Notable-Cuckoo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$34

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-12 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 0% -$15

Other

19% 33% +$0

Politics

7% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Up	-$7	05-12 17:26
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$4	590	590	+0	No	-$1	05-12 20:04
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$4	77	77	+0	No	$0	05-12 20:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$4	50	50	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 19:45
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	2	$3	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	05-12 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$3	63	0	+63	Up	-$3	05-12 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$2	111	0	+111	Up	-$2	05-12 17:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	$0	05-12 20:05
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$1	250	250	+0	Yes	-$1	05-12 20:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	2	$1	125	125	+0	Yes	-$1	05-12 20:05
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	2	$1	38	38	+0	No	-$1	05-12 20:05
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-12 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	-$1	05-12 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 20:05:49	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0xbb3911…
05-12 20:05:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xe4ee0d…
05-12 20:05:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0xb2989a…
05-12 20:05:35	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xacf824…
05-12 20:05:02	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	77	2¢	$2	0x44c163…
05-12 20:04:39	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xa495f4…
05-12 20:04:38	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	590	0¢	$2	0xe83085…
05-12 19:45:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0xc4df4a…
05-12 17:26:57	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	590	0¢	$2	0x2f24ba…
05-12 17:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0f9570…
05-12 17:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xce9253…
05-12 17:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x965f6e…
05-12 17:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3a901f…
05-12 17:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd36c7a…
05-12 17:21:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x382279…
05-12 17:21:32	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xc1f4d6…
05-12 17:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x277ac5…
05-12 17:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa914f0…
05-12 17:13:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x3d9cf4…
05-12 17:07:37	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x925ca5…
05-12 16:54:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0xe4ace7…
05-12 16:48:27	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xcabc6b…
05-12 16:47:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xec106e…
05-12 16:43:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2881c8…
05-12 16:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc46a27…