Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.66K

Unrealized P&L

+$4.72K

Hit rate

45.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,101

lifetime

Volume

$74.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$13.4K

12 positions

First seen

2026-07-08

last 11-05 16:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

63% 50% -$5,455

Other

37% 36% +$825

Crypto

0% 60% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+12,080	$6,456	90¢	$10.9K	+$4,477	09-25 18:32
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+2,016	$719	37¢	$737	+$18	11-05 11:42
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?	No	+1,504	$642	43¢	$647	+$5	11-05 11:39
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+24,997	$432	1¢	$337	-$95	11-05 16:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+544	$81	57¢	$312	+$231	11-05 11:40
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027	No	+800	$223	30¢	$236	+$13	11-05 13:35
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?	No	+100	$58	61¢	$61	+$3	11-05 11:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+752	$151	8¢	$56	-$94	10-30 16:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+145	-$218	23¢	$34	+$252	11-03 22:22
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$87	13¢	$26	-$61	08-10 09:58
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	+200	$40	8¢	$15	-$25	08-10 09:57
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1,041	$8	0¢	$5	-$4	08-21 10:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	142	$10.7K	15,005	11,943	+3,061	Yes	-$3,693	08-11 16:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	46	$6.6K	12,278	198	+12,080	open	—	09-25 18:32
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	112	$5.8K	38,014	1,546	+36,468	Yes	-$4,506	08-12 17:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	71	$5.2K	5,864	3,848	+2,016	open	—	11-05 11:42
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	126	$4.4K	66,794	100	+66,694	Yes	-$4,306	08-12 17:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	13	$4.3K	3,060	2,040	+1,020	No	+$717	08-29 11:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	4	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$356	08-21 12:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	14	$3.3K	3,220	1,975	+1,245	No	+$1,214	10-30 14:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	38	$3.1K	5,080	4,935	+145	open	—	11-03 22:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	21	$2.6K	1,632	1,632	+0	No	+$634	11-03 03:17
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	21	$2.6K	6,900	0	+6,900	No	+$4,348	08-29 11:59
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	19	$2.5K	3,256	3,256	+0	Yes	-$1,647	07-28 19:47
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	20	$2.2K	1,783	1,783	+0	open	—	10-30 16:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	18	$2.2K	3,769	3,226	+544	open	—	11-05 11:40
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	21	$1.8K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$249	07-30 01:42
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	19	$1.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$460	07-13 15:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	7	$912	1,524	0	+1,524	No	+$612	08-27 01:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	11	$901	1,344	1,344	+0	open	—	09-15 10:47
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	29	$799	1,100	1,100	+0	No	-$133	08-02 00:49
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?	11	$642	1,504	0	+1,504	open	—	11-05 11:39
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	27	$640	1,172	1,172	+0	No	-$171	07-14 23:34
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	3	$582	2,105	0	+2,105	No	+$1,523	08-29 12:02
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	4	$497	301	301	+0	No	-$15	07-30 20:12
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	10	$495	451	451	+0	No	-$17	08-01 13:34
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	5	$455	330	330	+0	open	—	07-30 06:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	12	$435	478	478	+0	No	+$1	08-30 04:59
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	51	$432	24,997	0	+24,997	open	—	11-05 16:31
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?	16	$429	1,088	424	+664	No	-$297	07-28 22:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	9	$361	2,800	2,800	+0	No	+$57	07-12 18:19
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	13	$334	386	386	+0	No	-$9	07-11 12:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 16:31:21	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0x688f72…
11-05 16:30:19	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	583	1¢	$8	0x334686…
11-05 13:35:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xf602b7…
11-05 13:35:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xb6b5f0…
11-05 13:06:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0xfeb998…
11-05 12:23:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x307272…
11-05 11:44:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x8de734…
11-05 11:42:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	800	44¢	$352	0x6a96b2…
11-05 11:40:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x8096da…
11-05 11:40:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x6215e5…
11-05 11:40:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x9cbaf4…
11-05 11:39:54	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?	No	BUY	94	33¢	$31	0x212b1c…
11-05 11:39:15	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x1cb895…
11-05 11:22:34	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x4bc00a…
11-05 00:09:51	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?	No	BUY	80	32¢	$26	0x0a35bc…
11-04 18:04:12	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x55ecd0…
11-04 15:47:25	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	298	42¢	$125	0xd18952…
11-04 15:40:43	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0x79b9b4…
11-03 23:38:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	77	53¢	$41	0xf8b765…
11-03 23:38:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xc470be…
11-03 23:20:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	120	53¢	$64	0xad91cf…
11-03 22:22:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x00718d…
