Spirited-Steak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

Trades

914

lifetime

Volume

$457

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 11-06 05:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

63% 42% +$19

Politics

26% 88% +$45

Crypto

11% 12% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+52	$7	14¢	$7	+$0	11-06 05:55
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes		+6	$1	8¢	$1	$0	06-15 07:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	5	$65	117	117	+0	No	+$6	05-08 03:59
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	5	$42	52	52	+0	Yes	+$18	05-12 00:45
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$37	240	240	+0	No	-$3	03-08 22:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$25	16	16	+0	No	+$3	05-08 00:29
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	2	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	05-08 04:00
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	3	$14	25	25	+0	Yes	+$7	05-12 00:45
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	31	$10	1,193	1,193	+0	No	+$8	05-04 10:03
will mrbeasts next video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5	14	$10	2,765	2,765	+0	No	-$2	03-26 13:22
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?	82	$9	2,425	2,402	+23	No	+$4	05-04 18:23
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 22, 2026?	58	$8	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$4	05-04 20:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	8	$8	564	345	+219	Yes	$0	05-02 15:37
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 18, 2026?	28	$8	2,300	2,300	+0	No	+$3	05-07 00:17
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	2	$8	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	05-12 00:45
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?	3	$8	50	50	+0	No	+$1	05-04 18:22
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 27, 2026?	64	$7	1,893	1,893	+0	No	+$3	05-07 22:23
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$7	52	0	+52	open	—	11-06 05:55
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?	64	$7	1,873	1,873	+0	No	+$3	05-04 20:02
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-08 04:00
highest temperature in tokyo on march 28 2026 11corbelow	2	$6	6,000	0	+6,000	No	-$6	03-27 10:41
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 23, 2026?	58	$6	1,950	1,950	+0	No	+$2	05-04 18:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-13 07:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	3	$5	90	90	+0	No	$0	05-12 00:15
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?	44	$4	998	998	+0	No	+$2	05-04 15:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$4	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-12 00:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	05-01 15:47
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 20, 2026?	20	$4	1,443	1,443	+0	No	+$1	05-04 01:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$4	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-13 07:01
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?	27	$3	640	640	+0	No	+$2	05-04 15:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$3	6	6	+0	Yes	-$1	05-13 07:01
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?	3	$3	954	954	+0	No	+$1	05-19 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 05:55:10	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	52	13¢	$7	0x7bc4b4…
06-15 07:56:30	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x546639…
06-15 07:55:00	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9ff603…
05-19 06:49:10	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?	Yes	SELL	931	0¢	$2	0x993524…
05-15 23:41:51	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	Yes	SELL	141	1¢	$1	0x9ca58c…
05-14 23:35:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x51baa1…
05-14 17:43:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	Yes	SELL	223	1¢	$1	0x76b5b5…
05-13 07:02:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x898b16…
05-13 07:02:20	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xf825de…
05-13 07:02:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xc511b3…
05-13 07:02:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x164ac1…
05-13 07:01:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x2f9706…
05-13 07:01:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x480a24…
05-13 07:01:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x08f792…
05-13 07:01:38	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xfbae2b…
05-13 07:01:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x9625ee…
05-13 07:01:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x47c5eb…
05-13 07:01:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x3a00be…
05-13 07:01:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x7ee538…
05-13 07:01:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x38f793…
05-12 00:46:11	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x3a59b7…
05-12 00:45:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x0c5dce…
05-12 00:45:41	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xe4d8bb…
05-12 00:45:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0xaea3f3…
05-12 00:45:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	SELL	11	70¢	$7	0x773c9e…
05-12 00:18:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x8a3c3f…
05-12 00:15:44	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x3218af…
05-12 00:15:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	SELL	90	3¢	$2	0x708c54…
05-11 23:24:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x5c266f…
05-11 13:52:51	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x1fd26b…
05-09 20:22:22	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	Yes	SELL	209	0¢	$0	0x79d877…
05-09 16:16:52	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x1941f8…
05-09 06:07:33	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	Yes	SELL	291	0¢	$1	0xe0e95b…
05-08 04:00:25	Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0xae864d…
05-08 04:00:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x9f3c6a…
05-08 03:59:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$6	0xb9da3e…
05-08 00:41:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0ddfd8…
05-08 00:39:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x075717…
05-08 00:38:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa07323…
05-08 00:34:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x108bba…
05-08 00:33:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x02bb23…
05-08 00:30:30	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	36	27¢	$10	0x99c864…
05-08 00:29:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0xd27333…
05-08 00:29:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x3a1041…
05-08 00:28:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0xb11454…
05-08 00:25:38	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xc990e1…
05-08 00:19:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x18ba3e…
05-08 00:19:23	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x8be696…
05-08 00:16:00	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0xd40a16…
05-07 22:33:55	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	485	0¢	$1	0x377866…
05-07 22:33:38	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	490	0¢	$1	0x275894…
05-07 22:23:18	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	198	0¢	$0	0x8997eb…
05-07 00:17:28	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xe88506…
05-06 23:00:35	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x7349fb…
05-06 18:06:39	Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x9adef1…
05-06 16:48:08	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	0¢	$2	0xe83f8d…
05-05 23:08:50	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,300	0¢	$1	0x4c3326…
05-05 21:46:16	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0xc3f796…
05-05 14:28:10	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x4b092c…
05-05 12:48:10	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x2c8d00…
05-04 20:03:02	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	267	0¢	$1	0x9ec8ef…
05-04 20:02:12	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	999	0¢	$1	0x4a5e21…
05-04 18:23:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x0bb032…
05-04 18:23:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x20b08a…
05-04 18:23:00	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xc53731…
05-04 18:22:38	Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xb9e133…
05-04 18:22:12	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,212	0¢	$1	0x833809…
05-04 18:17:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	16	71¢	$11	0x475d86…
05-04 16:14:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	158	1¢	$1	0x89dcdf…
05-04 15:31:54	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	233	0¢	$1	0xeb7306…
05-04 15:31:54	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	496	0¢	$1	0x8ba7b6…
05-04 15:31:54	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$1	0x84806e…
05-04 15:31:36	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	247	0¢	$1	0xafeef2…
05-04 15:31:36	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0x46c646…
05-04 15:31:36	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x3c0b1b…
05-04 15:31:36	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	192	0¢	$1	0x214d97…
05-04 15:30:06	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xfeed49…
05-04 15:30:06	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x6ef6f0…
05-04 15:30:06	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x6a359e…
05-04 15:30:06	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x597e09…
05-04 15:30:06	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x58c194…
05-04 15:07:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	BUY	52	23¢	$12	0x8c2605…
05-04 12:28:02	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x6ad457…
05-04 10:43:40	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xe8cf16…
05-04 10:43:40	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	323	0¢	$1	0x4b4f2c…
05-04 10:41:58	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xfc1ec5…
05-04 10:41:58	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xb7b0d0…
05-04 10:41:58	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x87a199…
05-04 10:41:58	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	0¢	$0	0x4c74ef…
05-04 10:41:58	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x10e486…
05-04 10:41:58	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x107f9c…
05-04 10:41:56	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0xf9b8bd…
05-04 10:03:04	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	0¢	$1	0x1d8df4…
05-04 07:03:02	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	736	0¢	$1	0xa537ce…
05-04 03:13:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	280	0¢	$1	0xf627cc…
05-04 03:12:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0xe9cdf7…
05-04 03:12:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0x851d8c…
05-04 03:09:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xbd6ec7…
05-04 03:02:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	108	0¢	$0	0x76504a…
05-04 02:20:18	Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x827c9d…