Realized P&L
-$1.34K
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
54.0%
Resolved
5,460
Trades
10,307
lifetime
Volume
$40.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$97
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 10-27 20:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Crypto
98% 53% -$1,299
Other
1% 39% -$30
Politics
1% 50% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +100 $15 15¢ $15 $0 10-06 14:33
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $10 12¢ $11 +$1 10-13 05:53
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +111 $10 8¢ $9 -$1 10-22 07:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +109 $15 6¢ $7 -$8 10-26 03:58
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 10-23 03:33
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +9 $2 65¢ $6 +$4 10-15 07:18
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 85¢ $5 +$0 10-20 04:08
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +125 $5 4¢ $5 $0 10-24 17:37
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +65 $5 7¢ $5 $0 10-25 05:48
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 80¢ $5 +$0 10-09 14:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $0 10-10 02:54
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 88¢ $4 $0 10-16 03:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $0 10-13 03:57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +55 $5 8¢ $4 -$1 10-26 03:54
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? Yes +100 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 10-20 03:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +166 $10 1¢ $1 -$9 10-14 03:21
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 -$2 86¢ $1 +$3 10-24 03:43
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 10-06 14:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1 -$5 97¢ $1 +$6 10-16 03:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1 $0 87¢ $1 +$0 10-17 23:25
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +1 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 10-11 14:46
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1 -$2 14¢ $0 +$2 10-21 03:54
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +1 $0 14¢ $0 $0 10-08 11:30