Grandiose-Cactus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$79

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 07-08 03:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

71% 52% -$6

Politics

11% 25% -$2

Sports

11% 75% +$1

Crypto

7% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-2	-$1	16¢	$-0	+$1	06-30 08:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes		-4	-$1	3¢	$-0	+$1	05-19 14:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	6	$6	8	8	+0	No	+$0	05-02 12:22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	-$5	05-30 16:07
Will Kirk Cousins play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?	2	$5	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	03-17 09:50
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	-$3	06-17 06:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$3	5	7	-2	open	—	06-30 08:16
lol jdg wb 2026 03 07	2	$3	2	2	+0	JD Gaming	+$1	03-07 12:43
will usa win the 2026 world baseball classic	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	03-17 09:51
cs2 3dmax navi 2026 03 10	2	$3	2	2	+0	Natus Vincere	+$1	03-10 16:41
nba nyk den 2026 03 06	2	$3	2	2	+0	Knicks	+$1	03-07 04:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-01 08:11
spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	03-04 07:55
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	+$0	07-08 03:57
will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1	2	$2	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-07 03:07
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	+$0	03-20 16:31
will aryna sabalenka win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 13:09
atp ofner busta 2026 03 28	1	$2	3	0	+3	Pablo Carreno Busta	-$2	03-28 10:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	05-19 14:05
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	$0	04-20 14:08
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-25 12:32
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	$0	03-12 20:09
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	2	$2	9	9	+0	No	$0	03-28 14:00
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 240 259	2	$2	9	9	+0	No	$0	03-07 12:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$2	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-25 10:44
trump announces attorney general pick by april 17 2026	2	$1	4	4	+0	No	-$1	04-07 01:56
white house of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 180 199	2	$1	2	2	+0	No	-$1	04-06 03:15
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 200plus	2	$1	2	2	+0	No	-$1	03-09 05:37
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 20 39	2	$1	26	26	+0	No	-$1	03-04 07:54
Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?	1	$1	100	0	+100	No	-$1	05-02 12:25
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	04-05 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 02:55 UTC	1	$1	111	0	+111	Up	-$1	03-07 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 03:57:49	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x6b10ce…
06-30 08:16:22	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5eacb7…
06-30 07:48:25	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x41f16c…
06-17 06:34:35	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x1070eb…
05-30 16:07:40	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x17673f…
05-25 12:32:28	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x5cd027…
05-19 14:05:51	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x908af6…
05-19 14:05:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x4a262c…
05-19 14:05:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x5dd892…
05-05 09:01:00	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5767fd…
05-02 12:25:04	Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1afd29…
05-02 12:25:00	Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xda07f7…
05-02 12:23:08	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xb6028d…
05-02 12:22:58	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x28e078…
05-01 08:11:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8b70f6…
05-01 08:11:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x52892f…
04-25 10:44:08	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x2188d9…
04-20 14:17:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xca936b…
04-20 14:12:06	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5fc0f2…
04-20 14:10:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9174e9…
04-20 14:09:10	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1ef030…
04-20 14:08:52	Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xdf13d7…
04-20 14:08:00	Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdea826…
04-09 01:57:09	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xa65a86…
04-07 01:56:43	trump announces attorney general pick by april 17 2026	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0xf45861…
04-06 15:03:21	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0432b7…
04-06 15:02:17	trump announces attorney general pick by april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd2d00c…
04-06 03:15:17	white house of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 180 199	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x60152d…
04-05 11:09:27	will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x56ae5f…
04-05 11:08:59	white house of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 180 199	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbeb74d…
04-05 11:08:33	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2d2a5e…
03-28 14:00:29	will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0xb4b695…
03-28 13:11:05	will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x955aac…
03-28 10:15:47	atp ofner busta 2026 03 28	Sebastian Ofner	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa1d2f3…
03-25 13:09:35	will aryna sabalenka win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x588486…
03-23 04:54:53	will aryna sabalenka win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc09150…
03-20 16:31:39	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x81e7ab…
03-17 09:51:15	will usa win the 2026 world baseball classic	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x6e830e…
03-17 09:51:09	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xa49ba0…
03-17 09:50:59	Will Kirk Cousins play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0xa7187d…
03-16 03:45:19	Will Kirk Cousins play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6d4e4d…
03-14 18:26:51	epl che new 2026 03 14 new	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0b066b…
03-12 20:12:53	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe7d068…
03-12 20:10:47	will usa win the 2026 world baseball classic	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xad19bc…
03-12 20:09:45	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x020169…
03-11 18:07:41	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xef2055…
03-10 16:43:45	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x67662b…
03-10 16:41:07	cs2 3dmax navi 2026 03 10	Natus Vincere	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa119ac…
03-10 14:22:49	cs2 3dmax navi 2026 03 10	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9a7ded…
03-10 14:19:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xe2bf3b…
03-09 05:37:41	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 200plus	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x8762b7…
03-07 12:44:09	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 200plus	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x626aba…
03-07 12:43:19	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 240 259	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0xb34eb3…
03-07 12:43:07	lol jdg wb 2026 03 07	JD Gaming	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8ef3c4…
03-07 04:19:21	nba nyk den 2026 03 06	Knicks	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1a5a9f…
03-07 03:09:05	lol jdg wb 2026 03 07	JD Gaming	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe1ed6b…
03-07 03:08:25	nba nyk den 2026 03 06	Knicks	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3851bd…
03-07 03:07:53	will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x4e703f…
03-07 02:59:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xc8620b…
03-04 08:01:47	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2be784…
03-04 07:56:17	epl ast che 2026 03 04 che	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb7a743…
03-04 07:55:27	spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xd85240…
03-04 07:54:17	donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 20 39	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x271bf7…
03-04 02:48:31	spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4fe6b9…
03-03 13:44:51	will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x323049…
03-03 13:36:33	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 240 259	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf5c7a7…
03-03 13:32:39	donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 20 39	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x86cb1a…
03-03 08:11:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xac33fe…
03-03 08:05:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x990702…