11-03 12:11:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x3211ab…
11-03 11:10:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x6fb90b…
11-03 03:59:10	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0x14f7d3…
11-03 03:55:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	45	34¢	$15	0x1296e9…
11-03 03:52:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xf86c80…
11-03 03:52:21	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	39	58¢	$23	0x6170c5…
11-03 03:45:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x4a9436…
11-03 03:40:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0xb1babf…
11-03 03:23:10	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$30	0x604a3a…
11-03 03:21:25	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x396f97…
11-03 03:17:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	1,632	99¢	$1,621	0x8f64b8…
11-01 17:02:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x584208…
11-01 00:01:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	88	66¢	$58	0x0e521b…
10-31 23:36:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	80	66¢	$53	0xfc0554…
10-31 23:36:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xe1007d…
10-31 23:36:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x863098…
10-30 17:45:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x85d74b…
10-30 16:45:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x78ffbc…
10-30 16:45:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x9e40a5…
10-30 16:42:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	212	94¢	$198	0x250603…
10-30 16:14:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x21178b…
10-30 16:08:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	80	94¢	$75	0x99a358…
10-30 16:07:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0x23a98f…
10-30 16:07:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	41	94¢	$39	0x0dc232…
10-30 16:06:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,939	66¢	$1,286	0x3e92ef…
10-30 15:58:49	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?	No	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0x30bc25…
10-30 15:58:33	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xc180f9…
10-30 14:38:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,245	98¢	$1,214	0x981b30…
10-30 14:28:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xf7d7d0…
10-27 08:15:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xf02b56…
10-27 08:14:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	93	46¢	$43	0x19d426…
10-27 08:14:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xf194f1…
10-27 08:13:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	149	46¢	$69	0x769ef9…
10-27 08:13:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x2feef9…
10-25 13:14:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	83	17¢	$14	0x62d093…
10-25 13:11:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x14399e…
10-25 12:15:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x7dcf47…
10-25 12:15:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x2a22a3…
10-25 12:15:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xb335bf…
10-24 20:32:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	156	49¢	$76	0x4fc76c…
10-24 20:29:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	44	49¢	$22	0x03cdc4…
10-24 11:41:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	365	78¢	$284	0xeee1bf…
10-23 23:02:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0x14bf62…
10-23 22:59:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x411a8e…
10-23 22:55:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	92	76¢	$70	0x7ecc14…
10-23 22:54:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	87	76¢	$66	0x6a242e…
10-19 15:20:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$77	0x64702a…
10-18 14:51:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	386	49¢	$189	0x2bee51…
10-18 14:49:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x60a7a6…
10-18 14:49:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	225	49¢	$110	0xa9b5ad…
10-18 14:48:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x16c0c5…
10-18 14:48:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	559	49¢	$274	0x45c2e3…
10-18 14:47:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	260	49¢	$127	0x9a747a…
10-17 14:40:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x475f33…
10-14 21:30:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	280	51¢	$143	0x6dd8fc…
10-14 17:08:21	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	66	78¢	$52	0x13f7d2…
10-14 02:06:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	370	52¢	$194	0xc29ee3…
10-14 02:05:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xfbb666…
10-12 21:57:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	29	54¢	$15	0x64fd79…
10-12 21:44:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x288775…
10-12 21:39:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	52	54¢	$28	0x2a2c61…
10-12 20:55:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	69	54¢	$37	0x25c4b6…
10-12 20:48:09	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6a4c96…
10-12 20:06:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	82	54¢	$44	0x8bfce0…
10-12 19:45:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x8a2863…
10-12 19:33:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x476329…
10-12 19:33:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x505c8c…
10-12 19:07:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xdcc817…
10-12 19:06:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x1e4507…
10-12 19:03:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xbe3a12…
10-12 18:53:05	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xff781d…
10-12 18:08:02	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	147	54¢	$79	0xd37294…
10-12 10:15:02	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	58	54¢	$31	0x2927c8…
10-12 10:09:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x137fbe…
10-12 10:07:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x124619…
10-12 10:03:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2d6a15…
10-12 10:00:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4f47bd…
10-12 09:51:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x8e4685…