Sorrowful-Freedom-County — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$180

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

43.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$451

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 07-30 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

67% 50% -$116

Politics

16% 0% -$70

Tech

13% 80% +$5

Crypto

4% 46% -$1

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes		+8	$5	29¢	$2	-$3	07-22 03:00
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes		+7	$1	8¢	$1	$0	07-29 06:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$92	629	0	+629	No	-$92	05-14 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 12?	6	$69	40	40	+0	No	+$9	05-12 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	7	$39	51	29	+22	No	-$17	05-13 06:34
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$30	62	0	+62	No	-$30	05-12 08:47
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$30	77	0	+77	No	-$30	05-12 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?	3	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-13 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?	3	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	05-13 06:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	07-16 08:15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	-$2	07-18 02:31
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 12?	3	$13	241	0	+241	No	-$13	05-12 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 12?	2	$11	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 04:11
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$10	18	0	+18	No	-$10	05-13 02:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	05-13 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?	2	$7	14	14	+0	Yes	-$3	05-13 06:30
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	1	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$1	06-06 04:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	+$3	06-06 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 19?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	07-18 02:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	07-22 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-22 02:57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 24?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-23 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$3	11	0	+11	Down	-$3	07-30 02:47
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	07-18 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:35 UTC	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	-$2	07-30 02:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:30 UTC	1	$2	8	0	+8	Down	-$2	07-30 02:31
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 12?	1	$2	18	0	+18	No	-$2	05-11 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	07-29 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	07-30 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	07-29 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:15 UTC	1	$1	11	0	+11	Up	-$1	07-30 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:50 UTC	1	$1	7	0	+7	Down	+$6	07-30 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 02:51:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4f8a8c…
07-30 02:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xb8a085…
07-30 02:38:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x213e95…
07-30 02:31:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x0f0f93…
07-30 02:21:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x18ff9c…
07-30 02:18:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4f2e80…
07-30 02:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xfb1ae9…
07-29 06:15:33	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa718a9…
07-29 06:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9ed118…
07-29 06:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5991f9…
07-29 04:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x642787…
07-29 04:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3605db…
07-29 04:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3c8cf0…
07-29 04:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc1fee7…
07-29 03:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x868acd…
07-23 07:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7a113a…
07-22 22:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xda774c…
07-22 03:00:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x697e77…
07-22 02:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x582ff3…
07-18 22:40:49	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6e9b18…
07-18 02:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0cac1b…
07-18 02:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 19?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1dca8a…
07-18 02:31:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xc989c5…
07-16 08:15:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x39719b…
07-02 20:51:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xdbeea0…
07-02 20:50:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xa2dcb9…
06-06 04:05:33	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x2f8844…
06-06 04:05:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x828923…
05-14 11:32:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xc1565a…
05-13 10:10:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe22483…
05-13 10:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x390ea1…
05-13 06:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8c350d…
05-13 06:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x11432f…
05-13 06:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb69a6e…
05-13 06:32:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x9c5002…
05-13 06:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1b4d83…
05-13 06:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x107b1c…
05-13 06:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb31152…
05-13 06:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	No	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x53bfb4…
05-13 06:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	No	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xed87b4…
05-13 04:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1ad5b2…
05-13 03:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd497fb…
05-13 02:02:37	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x976b6e…
05-13 00:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	16	40¢	$6	0x8e2988…
05-12 23:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xef2b53…
05-12 23:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x30b13e…
05-12 08:49:25	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xbdcba9…
05-12 08:47:28	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x8439f8…
05-12 05:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 12?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x7f6cfa…
05-12 05:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x5c7624…
05-12 04:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	171	6¢	$10	0x15833b…
05-12 04:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0x91bad5…
05-12 04:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x6c4175…
05-12 02:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 12?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x1656e0…
05-12 02:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 12?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xdb1f32…
05-12 01:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 12?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x63c199…
05-12 01:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 12?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdc11e0…
05-12 00:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc88bfe…
05-11 09:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x0d5c69…
05-11 09:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xd02058…
05-11 08:34:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	600	15¢	$90	0xbbe624…