Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$5.84K

Unrealized P&L

+$4.75K

Hit rate

39.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

569

1,030 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$46.8K

$70.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$13.1K

11 positions

First seen

2026-07-08

last 11-01 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Politics

62% 48% -$6,284

Other

38% 36% +$825

Crypto

0% 60% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+12,080	$6,456	88¢	$10.7K	+$4,235	09-25 18:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+1,632	$987	64¢	$1.0K	+$49	10-23 23:02
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	No	+512	$287	74¢	$379	+$92	09-25 17:46
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+22,247	$392	2¢	$345	-$47	09-28 19:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+344	-$33	58¢	$200	+$233	10-30 17:45
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027	No	+400	$84	36¢	$146	+$62	09-25 18:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+220	-$146	64¢	$140	+$286	11-01 00:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+752	$151	12¢	$86	-$64	10-30 16:45
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$87	12¢	$23	-$64	08-10 09:58
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	+200	$40	6¢	$13	-$27	08-10 09:57
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1,041	$8	1¢	$6	-$3	08-21 10:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	142	$10.7K	15,005	11,943	+3,061	Yes	-$3,693	08-11 16:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	46	$6.6K	12,278	198	+12,080	open	—	09-25 18:32
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	112	$5.8K	38,014	1,546	+36,468	Yes	-$4,506	08-12 17:49
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	126	$4.4K	66,794	100	+66,694	Yes	-$4,306	08-12 17:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	57	$4.3K	4,068	3,848	+220	open	—	11-01 00:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	13	$4.3K	3,060	2,040	+1,020	No	+$717	08-29 11:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	4	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$356	08-21 12:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	14	$3.3K	3,220	1,975	+1,245	No	+$1,214	10-30 14:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	36	$3.0K	4,935	4,935	+0	open	—	10-04 08:49
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	21	$2.6K	6,900	0	+6,900	No	+$4,348	08-29 11:59
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	19	$2.5K	3,256	3,256	+0	Yes	-$1,647	07-28 19:47
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	20	$2.2K	1,783	1,783	+0	open	—	10-30 16:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	17	$2.1K	3,569	3,226	+344	open	—	10-30 17:45
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	21	$1.8K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$249	07-30 01:42
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	19	$1.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$460	07-13 15:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	20	$987	1,632	0	+1,632	open	—	10-23 23:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	7	$912	1,524	0	+1,524	No	+$612	08-27 01:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	11	$901	1,344	1,344	+0	open	—	09-15 10:47
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	29	$799	1,100	1,100	+0	No	-$133	08-02 00:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	27	$640	1,172	1,172	+0	No	-$171	07-14 23:34
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	3	$582	2,105	0	+2,105	No	+$1,523	08-29 12:02
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?	7	$513	1,110	0	+1,110	open	—	10-30 15:58
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	4	$497	301	301	+0	No	-$15	07-30 20:12
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	10	$495	451	451	+0	No	-$17	08-01 13:34
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	5	$455	330	330	+0	open	—	07-30 06:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	12	$435	478	478	+0	No	+$1	08-30 04:59
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?	16	$429	1,088	424	+664	No	-$297	07-28 22:41
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	48	$392	22,247	0	+22,247	open	—	09-28 19:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	9	$361	2,800	2,800	+0	No	+$57	07-12 18:19
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	13	$334	386	386	+0	No	-$9	07-11 12:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:01:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	88	66¢	$58	0x0e521b…
10-31 23:36:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	80	66¢	$53	0xfc0554…
10-31 23:36:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xe1007d…
10-31 23:36:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x863098…
10-30 17:45:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x85d74b…
10-30 16:45:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x78ffbc…
10-30 16:45:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x9e40a5…
10-30 16:42:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	212	94¢	$198	0x250603…
10-30 16:14:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x21178b…
10-30 16:08:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	80	94¢	$75	0x99a358…
10-30 16:07:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0x23a98f…
10-30 16:07:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	41	94¢	$39	0x0dc232…
10-30 16:06:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,939	66¢	$1,286	0x3e92ef…
10-30 15:58:49	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?	No	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0x30bc25…
10-30 15:58:33	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xc180f9…
10-30 14:38:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,245	98¢	$1,214	0x981b30…
10-30 14:28:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xf7d7d0…
10-27 08:15:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xf02b56…
10-27 08:14:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	93	46¢	$43	0x19d426…
10-27 08:14:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xf194f1…
10-27 08:13:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	149	46¢	$69	0x769ef9…
10-27 08:13:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x2feef9…
