Crazy-Pride — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$299

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

206

Trades

1,180

lifetime

Volume

$4.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-26

last 08-19 21:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 45% -$227

Politics

33% 37% -$8

Other

13% 50% -$45

Sports

3% 56% -$19

Tech

2% 50% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-19).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+0	$0	12¢	$0	$0	06-07 02:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 13:10 UTC	2	$135	114	114	+0	Up	+$85	07-31 13:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	41	$112	351	351	+0	Yes	$0	06-12 19:11
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	23	$92	60	55	+5	Yes	-$1	07-12 18:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	40	$75	160	160	+0	Yes	-$2	06-12 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	6	$73	61	61	+0	Down	+$33	05-10 08:40
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	20	$71	57	57	+0	No	+$0	07-15 14:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?	25	$67	60	60	+0	No	-$2	07-09 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	8	$65	67	66	+1	Down	+$13	05-11 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	11	$64	47	47	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 22:31
Will Birmingham City win on 2026-07-31?	3	$64	87	87	+0	No	+$24	07-31 19:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	31	$64	81	79	+2	Yes	$0	06-14 21:32
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	20	$63	59	54	+5	No	$0	06-26 00:35
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	7	$62	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-15 21:30
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	26	$62	57	57	+0	Yes	$0	06-14 08:49
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-07-31?	4	$59	184	0	+184	No	-$59	07-31 19:56
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	32	$58	174	174	+0	Yes	+$4	06-07 21:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	18	$56	46	46	+0	Yes	$0	06-14 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	9	$56	115	115	+0	Up	+$30	05-11 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 10:25 UTC	3	$55	276	0	+276	Down	-$55	06-21 10:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	18	$54	45	45	+0	No	+$0	06-19 21:04
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	9	$53	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	06-13 18:12
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	5	$50	440	0	+440	Up	-$50	04-26 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$50	26	26	+0	Up	+$0	06-21 10:23
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	28	$49	63	63	+0	Yes	-$1	06-14 21:33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	19	$49	128	128	+0	No	-$1	06-02 13:05
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	26	$48	80	79	+1	Yes	+$1	06-03 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	7	$46	65	57	+8	Up	+$4	05-11 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	7	$43	139	37	+102	Down	+$0	05-11 22:23
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	25	$42	85	85	+0	Yes	-$3	06-07 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	9	$40	40	40	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 21:16:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x00183a…
08-18 21:44:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3f6452…
08-18 21:44:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1bd660…
08-18 21:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4ec2b7…
08-14 23:45:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf5015a…
08-14 23:45:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xeff610…
08-14 23:43:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x04a315…
08-14 23:43:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x84837e…
08-14 23:39:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x68e020…
08-14 23:39:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x71eccb…
08-14 23:38:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x433eb3…
08-14 23:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xa72b46…
08-14 23:37:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8c7c01…
08-04 10:13:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x28dd06…
08-04 10:06:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x50c2cb…
08-04 10:04:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe2c273…
08-04 10:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0xa8ba95…
08-04 10:03:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x2f6790…
08-01 16:14:14	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	SELL	1,470	1¢	$10	0xb388ae…
08-01 10:32:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x576b9a…
08-01 10:31:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc99ff7…
08-01 10:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xbc36bf…
08-01 10:30:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:25 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x60e3dc…
08-01 10:26:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc5c7d8…
08-01 10:26:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcd2d72…
08-01 10:21:15	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0xedba14…
08-01 10:20:56	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	756	1¢	$10	0x3491cf…
08-01 10:18:56	bitcoin above 66k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	3,700	0¢	$5	0xa3596c…
08-01 10:18:29	bitcoin above 64k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x549559…
07-31 20:11:09	atp minaur nakashi 2026 07 31	Brandon Nakashima	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2100e7…
07-31 19:56:44	Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xbdb84a…
07-31 19:55:15	Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-31?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x9131c0…
