Harmless-Manager — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

8 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$69

$365 lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$80

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-09 05:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

100% 71% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?	Yes		+80	$69	100¢	$80	+$11	05-09 05:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$199	200	0	+200	Yes	+$1	05-08 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?	1	$69	80	0	+80	open	—	05-09 05:24
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$65	0	80	-80	No	$-15	05-05 07:31
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$14	0	20	-20	Yes	+$14	05-06 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?	1	$8	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	05-08 08:30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$7	20	0	+20	Yes	$-7	05-05 06:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$2	0	40	-40	No	+$2	05-08 08:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$1	0	25	-25	No	+$1	05-06 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 05:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0x8ec038…
05-08 15:04:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xae1f21…
05-08 08:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0xfe8573…
05-08 08:14:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x4cf731…
05-06 15:30:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x434a41…
05-06 05:49:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x3be53d…
05-05 07:31:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	80	81¢	$65	0x3a15e3…
05-05 06:05:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x1b5dab…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	6	$10.9K	158	05-08 08:59
Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5	6	$1.26K	32	05-08 16:07
Ondra 0x849c…4009	6	$897	22	05-08 09:35
Serpentine-Maggot 0x6964…ef53	5	$5.64K	13	05-08 14:24
Far-Acid 0xf6e6…e0bb	5	$2.30K	14	05-08 13:39
Idealistic-Freezing 0x878a…a429	5	$1.75K	14	05-08 07:10
Modern-Thesis 0x0c3f…f75d	5	$1.27K	7	05-08 11:34
Joint-Wage 0xa26f…e9bf	5	$616	8	05-08 05:33