Realized P&L (7d)
-$357
Unrealized P&L
+$70
Hit rate
43.3%
Resolved (7d)
12
Trades (7d)
6
240 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$98
$13.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$985
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-21
last 10-27 10:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
68% 36% -$3,580
Politics
32% 33% -$1,015
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +335 $225 76¢ $253 +$28 10-09 18:52
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? Yes +198 $50 97¢ $191 +$141 10-09 18:23
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -298 -$137 41¢ $-121 +$16 10-15 16:15
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +295 $100 39¢ $114 +$14 06-11 21:56
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +424 $100 21¢ $87 -$13 06-11 21:57
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +88 $55 80¢ $71 +$16 09-13 10:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +117 $34 42¢ $49 +$15 08-21 21:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +114 $66 34¢ $39 -$27 08-21 21:15
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +192 $50 14¢ $26 -$24 08-04 23:44
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +30 $20 72¢ $22 +$2 10-27 10:51
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +14 $10 75¢ $10 +$0 10-27 10:51
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +154 $100 2¢ $3 -$97 10-09 18:10