f57d…
10-25 12:42:03	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd83916…
10-25 12:41:32	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbd082e…
10-25 11:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2b39c6…
10-25 10:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcca9a7…
10-25 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa50357…
10-25 10:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa64be1…
10-25 10:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe98656…
10-25 10:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x87c60f…
10-25 09:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa81e0a…
10-25 09:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcdfd7a…
10-25 09:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc51b21…
10-25 09:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe7d7c0…
10-25 09:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x55f015…
10-25 09:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x804448…
10-25 09:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x8be22e…
10-25 09:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8141f0…
10-25 08:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x44d8c8…
10-25 08:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x249645…
10-25 08:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2b473f…
10-15 08:30:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x384090…
10-15 08:28:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x705320…
10-15 08:26:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x36ae7f…
10-15 08:20:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1a103e…
10-15 08:16:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4354f2…
10-07 14:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfc4110…
10-07 14:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7ae31a…
10-07 14:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaa8437…
10-07 14:16:52	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xfb47a8…
10-06 16:12:18	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xe60962…
10-06 16:10:53	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7d1baa…
10-06 16:08:53	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfe5806…
09-28 18:05:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x02f412…
09-28 18:02:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa8b0e6…
09-28 18:01:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd5c7e7…
09-28 17:55:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x884d8e…
09-28 17:53:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x0b47e7…
09-28 17:52:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4c817e…
09-22 14:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x580ddc…
09-22 14:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc6e940…
09-22 14:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x04f79b…
09-22 13:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd40506…
09-22 13:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcf9f22…
09-22 13:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa21661…
09-22 13:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3df633…
09-22 13:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x05db97…
09-22 13:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfe1c0d…
09-22 13:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x61f6f5…
09-22 12:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x36069e…
09-22 12:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x273b33…
09-22 12:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x72da55…
09-22 12:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0c2dd9…
09-22 11:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd85b01…
09-22 11:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xba2a8e…
09-22 11:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x59d418…
09-22 11:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7a2d8b…
09-22 11:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8e250b…
09-22 10:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1f2b2e…
09-22 10:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4f3ae7…
09-22 10:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe21e6c…
09-22 10:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3e730c…
09-22 10:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x47239c…
09-22 10:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5c4b54…
09-22 10:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa83311…
09-22 10:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x709a56…
09-22 10:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x13e81c…
09-22 10:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x43405e…
09-22 09:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcafff1…
09-22 09:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x355a16…
09-22 09:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xeb6f00…
09-22 09:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc6a651…
09-22 09:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3979ca…
09-22 07:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5f379d…
09-16 00:11:45	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0xa3c982…
09-14 15:49:54	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x716b1e…
09-13 17:18:33	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0x8fbd5a…
09-07 13:52:49	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0x408a7d…
09-02 17:35:40	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x150c13…
09-02 16:50:07	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0x75975f…
09-02 15:28:40	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x969f73…
08-23 17:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x9c5820…
08-23 17:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x6e09a1…
08-23 17:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x2428e5…
08-23 16:49:46	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xc19903…
08-17 07:58:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x0219ff…
08-17 07:55:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc04e57…
08-17 07:55:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xba72fc…
08-17 07:38:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xda85f9…
08-17 07:35:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb6a23e…
08-17 07:34:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x001a0c…
08-17 07:10:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8d3ef7…
08-17 07:07:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa7bd27…
08-17 07:06:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x7542b4…
08-17 07:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfcf3a2…
08-17 06:52:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x75cf6e…
08-17 06:51:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x0ddd17…
08-17 06:50:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4e7c99…
08-17 06:41:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x83fd62…
08-17 06:37:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe967a8…
08-17 06:37:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf3980e…