Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$62

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved (90d)

627

Trades (90d)

883

883 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.14K

$3.14K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$45

5 positions

First seen

2026-08-24

last 11-04 14:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

96% 75% -$42

Politics

4% 33% -$20

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+29	$22	100¢	$29	+$7	10-25 19:57
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	+15	$12	97¢	$15	+$3	11-04 14:38
Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026?	No	+15	$3	4¢	$1	-$3	11-02 17:08
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	No	+29	$8	1¢	$0	-$7	10-25 19:35
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	+15	$11	1¢	$0	-$11	11-02 02:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 27?	13	$48	65	+65	No	+$17	08-27 00:05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 3?	13	$41	56	+56	No	+$15	09-03 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 30?	9	$39	45	+45	No	+$6	08-30 00:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 31?	13	$38	57	+57	No	+$20	08-31 00:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 29?	10	$37	50	+50	No	+$13	08-29 00:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 26?	11	$34	50	+50	No	+$16	08-26 00:53
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$32	50	+50	Yes	+$17	10-25 21:53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 26?	7	$31	35	+35	Yes	-$31	08-26 09:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 2?	9	$31	40	+40	No	+$9	09-02 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 3?	9	$30	43	+43	Yes	-$30	09-03 01:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 26?	8	$29	38	+38	No	+$9	08-26 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 31?	8	$27	30	+30	No	+$3	08-31 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 28?	6	$27	30	+30	No	+$3	08-28 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 2?	7	$26	35	+35	Yes	-$26	09-02 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 26?	7	$25	31	+31	No	+$6	08-26 00:35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 3?	8	$25	32	+32	No	+$8	09-03 01:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 25?	5	$23	25	+25	No	+$2	08-25 01:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 25?	5	$23	25	+25	No	+$2	08-25 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 1?	8	$22	30	+30	No	+$8	09-01 01:27
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	1	$22	29	+29	open	—	10-25 19:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 31?	6	$21	25	+25	No	+$4	08-31 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 1?	6	$19	26	+26	Yes	-$19	09-01 01:57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 1?	4	$18	20	+20	No	+$2	09-01 09:44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 2?	6	$17	27	+27	Yes	-$17	09-02 08:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1?	6	$17	25	+25	No	+$8	09-01 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 1?	4	$17	20	+20	No	+$3	09-01 13:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$16	235	+235	Yes	-$16	10-28 20:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 25?	5	$16	25	+25	No	+$9	08-25 01:10
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 3?	4	$16	20	+20	No	+$4	09-03 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 29?	4	$15	20	+20	No	+$5	08-29 00:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 14:38:37	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x1bb08f…
11-02 17:08:12	Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026?	No	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x37a850…
11-02 02:21:45	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xdce2d0…
10-28 20:03:19	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	235	7¢	$16	0x5968a9…
10-26 14:00:39	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x42435c…
10-25 23:13:39	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0a6c42…
10-25 21:53:18	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0x3a420b…
10-25 20:53:06	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0xe38358…
10-25 19:57:15	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0x4cb924…
10-25 19:37:23	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xa4b33a…
10-25 19:36:03	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x863c79…
10-25 19:35:54	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x117b1c…
10-25 19:35:42	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	No	BUY	29	26¢	$8	0xafea5e…
10-25 19:35:42	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x580656…
10-25 19:35:41	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xe82c13…
10-13 04:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x882686…
10-12 20:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x164cd6…
10-12 20:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf0087f…
10-12 19:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 12?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4ff786…
10-12 17:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 12?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd75986…
10-12 07:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x27775e…
10-12 07:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1b50e3…
10-12 04:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4bf170…
10-10 19:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 10?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$4	0x7c9c80…
10-10 19:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 10?	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x239152…
10-10 19:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x96f5ff…
10-10 19:02:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 10?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xbbb65e…
10-10 19:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 10?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf668a0…
10-10 19:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 10?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x56c668…
10-10 18:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 10?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xc96301…
10-10 18:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 10?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x9a34c6…
10-10 18:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 10?	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x1ebe76…
10-10 18:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 10?	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x0d7c80…
10-10 18:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 10?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd45585…
10-10 18:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 10?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x836827…
10-10 16:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb721df…
10-10 11:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc42670…
10-10 11:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x402d7a…
10-09 17:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 9?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf0989f…
10-09 17:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5ae0b3…
10-09 16:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 9?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x27702f…
10-08 19:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 8?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf311fe…
10-08 19:33:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 8?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5070c0…
10-08 18:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 8?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x75fedf…
10-08 10:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xba2f67…
10-08 07:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x658d2e…
10-08 04:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x01ea76…
10-07 19:10:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 7?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb9e898…
10-07 19:02:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 7?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4d89bf…
10-07 18:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe04a2c…
10-07 03:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x48d223…
10-07 03:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa7d5b6…
10-06 19:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x084a20…
10-06 17:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x41377f…
10-06 17:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x4c9842…
10-06 16:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x791ca2…
10-06 06:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xed8c20…
10-05 18:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5008d0…
10-04 18:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 102°F or higher on October 4?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6fc589…
10-04 18:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 102°F or higher on October 4?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x176c68…
10-04 13:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf1d10c…
10-03 18:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 3?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x07cd3b…
10-03 18:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 102°F or higher on October 3?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x91a084…
10-03 18:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 3?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x34a02b…
10-03 17:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 3?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x896040…
10-03 17:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 3?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xdd1cab…
10-02 18:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 2?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x33ad34…
10-02 17:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xba32a4…
10-02 17:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xdaab5c…
10-02 16:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 2?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1b8bce…
10-02 16:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 2?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe7eba1…
10-02 03:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 2?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x90ebad…
10-01 19:48:23	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 1?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe56887…
10-01 19:44:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 1?	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x4048eb…
10-01 19:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 1?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x10fe6c…
10-01 17:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 1?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x58fc1c…
10-01 05:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 1?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xbfbc89…
09-30 19:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 30?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa286fc…
09-30 19:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 30?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x2f6c9a…
09-30 19:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 30?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa10b6c…
09-30 19:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on September 30?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd119aa…
09-30 19:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x149a45…
09-30 17:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9b1a01…
09-30 17:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf772d1…
09-30 17:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 30?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf33bac…
09-30 04:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 30?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7d088f…
09-30 03:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5c25c7…
09-30 02:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 30?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb575de…
09-29 19:16:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 29?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x33ea45…
09-29 17:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 29?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x44735c…
09-29 17:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 29?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x431413…
09-29 16:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 29?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xee31db…
09-29 16:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x74344f…
09-29 16:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xed38b7…
09-29 13:31:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xfb1af0…
09-29 13:27:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3f4220…
09-28 18:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x24876b…
09-28 17:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x260691…
09-28 17:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf5efba…
09-28 17:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 28?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2401e1…