Realized P&L
-$12
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
516
lifetime
Volume
$1.87K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$74
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-10 00:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
64% 0% $-11
Other
22% 0% $-1
Sports
11%
Tech
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -16 $-11 72¢ $-11 $-0 06-07 19:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +10 $6 76¢ $8 +$2 06-03 06:26
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +8 $6 80¢ $7 +$1 06-04 07:53
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +23 $6 29¢ $7 +$1 06-07 09:27
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +8 $6 82¢ $6 +$0 06-05 19:01
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +6 $6 97¢ $6 +$0 06-07 20:06
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $4 74¢ $5 +$0 06-04 04:21
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +7 $5 66¢ $5 $-0 06-02 21:58
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 06-03 22:38
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $4 22¢ $3 $-0 06-10 01:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +5 $4 60¢ $3 $-1 06-08 07:53
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +3 $3 89¢ $3 +$0 06-08 07:53
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +4 $3 71¢ $3 $-0 06-04 23:09
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +19 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 20:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -10 $-1 11¢ $-1 $-0 06-08 13:18
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 01:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-09 07:50
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +56 $9 $0 $-9 06-06 07:30