Slight-Adjustment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$232

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 09-18 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

61% 97% +$8

Sports

25% 62% -$2

Crypto

14% 100% +$3

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$3.7K	1,830	1,830	+0	No	-$2	02-05 11:18
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$3.0K	1,538	1,530	+8	No	-$3	02-04 08:40
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 100 119	1	$1.9K	1,950	0	+1,950	No	+$2	02-06 06:25
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 120 139	3	$1.9K	1,945	0	+1,945	No	+$2	02-07 08:16
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 240 259	2	$1.8K	1,827	0	+1,827	No	+$2	02-05 11:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 9	1	$1.0K	1,030	0	+1,030	No	+$1	02-09 02:14
solana above 110 on february 9	1	$816	817	0	+817	No	+$2	02-09 02:16
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$240	120	120	+0	No	$0	02-06 06:20
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$115	116	0	+116	No	+$1	09-18 07:00
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	04-22 07:50
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$106	107	0	+107	No	+$1	06-04 13:35
will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 9	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	02-09 02:15
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 20 39	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	02-28 13:47
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	08-09 12:58
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-16 05:59
will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 9	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	02-09 02:15
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 20 39	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	01-29 07:31
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	01-29 07:30
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 0 19	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	02-10 05:53
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-23 13:50
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-20 14:23
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	07-23 13:50
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-16 05:58
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 740plus	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-29 07:31
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 140 159	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-28 13:47
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 20 39	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-10 05:53
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-04 13:19
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 240plus	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-16 05:58
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 60 79	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-10 05:52
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-29 07:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 07:00:04	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x6d7039…
09-16 01:13:31	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbd84d1…
09-16 01:12:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6f07e1…
08-09 12:58:31	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x70bced…
08-09 12:57:28	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x769fbe…
08-09 12:56:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x13f96c…
07-23 17:01:45	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xb03bcc…
07-23 13:51:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x2eec88…
07-23 13:50:54	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa14be6…
07-23 13:50:39	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb7bdd5…
07-23 13:50:27	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x01ba42…
06-04 13:35:10	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xe849cd…
06-04 13:19:24	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x71bba6…
06-04 13:19:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe2f6a6…
06-04 13:19:04	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x1a0cb9…
05-20 16:41:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x6f366a…
05-20 14:23:43	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xefa7df…
05-20 14:23:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x1ac8c0…
05-20 14:23:17	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x514ce2…
05-20 14:23:11	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x234393…
04-22 07:51:02	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xbcd17d…
04-22 07:50:52	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xf142cf…
04-22 07:50:42	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x824af3…
04-22 07:50:36	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x26e40d…
03-16 05:59:17	nba sas lac 2026 03 16	Spurs	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x3bb346…
03-16 05:59:07	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc9e949…
03-16 05:58:51	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 240plus	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7b0bbd…
03-16 05:58:31	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfb3e83…
03-16 05:58:17	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6bc7e0…
02-28 13:47:39	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 20 39	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xb33def…
02-28 13:47:31	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 140 159	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x315057…
02-28 13:47:11	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x636cc7…
02-10 05:54:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc40b2a…
02-10 05:53:23	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 20 39	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x14988e…
02-10 05:53:07	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 0 19	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0d2264…
02-10 05:52:55	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 60 79	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x56fac1…
02-09 02:16:09	solana above 110 on february 9	No	BUY	817	100¢	$816	0x5cde9c…
02-09 02:15:17	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 9	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaa787d…
02-09 02:15:09	will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 9	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x83c596…
02-09 02:14:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 9	No	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,029	0xb90e6c…
02-08 12:39:21	solana above 100 on february 8	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9fe76f…
02-07 08:16:19	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 120 139	No	BUY	562	100¢	$562	0x90be65…
02-07 06:13:07	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 120 139	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x454d06…
02-07 06:12:49	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 120 139	No	BUY	1,163	100¢	$1,162	0xf965fc…
02-07 06:12:19	ethereum above 2900 on february 9	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9cce10…
02-07 06:12:07	ethereum above 2600 on february 8	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e2672…
02-06 06:25:59	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 100 119	No	BUY	1,950	100¢	$1,948	0xb50670…
02-06 06:20:41	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x3b40b2…
02-05 11:22:41	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 240 259	No	BUY	827	100¢	$826	0x5bff8a…
02-05 11:20:37	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 240 259	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x801aab…
02-05 11:18:03	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	1,830	100¢	$1,827	0x823ea4…
02-05 06:23:01	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	1,830	100¢	$1,828	0x06a97c…
02-05 06:22:45	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x3d9241…
02-04 08:40:16	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1,530	99¢	$1,512	0x6e576d…
02-04 08:39:46	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2082f7…
02-04 03:35:48	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,538	99¢	$1,523	0x8603b0…
02-04 03:35:34	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1e141…
02-03 13:11:58	nba nyk was 2026 02 03	Knicks	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x291778…
02-03 13:09:22	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 740plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x762213…
02-03 13:09:10	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3061c3…
01-29 07:32:18	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd75d5b…
01-29 07:32:04	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 740plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1f5253…
01-29 07:31:52	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 20 39	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd4328f…
01-29 07:31:42	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 740plus	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x12f12c…
01-29 07:31:30	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 260 279	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3fc6b0…
01-29 07:31:14	will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8b9ab6…
01-29 07:31:04	will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd2025…
01-29 07:30:56	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x78088a…