(anonymous) 0x78b339…a06dda
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
73.5%
Resolved
621
Trades
1,558
lifetime
Volume
$4.05K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$90
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 09-28 03:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Other
49% 77% -$31
Politics
30% 73% -$39
Crypto
12% 81% -$2
Tech
4% 64% +$33
Sports
4% 80% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +23 $12 66¢ $15 +$3 09-15 18:04
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +9 $3 62¢ $5 +$2 09-22 21:48
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 09-22 17:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +4 $2 92¢ $4 +$2 09-24 17:32
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +14 $1 24¢ $4 +$3 09-22 03:27
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 $0 09-24 07:58
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 09-16 20:37
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $6 38¢ $3 -$3 05-07 04:57
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 $0 09-22 21:48
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +7 $1 39¢ $3 +$2 06-24 12:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 09-16 21:58
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +3 $3 91¢ $3 $0 09-22 21:48
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +4 $3 70¢ $3 $0 09-22 21:48
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +3 $3 86¢ $3 $0 09-22 21:48
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-02 19:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-02 19:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-02 19:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $0 09-24 07:58
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 09-02 19:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-02 19:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-24 17:32
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 09-22 21:52
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $0 09-22 21:52
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $0 09-22 21:52
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $0 09-03 07:51
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +2 $1 78¢ $2 +$1 09-10 06:52
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 $0 09-16 22:25
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5 $1 29¢ $1 +$0 09-03 07:51
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 09-19 10:17
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +5 $2 21¢ $1 -$1 09-02 19:42