Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.88K

Unrealized P&L

+$509

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$186.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.36K

Open exposure

$10.5K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-25 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Sports

46% 80% +$3,372

Other

45% 89% +$1,944

Politics

8% 75% +$566

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No		+7,173	$6,219	94¢	$6.7K	+$488	09-08 10:24
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	No		+4,200	$3,822	92¢	$3.8K	+$21	10-25 14:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$26.3K	14,037	14,037	+0	Yes	+$1,718	06-21 17:51
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$24.0K	12,857	12,857	+0	open	—	06-17 16:55
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	3	$16.7K	9,200	9,200	+0	No	-$506	08-25 12:26
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	34	$15.0K	16,100	0	+16,100	No	+$1,137	07-19 09:36
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$14.3K	15,023	0	+15,023	No	+$751	06-30 10:08
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$14.0K	14,308	0	+14,308	No	+$272	06-23 17:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$11.9K	0	12,499	-12,499	No	-$625	05-09 06:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$10.2K	11,332	0	+11,332	No	+$1,119	02-03 01:33
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$9.2K	10,112	0	+10,112	Yes	+$930	01-05 09:53
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	3	$7.7K	8,273	0	+8,273	No	+$534	07-31 20:57
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	5	$6.2K	7,173	0	+7,173	open	—	09-08 10:24
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	58	$4.9K	2,597	2,597	+0	No	+$78	08-20 09:06
us government funding lapse on january 31	1	$4.3K	4,302	0	+4,302	Yes	+$46	01-30 15:00
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	1	$3.8K	4,200	0	+4,200	open	—	10-25 14:14
will no government funding bill be passed by january 31 2026 823	3	$3.4K	3,476	0	+3,476	Yes	+$42	01-30 14:59
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	1	$3.4K	3,402	0	+3,402	No	+$41	07-29 13:33
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	1	$2.7K	2,858	0	+2,858	Yes	+$172	08-04 17:12
will the next government funding bill be passed on january 31 2026 941	1	$2.4K	2,452	0	+2,452	No	+$34	01-30 14:59
will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	1	$2.3K	2,350	0	+2,350	No	+$43	08-17 10:14
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2.2K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$275	08-14 10:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	10	$1.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$180	08-01 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 14:14:02	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,200	91¢	$3,822	0xc92cfc…
09-08 10:24:18	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	1,786	86¢	$1,536	0x1214c1…
09-08 10:03:30	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	71	86¢	$61	0x0cab7d…
09-08 10:01:54	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	143	86¢	$123	0x155ed8…
09-08 09:43:16	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	173	86¢	$149	0x9197f7…
08-28 10:57:28	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	5,000	87¢	$4,350	0x04fa83…
08-25 12:26:48	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	9,200	88¢	$8,096	0xbf943d…
08-21 13:58:04	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	9,083	94¢	$8,492	0xb479da…
08-20 15:23:06	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	117	94¢	$110	0x439445…
08-20 09:06:40	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	199	95¢	$189	0xae67f3…
08-20 09:06:40	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x9b4937…
08-20 09:06:40	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4e5c18…
08-20 01:33:33	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x3a4c99…
08-20 01:33:27	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xd0ef6a…
08-20 01:32:48	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xf3cace…
08-20 01:32:48	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x67052f…
08-20 01:32:48	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x2333f4…
08-20 01:02:52	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x7bd279…
08-20 01:02:46	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xfde7b7…
08-20 01:02:28	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x4be404…
08-20 01:02:28	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x241a67…
08-19 21:40:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	421	95¢	$400	0x0dad6c…
08-19 21:29:04	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7adcfd…
08-19 21:29:01	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xbf9216…
08-19 21:28:30	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf79724…
08-19 21:28:25	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xfbb463…
08-19 21:28:25	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xf10f96…
08-19 21:28:25	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xe3d081…
08-19 21:28:25	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x7e6e90…
08-19 21:28:25	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x3085ed…
08-19 21:25:24	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x803210…
08-19 21:25:21	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xd2be2a…
08-19 21:25:09	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xff58fb…
