(anonymous) 0x77cdfe…2c7d8c
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.56K
Unrealized P&L
+$45
Hit rate
37.1%
Resolved
68
Trades
240
lifetime
Volume
$13.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$982
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-21
last 10-27 10:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
68% 36% -$3,580
Politics
32% 35% -$975
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +335 $225 74¢ $249 +$24 10-09 18:52
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? Yes +198 $50 96¢ $191 +$141 10-09 18:23
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -298 -$137 41¢ $-122 +$15 10-15 16:15
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +295 $100 39¢ $114 +$14 06-11 21:56
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +424 $100 20¢ $85 -$15 06-11 21:57
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +88 $55 81¢ $72 +$17 09-13 10:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +117 $34 44¢ $51 +$17 08-21 21:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +114 $66 33¢ $38 -$28 08-21 21:15
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +192 $50 14¢ $26 -$24 08-04 23:44
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +30 $20 70¢ $21 +$1 10-27 10:51
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +14 $10 74¢ $10 +$0 10-27 10:51
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +154 $100 1¢ $2 -$98 10-09 18:10
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +59 $20 0¢ $0 -$20 10-27 10:50