Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
44.2%
Resolved
738
Trades
6,815
lifetime
Volume
$22.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$109
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-29 21:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Crypto
73% 40% +$786
Other
21% 45% -$501
Sports
5% 38% -$299
Politics
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 93¢ $19 +$0 10-28 16:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +16 $14 94¢ $15 +$1 10-27 11:06
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No +12 $11 89¢ $11 $0 10-29 17:41
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 10-24 16:24
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +21 $16 49¢ $10 -$6 10-29 11:43
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-28 07:22
Trump out as President before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-26 11:48
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$0 10-29 21:30
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +10 $9 89¢ $9 +$0 10-23 17:24
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 10-21 13:13
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +10 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 10-29 20:28