Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$213

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$160

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-16 10:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

66% 64% -$59

Politics

25% 50% -$166

Crypto

9% 50% +$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No		+60	$50	90¢	$54	+$4	06-08 08:55
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+50	$47	98¢	$49	+$2	06-07 18:46
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No		+40	$36	95¢	$38	+$2	06-08 04:48
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	—	+20	$5	93¢	$19	+$13	06-08 07:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$172	400	0	+400	No	-$172	01-12 09:57
will sp 500 spx hit 8000 high in march 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-06 10:07
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	05-14 15:41
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	05-14 15:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$84	50	50	+0	No	+$6	03-06 14:26
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$67	100	0	+100	No	+$33	03-26 17:56
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	06-08 08:55
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	1	$48	50	0	+50	No	-$48	06-07 19:54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$47	50	0	+50	open	—	06-07 18:46
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 240 259	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	03-06 10:06
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	1	$36	40	0	+40	open	—	06-08 04:48
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	1	$32	40	0	+40	Yes	+$8	05-14 15:29
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	3	$30	70	0	+70	Yes	$0	06-16 10:34
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	02-09 14:10
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	1	$30	50	0	+50	No	-$30	06-07 23:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:00 UTC	1	$22	34	0	+34	Up	-$22	02-09 14:06
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	1	$21	35	0	+35	No	+$14	03-02 15:11
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	3	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	06-08 07:32
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	2	$4	20	0	+20	Yes	-$4	06-08 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 10:34:15	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xe70048…
06-08 20:47:22	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x5eaba8…
06-08 08:55:09	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xbd718e…
06-08 07:32:12	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xdeb898…
06-08 06:16:54	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5fbc1d…
06-08 06:12:48	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xfc9518…
06-08 04:48:06	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x4b59eb…
06-08 02:14:07	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x8f159b…
06-07 23:45:00	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x0a8f95…
06-07 23:19:10	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x9daeec…
06-07 22:22:22	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x441e1a…
06-07 19:54:34	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x522ec9…
06-07 18:46:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xbfd892…
06-07 18:46:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	37	93¢	$34	0x1d95d5…
05-14 15:41:31	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa81720…
05-14 15:41:26	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5b2ecf…
05-14 15:29:53	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0xaeb857…
03-26 17:56:37	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x2ded5b…
03-06 14:26:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xbc7571…
03-06 10:07:09	will sp 500 spx hit 8000 high in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8954f0…
03-06 10:06:41	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 240 259	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xbaba9f…
03-02 15:11:43	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	No	BUY	35	61¢	$21	0x086529…
03-02 15:11:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x7b60f4…
02-09 14:10:49	Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdeabb6…
02-09 14:06:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	34	64¢	$22	0x279312…
01-12 09:57:42	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	400	43¢	$172	0xfc5ade…