Poor-Place — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$289

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-15 04:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% 0% $-0

Politics

27% — —

Crypto

23% 100% +$0

Sports

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-1	$-1	88¢	$-1	+$0	06-15 04:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	9	$9	5	5	-0	open	—	01-14 03:04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-16 06:15
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	7	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-12 08:27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 09:56
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-05 08:19
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-26 09:41
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-28 06:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 04:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-08 02:09
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 02:33
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 09:42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 07:44
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-07 09:15
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 06:52
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-16 02:31
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-10 02:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 03:46
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 03:16
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 10:09
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 03:24
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 06:23
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 02:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 03:23
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 06:08
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 03:39
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-06 02:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-12 06:40
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-29 08:40
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 02:34
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-29 08:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 04:15:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xa43682…
06-13 07:02:43	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xc4974a…
06-13 07:01:43	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3600d8…
06-13 06:52:12	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x539812…
06-13 06:46:27	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf0b58b…
06-12 06:40:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x726c51…
06-12 06:39:21	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6d09a3…
06-12 06:33:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb4d213…
06-12 06:29:57	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4f7da5…
06-11 06:24:33	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd59e1a…
06-11 04:57:12	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x29ae44…
06-09 02:34:30	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2b52cb…
06-09 02:33:13	will donald trump publicly insult xi jinping by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd4c16d…
06-09 02:27:01	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x232126…
06-09 02:24:55	will donald trump publicly insult xi jinping by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x82ec2e…
06-08 02:09:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbf3166…
06-08 02:08:21	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by june 30	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x49ccf3…
06-08 02:04:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x363833…
06-08 01:59:25	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb6b009…
06-06 06:11:21	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4fc2c2…
06-06 06:10:28	will solana dip to 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x30783d…
06-06 04:34:21	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb8bd01…
06-06 04:29:45	will solana dip to 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xeeda86…
06-05 04:20:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x36aac5…
06-05 04:19:21	will apple announce ios 27 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xafa91e…
06-05 03:47:07	will apple announce ios 27 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdff504…
06-05 03:43:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2a8554…
06-04 06:15:42	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2d4598…
06-04 06:12:15	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xadfe6c…
06-04 03:52:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x29f260…
06-04 03:46:03	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7a7b68…
06-03 03:46:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x69b086…
06-03 03:46:05	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x9e2f14…
06-03 03:31:34	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0384e6…
06-03 03:26:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x298b3b…
06-02 03:25:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x1019ee…
06-02 03:20:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x006011…
06-02 03:11:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0b2015…
06-02 03:06:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6d5da5…
06-01 06:11:22	Trump on $250 bill this year?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4e29df…
06-01 03:56:23	Trump on $250 bill this year?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x02f127…
05-30 04:37:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc751af…
05-30 03:47:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb9f7b4…
05-29 03:23:06	Will Sam Gallucci advance from the CA-26 primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x37305e…
05-29 03:21:58	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdfa1fc…
05-29 03:12:00	Will Sam Gallucci advance from the CA-26 primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x125169…
05-29 03:05:03	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7a9119…
05-28 04:56:59	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x831033…
05-28 04:46:53	Will jL win a trophy by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcd97f7…
05-26 03:31:09	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbcd9c5…
05-26 03:24:07	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4c5f3e…
05-22 04:41:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x672f96…
05-22 04:35:47	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x44e21b…
05-21 06:04:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1ce977…
05-21 04:41:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe78817…
05-19 03:39:40	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x49e9e2…
05-19 03:38:51	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb47995…
05-19 03:29:52	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd6332c…
05-19 03:26:48	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e1c4b…
05-18 06:18:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd445cf…
05-18 06:10:11	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcd00dd…
05-18 04:50:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe0edc5…
05-18 04:43:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2a5ab4…
05-16 04:29:30	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xedd47e…
05-16 03:51:56	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd6b86a…
05-13 04:15:16	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xa351da…
05-13 04:08:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x66933f…
05-13 04:04:16	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf58f69…
05-13 03:54:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd347c9…
05-12 06:08:04	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x789960…
05-12 04:44:13	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x823999…
05-08 06:56:29	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfcb2f3…
05-08 06:10:35	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xed2664…
05-08 06:02:49	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd618ba…
05-08 04:05:54	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5b2390…
05-07 02:58:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x91061b…
05-07 02:49:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xde6fcc…
05-06 05:55:38	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xaa9565…
05-06 03:56:32	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf45e7a…
04-30 06:08:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd28a8f…
04-30 06:06:28	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x627c4c…
04-30 04:49:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x63e026…
04-30 04:43:46	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5dca09…
04-29 03:27:38	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xce1502…
04-29 03:15:56	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0fbdea…
04-28 02:42:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x79b094…
04-28 02:41:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9e61b2…
04-27 02:42:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x19b6db…
04-27 02:40:06	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins	Sabres	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xa78556…
04-27 02:36:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x59520e…
04-27 02:29:26	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins	Sabres	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe50c3d…
04-25 03:25:36	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8f9e77…
04-25 03:23:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xed625d…
04-25 03:16:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd14253…
04-25 03:03:50	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x179c32…
04-24 02:52:56	ethereum above 2200 on april 24	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf851cd…
04-24 02:50:54	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x23570e…
04-24 02:43:00	ethereum above 2200 on april 24	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x06874d…
04-24 02:39:12	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x94df62…
04-21 03:09:20	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xca5e89…