Realized P&L
-$12
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
815
lifetime
Volume
$2.49K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$85
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-30 23:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
61% 0% $-11
Other
26% 0% $-1
Sports
9%
Tech
4%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -18 $-15 86¢ $-16 $-1 06-13 14:04
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -16 $-11 84¢ $-14 $-2 06-07 19:42
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +30 $11 30¢ $9 $-2 06-23 23:04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +8 $6 94¢ $7 +$2 06-05 19:01
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +8 $6 74¢ $6 +$0 06-27 02:58
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$1 06-02 21:58
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $4 74¢ $5 +$0 06-04 04:21
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No -5 $-4 84¢ $-4 $-0 06-11 04:16
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +5 $3 71¢ $4 +$1 06-19 11:09
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $4 68¢ $3 $-0 06-25 18:36
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $4 22¢ $3 $-0 06-10 01:53
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +3 $3 85¢ $3 $-0 06-08 07:53
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +4 $2 65¢ $2 +$0 06-24 08:56
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +23 $6 $2 $-4 06-07 09:27
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-20 06:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +46 $3 $0 $-3 06-25 18:55