08-19 21:25:09	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x63503d…
08-19 21:25:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xf9176a…
08-19 21:25:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf8bd53…
08-19 21:25:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xed3a59…
08-19 21:25:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x1c4e2e…
08-19 21:25:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0d24fd…
08-19 21:25:06	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5d6e55…
08-19 20:16:34	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x53ff08…
08-19 19:39:42	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x20cadc…
08-19 19:39:40	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0xf96a2c…
08-19 19:39:19	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	159	95¢	$151	0x63e58d…
08-19 19:39:00	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x2aa69c…
08-19 19:38:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	169	95¢	$160	0xbddb15…
08-19 19:38:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	103	95¢	$98	0x501850…
08-19 19:38:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x3872c2…
08-19 19:38:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x19b218…
08-19 19:38:57	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0xb39a8d…
08-19 19:38:57	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb3218f…
08-19 19:38:57	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	140	95¢	$133	0x741a98…
08-19 19:38:57	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x2ce156…
08-19 19:38:57	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0x239480…
08-17 18:04:42	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x5b6e41…
08-17 18:04:40	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	34	95¢	$33	0x387f7f…
08-17 18:04:36	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xa5ff2b…
08-17 18:04:30	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2dd108…
08-17 18:04:28	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xbb6f39…
08-17 16:36:09	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xd36af2…
08-17 16:36:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x5dc3b4…
08-17 14:34:28	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x1da2ba…
08-17 14:34:12	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xaf6828…
08-17 14:34:09	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x24c64a…
08-17 14:34:09	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x0bef55…
08-17 14:26:12	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	947	95¢	$900	0x2872aa…
08-17 10:14:39	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	2,350	98¢	$2,307	0x482ae0…
08-14 10:09:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	2,500	89¢	$2,225	0x4976d7…
08-04 17:12:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	2,858	94¢	$2,687	0xa6a440…
08-02 07:56:35	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	2,597	92¢	$2,389	0x3a13f6…
08-01 08:39:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	712	55¢	$392	0x3bdb59…
08-01 08:06:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	788	55¢	$433	0xa36188…
07-31 20:57:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	2,340	92¢	$2,153	0x8092d2…
07-30 01:47:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	1,660	92¢	$1,527	0x46d0d4…
07-29 13:33:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3,402	99¢	$3,362	0x2cebcf…
07-28 10:22:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	4,273	95¢	$4,060	0xea7b4b…
07-27 13:39:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	152	67¢	$102	0xf08056…
07-27 12:47:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x04adec…
07-27 12:47:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	414	67¢	$277	0x76124e…
07-27 12:45:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x55f192…
07-27 11:28:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xfc5029…
07-27 11:10:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	76	67¢	$51	0xc4afd4…
07-27 11:01:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x44a6e0…
07-27 10:58:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	845	67¢	$566	0xef5a75…
07-19 09:36:06	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	82	93¢	$76	0x1b2088…
07-19 09:35:57	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	74	93¢	$69	0x80916e…
07-19 09:35:19	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	286	93¢	$266	0xad8938…
07-19 09:34:31	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x4d4131…
07-19 09:34:24	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,071	93¢	$996	0xa0de7a…
07-19 09:33:46	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x30a9fb…
07-19 09:33:40	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x9f43a5…
07-19 09:33:25	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	129	93¢	$120	0x4c36c9…
07-19 09:32:30	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xf66bc6…
07-19 09:32:01	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x37f20e…
07-19 09:30:13	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x461368…
07-19 09:29:39	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xdfb3fc…
07-19 09:29:30	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xb61198…
07-19 09:29:03	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	473	93¢	$440	0xd03ced…
07-19 09:28:33	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x36c3f6…
07-19 09:27:04	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xa69d73…