10-25 13:14:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	83	17¢	$14	0x62d093…
10-25 13:11:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x14399e…
10-25 12:15:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x7dcf47…
10-25 12:15:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x2a22a3…
10-25 12:15:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xb335bf…
10-24 20:32:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	156	49¢	$76	0x4fc76c…
10-24 20:29:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	44	49¢	$22	0x03cdc4…
10-24 11:41:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	365	78¢	$284	0xeee1bf…
10-23 23:02:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0x14bf62…
10-23 22:59:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x411a8e…
10-23 22:55:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	92	76¢	$70	0x7ecc14…
10-23 22:54:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	87	76¢	$66	0x6a242e…
10-19 15:20:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$77	0x64702a…
10-18 14:51:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	386	49¢	$189	0x2bee51…
10-18 14:49:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x60a7a6…
10-18 14:49:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	225	49¢	$110	0xa9b5ad…
10-18 14:48:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x16c0c5…
10-18 14:48:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	559	49¢	$274	0x45c2e3…
10-18 14:47:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	260	49¢	$127	0x9a747a…
10-17 14:40:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x475f33…
10-14 21:30:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	280	51¢	$143	0x6dd8fc…
10-14 17:08:21	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	66	78¢	$52	0x13f7d2…
10-14 02:06:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	370	52¢	$194	0xc29ee3…
10-14 02:05:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xfbb666…
10-12 21:57:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	29	54¢	$15	0x64fd79…
10-12 21:44:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x288775…
10-12 21:39:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	52	54¢	$28	0x2a2c61…
10-12 20:55:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	69	54¢	$37	0x25c4b6…
10-12 20:48:09	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6a4c96…
10-12 20:06:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	82	54¢	$44	0x8bfce0…
10-12 19:45:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x8a2863…
10-12 19:33:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x476329…
10-12 19:33:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x505c8c…
10-12 19:07:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xdcc817…
10-12 19:06:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x1e4507…
10-12 19:03:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xbe3a12…
10-12 18:53:05	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xff781d…
10-12 18:08:02	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	147	54¢	$79	0xd37294…
10-12 10:15:02	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	58	54¢	$31	0x2927c8…
10-12 10:09:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x137fbe…
10-12 10:07:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x124619…
10-12 10:03:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2d6a15…
10-12 10:00:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4f47bd…
10-12 09:51:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x8e4685…
10-12 09:33:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0xfba2f9…
10-12 09:32:11	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$89	0x779576…
10-12 09:18:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	350	79¢	$276	0xdabeed…
10-09 12:23:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x69e00e…
10-09 11:45:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0xc80a78…
10-09 11:45:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x09bd3a…
10-09 11:42:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xebf8df…
10-09 11:41:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	187	59¢	$110	0x30b2e4…
10-04 08:49:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	468	54¢	$254	0x9f34d9…
10-04 08:49:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,327	36¢	$1,198	0xf75ccf…
10-01 18:36:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,030	41¢	$422	0xe22917…
09-28 19:26:39	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x7d9ebb…
09-28 19:26:02	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa12703…
09-28 19:10:09	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	272	1¢	$3	0x6cfa61…
09-28 19:10:09	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	272	1¢	$3	0x682f17…
09-28 19:05:18	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x17c02b…
09-28 18:50:54	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf3810e…
09-28 18:14:27	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xee70a3…
09-28 18:05:45	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x80bce9…
09-28 17:49:33	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb2cb3d…
09-28 15:33:08	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x73af54…
09-28 13:35:30	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x5418b2…
09-28 11:29:06	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf65e82…
09-28 11:20:30	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfa6f3f…
09-27 14:26:03	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2b7e5b…
09-27 06:27:33	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x19678f…
09-26 21:55:24	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3f50e5…
09-26 14:14:42	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xaf0695…
09-26 14:14:17	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xc0d1dd…
09-26 10:57:21	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	270	1¢	$3	0xeebd0e…
09-25 19:20:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0x624022…
09-25 19:15:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	36	52¢	$19	0xa22829…
09-25 19:14:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x45c3ae…
09-25 19:11:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x55226f…