Realized P&L (90d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
47
6,807 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$202
$22.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$111
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-28 20:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Crypto
73% 40% +$786
Other
21% 45% -$501
Sports
5% 38% -$299
Politics
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 95¢ $19 +$0 10-28 12:27
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 93¢ $19 +$0 10-28 16:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +16 $14 92¢ $15 +$1 10-27 11:06
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 10-24 16:24
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +15 $12 66¢ $10 -$2 10-28 20:38
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-28 07:22
Trump out as President before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-26 11:48
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +10 $9 89¢ $9 +$0 10-23 17:24
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No +6 $6 92¢ $6 $0 10-26 10:20
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 10-21 13:13