Impossible-Acorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.4%

Resolved

Trades

479

lifetime

Volume

$41.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-04 03:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

44% 25% $-1

Other

32% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Politics

11% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	12	$839	478	478	+0	open	—	04-05 06:04
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	8	$796	402	402	+0	open	—	04-20 18:53
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	8	$768	388	388	+0	open	—	04-27 21:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	7	$767	387	387	+0	open	—	03-27 05:04
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$752	377	377	+0	open	—	02-18 02:48
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	7	$748	377	377	+0	open	—	02-24 23:19
will adam scott win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$740	375	375	+0	open	—	03-30 14:48
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$713	362	362	+0	open	—	04-17 15:09
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	6	$679	354	354	+0	open	—	04-06 10:26
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$676	340	340	+0	open	—	04-08 16:40
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$639	320	320	+0	open	—	03-16 06:28
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$584	293	293	+0	open	—	04-19 15:22
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	4	$579	291	291	+0	open	—	02-11 21:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	4	$562	282	282	+0	open	—	03-15 03:54
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$538	287	287	+0	open	—	03-09 16:14
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$524	262	262	+0	open	—	03-21 06:02
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$522	194	331	-137	open	—	04-13 04:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	6	$512	260	260	+0	open	—	03-29 01:21
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	5	$487	278	278	+0	open	—	03-25 21:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	8	$475	253	253	-0	open	—	06-12 09:42
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	4	$469	241	241	+0	open	—	02-22 07:15
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	4	$464	238	238	+0	open	—	04-03 18:31
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	8	$460	263	263	+0	open	—	04-02 14:24
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$450	236	236	+0	open	—	04-23 23:47
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$445	236	236	+0	open	—	02-12 20:20
GTA VI released before June 2026?	7	$432	264	173	+91	open	—	05-26 05:59
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	5	$431	219	219	+0	open	—	04-07 21:30
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	4	$430	221	221	+0	open	—	04-07 11:41
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$420	211	211	+0	open	—	04-13 08:28
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$407	263	263	+0	open	—	04-18 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 03:13:59	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xcee769…
07-04 02:07:55	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xc3d188…
07-02 13:07:08	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x6c5725…
07-02 11:29:46	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x0d53cb…
06-28 18:51:16	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xa06877…
06-28 17:13:32	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xb1a7ea…
06-28 15:30:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0xaff56b…
06-28 13:40:07	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x39902f…
06-28 09:32:53	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0xce5fd6…
06-28 08:08:22	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x73e005…
06-27 02:16:28	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x4e7982…
06-27 00:56:26	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xb53a37…
06-26 22:27:16	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xe82f2a…
06-26 20:24:41	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x0907f0…
06-26 04:04:01	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x814929…
06-26 02:27:47	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x812847…
06-25 15:44:22	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x628ac0…
06-25 14:17:35	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x96145a…
06-24 23:51:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x049816…
06-24 22:06:22	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x7f897c…
06-21 00:13:17	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0x516f6c…
06-20 22:51:35	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0xfd53f2…
06-16 21:26:37	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x201742…
06-16 20:06:56	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x6cf634…
06-16 09:17:45	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	58	94¢	$55	0xe39b88…
06-16 08:14:00	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0xb78e5b…
06-15 07:57:48	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xa474c9…
06-15 06:02:33	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xcd3ef0…
06-13 04:47:21	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$56	0xe9e371…
06-13 03:34:19	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$56	0x50ff1a…
06-12 09:42:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	61	94¢	$57	0xc98e71…
06-12 07:33:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0xcf9d6e…
06-11 20:24:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	61	94¢	$57	0x1e708a…
06-11 18:26:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0x7fba4b…
06-03 19:52:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	65	94¢	$61	0x8bcaab…
06-03 17:43:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	65	94¢	$61	0xd9197e…
06-02 09:00:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	66	94¢	$62	0x4cf72a…
06-02 08:06:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0x95c5ed…
05-30 21:42:34	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0xbcf963…
05-30 20:53:13	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x65ff26…
05-30 06:47:03	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x5cccf2…
05-30 05:29:44	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xccd52d…
05-26 05:59:00	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x2521a2…
05-26 04:11:10	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xb7d4ef…
05-14 23:59:06	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x97a782…
05-14 22:50:44	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$74	0x505be3…
04-28 03:24:32	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0xf1f9db…
04-28 00:55:24	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0xb191e0…
04-27 23:13:10	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xe58b33…
04-27 21:53:38	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0xc4364f…
04-27 20:28:02	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x416d68…
04-27 18:34:38	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	85	97¢	$82	0x7ddcb7…
04-27 17:17:52	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	85	97¢	$83	0xacfe5e…
04-26 22:32:32	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	75	96¢	$72	0x5fc445…
04-26 20:54:02	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x7538ea…
04-26 19:03:20	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	87	95¢	$82	0x380bbc…
04-25 14:19:04	Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$83	0x9bd642…
04-25 12:54:56	Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$83	0x76f129…
04-25 07:24:36	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	89	94¢	$84	0xde6cb1…
04-25 06:03:28	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	89	94¢	$84	0x46fbcd…
04-24 06:17:12	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	87	98¢	$85	0xbc674c…
04-24 04:10:14	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0x48a3eb…
04-23 23:47:02	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	87	97¢	$85	0x8559dd…
04-23 21:58:14	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	87	97¢	$85	0x4b8deb…
04-23 03:21:00	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	91	95¢	$86	0xbef60c…
04-23 01:44:26	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	91	95¢	$86	0xd23f35…
04-23 01:44:16	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x6297e0…
04-23 00:09:26	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x24bd01…
04-22 22:45:28	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0xef7497…
04-22 22:45:20	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xea1604…
04-22 20:18:20	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0xd020e8…
04-22 18:39:24	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0xad667f…
04-22 06:30:22	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	90	97¢	$88	0x2d0f95…
04-22 04:45:02	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	90	97¢	$88	0xafcde0…
04-21 09:45:28	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0x028b4a…
04-21 07:59:46	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0xb7d045…
04-20 18:53:40	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xa442b2…
04-20 13:30:12	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xeecc13…
04-19 15:22:26	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$89	0x36f9df…
04-19 13:34:10	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$89	0x636c28…
04-18 08:24:36	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	119	76¢	$91	0x465ceb…
04-18 06:53:26	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	119	77¢	$91	0x40d117…
04-17 15:09:50	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x6aeb90…
04-17 13:44:06	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xb4459e…
04-17 08:04:32	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	94	98¢	$92	0xadbefa…
04-17 06:35:06	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0x6da806…
04-16 17:43:22	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x718d1a…
04-16 16:01:18	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0xc34b8c…
04-16 00:08:02	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x65a70c…
04-15 22:24:36	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	94	99¢	$94	0x095ac4…
04-14 23:24:40	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	120	78¢	$94	0x15b5d7…
04-14 21:42:24	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	120	78¢	$94	0xaeee2b…
04-14 16:10:37	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0xfeb34a…
04-14 14:18:55	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x002c5b…
04-14 09:39:19	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	97	98¢	$95	0xc509bf…
04-14 08:09:19	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	97	98¢	$95	0xa69f69…
04-14 04:13:57	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd95ede…
04-14 01:49:39	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	88	99¢	$88	0x535b88…
04-13 23:50:35	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0xff8559…
04-13 08:28:13	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x3991c0…