Thin-Nuke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

459

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-05 21:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

69% 100% +$2

Crypto

25% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$6

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes		+6	$1	14¢	$1	$-0	06-05 21:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	6	$102	110	110	+0	open	—	03-13 15:41
will mrbeasts latest video get less than 45 million views on week 1 366	8	$102	70	70	+0	open	—	02-23 13:22
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	12	$81	221	5	+216	open	—	02-27 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4AM ET	6	$72	291	180	+111	open	—	04-25 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6AM ET	6	$58	292	0	+292	open	—	04-25 10:42
btc updown 15m 1775823300	15	$45	100	47	+53	open	—	04-10 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET	2	$45	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 09:39
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	10	$41	97	93	+4	open	—	04-23 18:24
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	4	$28	62	48	+14	open	—	02-10 05:49
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 18c	4	$27	20	19	+1	open	—	04-23 15:04
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	4	$24	63	63	+0	open	—	02-05 22:50
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	11	$20	382	0	+382	open	—	03-22 14:01
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	2	$20	50	50	+0	open	—	02-08 18:08
btc updown 15m 1775825100	3	$20	100	0	+100	open	—	04-10 12:54
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	3	$19	139	139	+0	open	—	02-06 13:31
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 248	3	$17	1,964	982	+982	open	—	03-07 21:24
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$15	138	128	+10	No	+$4	04-15 04:37
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	5	$15	19	19	+0	open	—	02-24 18:26
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	2	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	02-03 09:37
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	10	$13	70	0	+70	open	—	04-10 15:42
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	3	$13	1,219	0	+1,219	open	—	02-10 05:40
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	3	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	02-27 14:00
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	2	$13	24	24	+0	open	—	02-04 21:26
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$13	23	23	+0	No	+$3	04-16 04:53
btc updown 5m 1772388900	3	$12	33	0	+33	open	—	03-01 18:20
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	4	$12	17	17	+0	open	—	03-06 13:37
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 3am et	4	$11	10	8	+2	open	—	04-04 08:00
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	4	$11	39	0	+39	open	—	03-12 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2AM ET	4	$11	110	10	+100	open	—	04-25 07:01
will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	4	$10	89	8	+81	open	—	02-27 21:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 21:45:49	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4ae270…
05-09 22:07:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x2f0aa3…
04-29 22:40:48	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	Michael	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2d368c…
04-27 18:24:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x35f203…
04-26 08:50:06	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	Michael	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xcd809c…
04-26 07:08:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x52223e…
04-25 19:36:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x180f0a…
04-25 13:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xed96f6…
04-25 13:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xebd75d…
04-25 13:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xa6be65…
04-25 13:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x8f7e4d…
04-25 13:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x80e204…
04-25 13:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x74b271…
04-25 13:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x41a478…
04-25 13:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x11850f…
04-25 11:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x131820…
04-25 11:17:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xe4bebe…
04-25 11:16:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x108e28…
04-25 11:08:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x6b5e42…
04-25 10:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xc3183d…
04-25 10:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0xa8084a…
04-25 10:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x9c9c4f…
04-25 10:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	76	14¢	$11	0x9550c2…
04-25 10:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xd8a59a…
04-25 10:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	80	30¢	$24	0xcf9920…
04-25 09:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xacb4c9…
04-25 09:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x7082f3…
04-25 08:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd32a1e…
04-25 08:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	180	21¢	$38	0x7bb198…
04-25 08:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x4765cd…
04-25 08:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x017c4b…
04-25 08:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	70	23¢	$16	0x201ff7…
04-25 08:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x21d7c3…
04-25 07:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xd0a4aa…
04-25 07:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xfca985…
04-25 07:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa94c64…
04-25 07:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb42662…
04-25 06:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x738b3e…
04-25 06:14:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x72e76a…
04-25 06:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd0409a…
04-25 06:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9c274f…
04-25 05:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x59855b…
04-25 05:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xa233ea…
04-25 05:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x418e74…
04-25 05:44:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xabf778…
04-25 05:42:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xd7afed…
04-24 19:43:48	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x7e6cc9…
04-24 16:15:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd8c497…
04-24 08:54:46	btc updown 5m 1777020600	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0fc19f…
04-24 08:48:10	btc updown 5m 1777020300	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcf0532…
04-24 07:14:02	btc updown 5m 1777014600	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x18d140…
04-24 06:58:18	btc updown 5m 1777013700	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0de37f…
04-24 06:58:16	btc updown 5m 1777013700	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x267bcd…
04-24 06:51:44	btc updown 5m 1777013400	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x219ec4…
04-23 18:24:48	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	27	48¢	$13	0xde2333…
04-23 15:04:04	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x04be87…
04-23 05:25:04	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0x644311…
04-23 04:35:04	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x959535…
04-23 04:34:54	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0x27d2b1…
04-23 04:34:42	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xd4014e…
04-23 04:33:58	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xd2ddb8…
04-23 04:27:32	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x4ba9e7…
04-22 12:27:20	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x26ae41…
04-22 04:58:44	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x275ad4…
04-22 04:53:50	btc updown 5m 1776833400	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xf05210…
04-22 04:49:38	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x5c4497…
04-22 04:47:36	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0037f4…
04-21 17:40:34	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xac7b97…
04-21 17:40:08	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd4c31a…
04-21 11:45:24	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xdac072…
04-21 04:32:02	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x170aba…
04-20 22:25:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x141b4f…
04-20 20:32:16	btc updown 5m 1776717000	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x4c12ee…
04-20 17:38:58	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x65cbd7…
04-20 12:42:22	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xac8171…
04-20 12:19:04	btc updown 5m 1776687300	Down	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xa0d65c…
04-20 07:17:10	will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2ac3d1…
04-19 17:03:28	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x16bd23…
04-19 10:01:26	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x539030…
04-19 05:58:48	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xbadf5d…
04-19 05:49:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xed3a0f…
04-19 05:48:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x1a7883…
04-19 00:50:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeb8b60…
04-18 16:46:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x0adc88…
04-17 21:42:52	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xc5d999…
04-16 04:53:26	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	23	34¢	$8	0x89f15c…
04-15 20:51:20	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0x0485d7…
04-15 18:33:18	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 15m and 20m	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8cbf53…
04-15 18:30:58	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be greater than 20m	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x9cdd98…
04-15 18:28:40	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be greater than 20m	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xad2c67…
04-15 18:24:30	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 15m and 20m	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x051e6c…
04-15 08:10:38	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x11cf4d…
04-15 04:37:18	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x11bab1…
04-14 18:10:12	Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?	No	BUY	1,100	0¢	$1	0x207a25…
04-14 12:36:45	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x497bba…
04-14 09:36:11	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x64f509…
04-13 19:31:59	Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdb5a1a…
04-12 16:44:49	btc updown 15m 1776011400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4455fc…
04-12 07:50:59	will house tour get 15 million or more views in the first week	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x546853…
04-12 07:30:01	btc updown 15m 1775978100	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfd380b…