Realized P&L
+$2.02K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.16K
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
3,174
Trades
41,739
lifetime
Volume
$179.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$4.17K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 10-27 08:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
80% 51% +$1,105
Crypto
11% 56% +$612
Politics
8% 73% +$316
Sports
1% 41% -$23
Tech
0% 67% +$9
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 2473 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +817 $437 98¢ $803 +$366 10-26 09:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +445 $274 92¢ $411 +$138 10-25 21:56
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +309 $211 98¢ $302 +$92 10-23 20:00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +288 $158 84¢ $241 +$83 09-21 16:58
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +232 $137 98¢ $227 +$90 10-26 12:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +243 $121 81¢ $197 +$77 09-21 13:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +160 $120 100¢ $160 +$40 10-26 00:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +182 $114 86¢ $156 +$42 10-23 20:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +153 $101 94¢ $144 +$43 10-16 03:48
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +142 $78 96¢ $136 +$58 10-13 22:11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +130 $88 91¢ $119 +$31 10-02 10:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +100 $66 96¢ $96 +$30 10-19 12:08
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +100 $75 96¢ $96 +$20 10-23 17:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +90 $61 96¢ $87 +$26 10-23 22:09
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +100 $60 84¢ $84 +$24 10-05 12:08
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +90 $71 94¢ $84 +$13 10-21 21:26
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +97 $79 82¢ $80 +$1 10-26 16:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +125 $61 63¢ $79 +$18 10-23 09:31
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +81 $58 97¢ $78 +$20 10-22 06:30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +75 $49 89¢ $67 +$18 10-04 04:43
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +70 $46 88¢ $61 +$15 10-21 19:54
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +60 $47 99¢ $59 +$12 10-05 19:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +60 $42 94¢ $57 +$14 10-15 12:35
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +55 $45 100¢ $55 +$10 09-25 04:57
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +70 $45 77¢ $54 +$9 10-27 09:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +92 $47 55¢ $50 +$3 10-27 05:51
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +297 $122 16¢ $49 -$73 09-22 09:49
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +249 $120 19¢ $46 -$74 09-21 13:14
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +50 $36 92¢ $46 +$10 10-23 19:14
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +50 $44 88¢ $44 $0 10-25 00:17