07-31 19:48:26	atp minaur nakashi 2026 07 31	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x02f98d…
07-31 19:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	592	4¢	$25	0xadca60…
07-31 19:37:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xa132e1…
07-31 19:37:48	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x88d48e…
07-31 19:37:38	bitcoin above 64k on august 1 2026	Yes	SELL	143	6¢	$9	0x39d7f9…
07-31 19:29:36	Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xc18b42…
07-31 19:29:26	Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x693997…
07-31 19:27:56	bitcoin above 64k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x505082…
07-31 19:26:41	Will Birmingham City win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	SELL	87	51¢	$44	0x95c0cd…
07-31 19:24:18	Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x00f522…
07-31 19:18:03	Will Drogheda United FC win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x370cf1…
07-31 19:17:18	Will Birmingham City win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xe3e343…
07-31 19:17:02	Will Birmingham City win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x47e021…
07-31 16:13:09	bitcoin above 68k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	4,473	0¢	$10	0x1240a7…
07-31 16:12:41	bitcoin above 66k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1,048	1¢	$10	0x59ee0b…
07-31 15:40:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-31 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0x60e128…
07-31 15:40:06	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-31 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	502	0¢	$1	0x8acbe5…
07-31 15:38:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-31 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	528	1¢	$5	0xca0b2b…
07-31 15:38:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-31 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2,285	0¢	$5	0x3d5161…
07-31 15:38:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-31 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xa2a564…
07-31 15:37:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-31 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4,725	0¢	$5	0x50f1da…
07-31 15:35:45	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x13af1d…
07-31 15:35:41	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0x89296c…
07-31 13:14:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 13:10 UTC	Down	SELL	114	97¢	$110	0xf68c75…
07-31 13:11:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xf5d5e0…
07-31 13:09:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x25a3ea…
07-31 13:08:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x70f500…
07-31 11:35:33	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe05203…
07-31 11:35:30	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x422aa4…
07-31 11:35:26	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf2fd65…
07-31 11:35:24	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6e14da…
07-31 10:03:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xb4d134…
07-22 20:07:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x08c397…
07-22 17:55:40	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x2c7cfc…
07-22 15:23:31	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe936f4…
07-22 15:18:13	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x020fce…
07-22 09:55:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x435532…
07-22 09:54:48	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xdf3190…
07-22 09:53:18	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7380a3…
07-22 09:49:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x15794c…
07-22 09:27:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x3e79bb…
07-22 09:27:42	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xddd6ed…
07-22 09:27:34	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xc58d86…
07-20 16:51:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x60eab7…
07-19 19:57:07	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xce24ec…
07-19 13:07:06	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,200	0¢	$3	0xe9e279…
07-17 21:34:54	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,600	0¢	$2	0x15174c…
07-17 15:50:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x02bfd6…
07-16 22:18:31	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x581c7c…
07-16 16:47:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xc0e186…
07-16 16:47:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xac7fc0…
07-16 08:24:08	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x754f54…
07-15 21:30:37	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xbeafd2…
07-15 21:05:26	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc2bd2f…
07-15 19:50:02	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x194faa…
07-15 18:30:14	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xd60218…
07-15 18:30:14	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	140	0¢	$0	0x9df69b…
07-15 18:30:14	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x3710d9…
07-15 18:29:31	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xfbff74…
07-15 18:25:29	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	208	0¢	$0	0xb2708a…
07-15 18:24:37	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	302	0¢	$0	0xa1c948…
07-15 18:23:53	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	280	0¢	$0	0x334371…
07-15 18:23:01	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	293	0¢	$0	0x37a7c2…
07-15 18:22:23	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	640	0¢	$1	0xc6b844…
07-15 18:21:46	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	137	0¢	$0	0xc7495c…
07-15 18:21:04	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	140	0¢	$0	0x6fc7b7…
07-15 18:20:08	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	498	0¢	$0	0xe1ab34…
07-15 18:19:10	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	262	0¢	$0	0x1b6e05…