Proud-Cockroach — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$843

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

534

Trades

1,825

lifetime

Volume

$52.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-20 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Other

49% 56% -$519

Crypto

33% 68% -$297

Politics

16% 54% -$10

Tech

1% 25% -$6

Sports

0% 60% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes		-10	-$12	54¢	$-5	+$6	06-12 15:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on february 4 2026	11	$858	530	530	+0	Down	-$39	02-04 20:00
spx opens up or down on february 12 2026	2	$799	401	401	+0	Up	+$1	02-12 14:26
bitcoin up or down january 12 9am et	13	$729	590	600	-10	Up	-$48	01-12 14:57
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	15	$676	440	440	+0	Yes	+$9	04-08 00:40
amzn up or down on february 9 2026	5	$546	479	102	+377	Down	-$6	02-09 20:50
bitcoin up or down february 10 11am et	19	$539	500	500	+0	Up	-$8	02-10 16:36
aapl up or down on february 3 2026	15	$490	590	590	+0	Down	-$95	02-03 19:10
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 13?	4	$488	250	250	+0	Down	+$12	05-13 19:59
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve on january 29 2026	6	$450	233	233	+0	No	+$11	01-29 22:51
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 20?	6	$446	225	225	-0	Up	+$2	05-20 19:53
bitcoin up or down february 4 8pm et	21	$442	350	350	+0	Down	-$40	02-05 01:41
hood up or down on february 11 2026	3	$428	217	217	+0	Down	+$5	02-11 15:30
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	7	$410	209	209	+0	Yes	+$8	05-18 19:56
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	6	$408	225	225	+0	Down	+$6	05-19 19:56
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 11am et	9	$392	225	224	+1	Down	+$7	03-25 15:58
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 5pm et	6	$392	298	291	+7	Up	+$3	04-22 21:58
spx opens up or down on february 25 2026	7	$386	200	200	+0	Up	+$14	02-25 14:29
googl up or down on february 9 2026	7	$377	355	146	+210	Up	-$3	02-09 20:55
spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	6	$359	246	246	+0	Down	-$5	02-24 14:31
bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 12pm et	7	$357	250	250	+0	Up	+$2	06-12 16:29
will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	9	$345	277	100	+177	Yes	+$16	01-14 18:30
bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 11am et	14	$330	310	260	+50	Up	-$37	06-11 15:52
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 30?	5	$319	161	161	+0	Up	+$3	04-30 20:00
googl up or down on february 12 2026	9	$312	319	0	+319	Down	+$8	02-12 20:50
bitcoin up or down february 4 2pm et	8	$308	300	300	+0	Up	+$52	02-04 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	12	$301	200	200	+0	Down	+$17	05-19 17:36
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 19?	3	$298	150	150	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 20:00
bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 1pm et	6	$294	250	250	+0	Down	$0	06-12 17:38
bitcoin up or down march 12 6pm et	8	$292	300	297	+3	Down	-$18	03-12 22:13
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$289	410	410	+0	Yes	-$173	01-31 02:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 14:14:53	Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	62¢	$49	0x69ae4e…
10-20 14:14:26	Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	62¢	$64	0xe8745e…
06-17 17:58:05	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9d82d2…
06-15 19:13:30	Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	Yes	SELL	85	97¢	$83	0x380453…
06-15 16:55:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x9265cd…
06-15 16:54:04	nflx up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0x3c46c2…
06-15 12:53:58	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0xce6078…
06-15 11:22:09	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x2c7dd9…
06-15 11:05:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x9219bb…
06-15 11:03:34	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x127e90…
06-15 11:02:55	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x46e295…
06-14 21:42:57	Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xe54077…
06-14 21:42:42	Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	Yes	BUY	55	80¢	$44	0xb38f67…
06-14 18:20:39	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x7da0a9…
06-14 18:20:33	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x9f5e00…
06-14 18:03:34	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x54e1e6…
06-14 18:03:00	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x21b656…
06-14 17:59:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4c58eb…
06-14 17:34:30	Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x22569a…
06-14 17:18:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x812a55…
06-14 17:17:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4f9398…
06-14 17:16:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x347409…
06-14 17:16:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc54893…
06-14 15:54:25	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	185	6¢	$11	0xe3ea4e…
06-14 15:49:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x0f81cd…
06-14 15:49:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x01f108…
06-14 15:47:48	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x728a46…
06-14 15:45:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xf6fffb…
06-14 15:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x73c515…
06-14 15:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfd5969…
06-14 15:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc5f5a6…
06-14 15:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3090a7…
06-14 15:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe2ffed…
06-14 15:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7b6509…
06-14 15:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x315005…
06-14 15:36:18	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x1caa75…
06-14 15:32:28	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	79	35¢	$28	0xa593d5…
06-14 15:32:28	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x570e12…
06-14 15:32:10	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x6d512e…
06-14 14:44:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x163492…
06-14 14:42:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?	No	BUY	97	96¢	$94	0x06dbc4…
06-14 14:38:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc7b3af…
06-14 14:37:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8bde5a…
06-13 23:46:43	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4a1288…
06-13 22:45:09	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x045bf9…
06-13 19:21:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x16db21…
06-13 19:06:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6c544d…
06-13 18:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xf3b2ed…
06-13 16:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9b16de…
06-13 16:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6b0ff7…
06-13 16:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x038089…
06-13 16:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5223c7…
06-13 16:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x0af9bf…
06-13 16:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x46d7c3…
06-13 15:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x6ad16c…
06-13 14:57:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xb20c22…
06-13 14:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x5a8927…
06-13 14:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xf077b6…
06-13 14:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x0119bd…
06-13 14:13:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	23	59¢	$14	0x0378a9…
06-13 14:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	No	BUY	72	92¢	$66	0x63d8bd…
06-13 13:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc86258…
06-13 13:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x6f0ef3…
06-13 13:51:09	Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6718ff…
06-13 12:21:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6ced49…
06-12 20:00:15	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x899e49…
06-12 19:33:09	spx up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x22c88e…
06-12 18:53:42	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0x1844bf…
06-12 18:06:22	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0xe6bbb2…
06-12 18:05:12	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x247cfc…
06-12 17:38:34	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xa35d5b…
06-12 17:32:09	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x9281a7…
06-12 17:31:13	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?	Yes	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0x71d2e8…
06-12 17:28:06	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x025b09…
06-12 17:24:15	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x0d7a33…
06-12 17:09:45	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?	Yes	BUY	42	91¢	$39	0x3f597c…
06-12 17:09:40	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x65b339…
06-12 17:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x163b87…
06-12 17:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x57b5bb…
06-12 17:05:30	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0xc54169…
06-12 17:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x77de33…
06-12 16:50:31	spx up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xc5fc6b…
06-12 16:29:16	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x005671…
06-12 16:27:04	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x0559a6…
06-12 16:24:18	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x979633…
06-12 16:22:48	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x714d39…
06-12 16:02:48	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xd0d26f…
06-12 16:02:48	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	98	52¢	$51	0x970e2b…
06-12 16:02:33	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xb04aa9…
06-12 15:43:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12?	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xb9c2e7…
06-12 15:33:55	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0b11a0…
06-12 15:28:46	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	78¢	$36	0x5abc2b…
06-12 15:24:00	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	99	80¢	$79	0x058426…
06-12 15:23:58	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x21f5a6…
06-12 15:23:31	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xb43e29…
06-12 15:22:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x4d0b5a…
06-12 15:12:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	45¢	$23	0x11ff22…
06-11 21:13:52	Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x0242d6…
06-11 20:06:57	Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x42085f…
06-11 19:56:37	Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x80807d…