(anonymous) 0x78b339…a06dda Create alert
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$10
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
53.1%
Resolved (7d)
36
Trades (7d)
0
1,558 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$4.05K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$65
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 09-28 03:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Other
49% 76% -$30
Politics
30% 73% -$26
Crypto
12% 81% -$2
Tech
4% 64% +$33
Sports
4% 79% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +9 $3 68¢ $6 +$3 09-22 21:48
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 09-24 07:58
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 $0 09-22 21:48
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 $0 09-22 21:48
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 $0 09-22 21:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 09-16 21:58
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +4 $3 73¢ $3 $0 09-22 21:48
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5 $1 57¢ $3 +$2 09-03 07:51
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +3 $3 86¢ $3 $0 09-22 21:48
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +3 $3 89¢ $3 $0 09-22 21:48
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-02 19:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $0 09-02 19:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-24 07:58
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-02 19:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-02 19:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $0 09-02 19:42
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-22 21:52
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $0 09-22 21:52
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $0 09-22 21:52
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $0 09-03 07:51
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $6 22¢ $2 -$4 05-07 04:57
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +2 $1 76¢ $2 +$1 09-10 06:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 09-19 10:17
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 +$0 09-02 20:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 09-21 13:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 09-04 19:54
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 09-10 06:52
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-08 10:34
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-04 12:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 09-16 20:34