Realized P&L (7d)
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved (7d)
28
Trades (7d)
76
10,315 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$327
$40.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$104
25 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 10-28 20:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Crypto
98% 53% -$1,299
Other
1% 50% -$2
Politics
1% 50% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +100 $15 14¢ $14 -$2 10-06 14:33
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $10 11¢ $9 $0 10-13 05:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +26 $10 34¢ $9 -$1 10-29 03:55
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +111 $10 7¢ $8 -$2 10-22 07:13
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 10-23 03:33
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +125 $5 5¢ $6 +$1 10-24 17:37
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +9 $2 60¢ $5 +$4 10-15 07:18
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +65 $5 8¢ $5 +$0 10-25 05:48
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 10-20 04:08
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 84¢ $5 +$1 10-09 14:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +10 $5 48¢ $5 $0 10-29 03:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $0 10-10 02:54
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +55 $5 8¢ $5 $0 10-26 03:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 $0 10-13 03:57
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 88¢ $4 $0 10-16 03:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +109 $15 3¢ $3 -$12 10-26 03:58
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? Yes +100 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 10-20 03:35
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 -$2 90¢ $1 +$3 10-24 03:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +166 $10 0¢ $1 -$9 10-14 03:21
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 10-06 14:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$0 10-17 23:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1 -$5 98¢ $1 +$6 10-16 03:31
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +1 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 10-11 14:46
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1 -$2 14¢ $0 +$2 10-21 03:54
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +1 $0 14¢ $0 $0 10-08 11:30