Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$317

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

10 positions

First seen

2026-10-19

last 10-26 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

68% 100% +$139

Crypto

25% 10% -$36

Other

6% 60% +$7

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+32	$1	18¢	$6	+$5	10-19 06:47
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+200	$1	1¢	$2	+$1	10-19 06:45
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+11	$2	18¢	$2	$0	10-21 04:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	+2	$1	40¢	$1	$0	10-21 04:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+250	$1	0¢	$1	$0	10-19 06:37
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+88	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-19 06:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	Yes	+91	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-19 06:58
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+5	$1	7¢	$0	-$1	10-21 04:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+250	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-19 06:36
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+45	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-19 07:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$215	177	177	+0	Yes	+$139	10-26 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$21	19	19	+0	Down	+$17	10-23 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$12	622	0	+622	Up	-$12	10-23 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$10	583	0	+583	Down	-$10	10-23 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	152	0	+152	Down	-$5	10-19 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$5	100	0	+100	Up	-$5	10-23 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	-$5	10-24 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	Down	-$5	10-23 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	3	$3	208	0	+208	Up	-$3	10-21 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$2	67	0	+67	Up	-$2	10-19 06:33
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	2	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	10-21 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$2	105	0	+105	Down	-$2	10-23 21:54
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	+$4	10-21 04:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20?	1	$1	25	0	+25	No	-$1	10-20 21:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 19?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	10-19 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	-$1	10-23 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	10-23 22:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$1	91	0	+91	open	—	10-19 06:58
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-19 06:45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	10-21 04:46
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$1	143	0	+143	No	-$1	10-19 06:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 19?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	10-19 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	10-24 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Down	-$1	10-21 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$1	500	0	+500	Up	-$1	10-19 06:38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$3	10-19 07:02
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$1	32	0	+32	open	—	10-19 06:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-21 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	+$4	10-21 05:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$1	250	0	+250	open	—	10-19 06:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 02:50:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0x567d56…
10-25 04:04:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x36f573…
10-24 13:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x995dc3…
10-24 13:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0ea373…
10-23 22:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xeddfd3…
10-23 22:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4e576e…
10-23 22:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x02f366…
10-23 22:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9fd7e9…
10-23 22:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb5ac2e…
10-23 22:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x09df31…
10-23 22:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8ef96e…
10-23 22:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xd4081c…
10-23 21:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x452a59…
10-23 21:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc08142…
10-23 21:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x74169d…
10-23 21:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x086c01…
10-23 21:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5cf126…
10-23 21:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf68b13…
10-22 01:29:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x843fa9…
10-21 05:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2dfe26…
10-21 05:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xeac540…
10-21 04:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x93d04a…
10-21 04:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x57b9eb…
10-21 04:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf81737…
10-21 04:49:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x421fa2…
10-21 04:47:32	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0a38cd…
10-21 04:46:17	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x36e5e9…
10-21 04:39:32	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf370b1…
10-21 04:39:02	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9e518e…
10-20 21:40:26	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x8c1670…
10-20 21:40:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa73cd3…
10-20 21:38:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2ed31a…
10-19 07:04:54	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x3ce79f…
10-19 07:04:09	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xe97d52…
10-19 07:03:54	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xd55f63…
10-19 07:02:29	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6c5eb6…
10-19 07:00:50	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xabff96…
10-19 06:58:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x229149…
10-19 06:57:03	France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x4d8098…
10-19 06:54:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xfc281e…
10-19 06:49:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x39263b…
10-19 06:48:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1e8bae…
10-19 06:47:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xa039b9…
10-19 06:45:47	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x333dc0…
10-19 06:45:26	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf4d3d0…
10-19 06:45:11	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd267e4…
10-19 06:44:18	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x341776…
10-19 06:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa84051…
10-19 06:37:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x009458…
10-19 06:36:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb5dfee…
10-19 06:36:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x84a044…
10-19 06:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x399ef6…
10-19 06:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcca0c2…
10-19 06:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0x613fc7…
10-19 06:28:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x0a3d29…