Homely-Armchair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.28K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

1,601

Trades

13,771

lifetime

Volume

$106.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$76

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 05-06 18:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

49% 79% -$1,647

Crypto

30% 65% -$1,158

Sports

21% 59% -$1,378

Politics

0% 50% -$96

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-50	-$47	99¢	$-50	-$3	05-06 18:35
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	-28	-$15	74¢	$-20	-$5	05-06 18:35
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-34	-$9	16¢	$-5	+$3	05-06 18:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4,639	$4.7K	2,356	2,356	+0	Down	-$18	04-19 23:39
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,004	$3.7K	47,260	47,260	+0	No	-$1,512	04-20 00:28
lol we tt 2026 03 29	16	$2.6K	3,957	3,957	+0	Team WE	-$736	03-29 08:24
nba tor det 2026 03 31 spread home 3pt5	77	$1.9K	3,703	0	+3,703	Pistons	-$1,925	03-31 23:28
nba phi was 2026 04 01 spread away 14pt5	144	$1.4K	2,880	0	+2,880	76ers	+$1,440	04-01 22:57
lol hle1 bro2 2026 04 01	21	$1.4K	3,323	2,496	+827	Hanwha Life Esports	-$1,104	03-29 11:19
highest temperature in austin on march 27 2026 75forbelow	33	$1.1K	807	748	+59	No	-$71	03-25 16:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	129	$1.0K	513	512	+0	No	+$0	04-26 01:28
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	200	$904	2,292	2,292	+0	No	+$12	04-18 00:11
highest temperature in london on april 4 2026 15c	36	$884	1,321	0	+1,321	Yes	-$884	04-04 04:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	110	$872	436	436	+0	No	+$0	04-27 15:23
highest temperature in seattle on april 7 2026 54 55f	48	$690	832	0	+832	Yes	-$690	04-07 13:11
nba orl bos 2026 04 12	294	$588	692	0	+692	Celtics	-$588	04-12 21:59
nba bos nyk 2026 04 09 spread home 5pt5	275	$550	1,122	0	+1,122	Knicks	+$572	04-09 21:54
highest temperature in paris on april 4 2026 16c	22	$537	603	0	+603	No	+$66	04-04 03:48
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	13	$519	731	0	+731	Arizona Wildcats	+$213	03-29 00:34
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	245	$490	1,065	0	+1,065	Yes	-$490	04-14 18:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	61	$480	236	244	-8	No	$0	04-30 16:36
nba det okc 2026 03 30 spread home 11pt5	6	$476	898	0	+898	Pistons	-$476	03-30 23:51
nba tor det 2026 03 31	19	$475	1,159	0	+1,159	Pistons	-$475	03-31 22:34
highest temperature in atlanta on april 6 2026 70 71f	30	$468	561	0	+561	No	+$93	04-06 09:56
highest temperature in beijing on april 3 2026 22c	20	$465	556	0	+556	No	+$91	04-02 19:04
highest temperature in munich on april 3 2026 12c	19	$465	613	0	+613	No	+$149	04-03 02:06
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	2	$463	515	0	+515	Gen.G	+$51	03-16 12:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	58	$456	229	229	+0	No	+$0	04-30 16:37
nba orl phi 2026 04 15	218	$436	938	0	+938	76ers	-$436	04-16 00:22
highest temperature in wellington on april 4 2026 19c	19	$431	530	0	+530	No	+$98	04-03 16:25
highest temperature in nyc on april 3 2026 62 63f	17	$425	521	0	+521	No	+$96	04-03 00:09
highest temperature in wellington on april 6 2026 20c	18	$383	460	0	+460	No	+$77	04-05 17:56
highest temperature in wellington on april 4 2026 18c	15	$375	404	0	+404	No	+$29	04-03 14:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 18:35:59	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x2b99b6…
05-06 18:35:37	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x938ba3…
05-06 18:35:35	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	33	91¢	$31	0xdde1ca…
05-06 18:35:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0xa20980…
05-06 18:35:03	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	28	56¢	$15	0x21b75f…
05-06 18:34:53	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0xaa6b5d…
05-06 18:34:44	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x15fda3…
05-06 18:34:34	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	34	25¢	$9	0x5de889…
05-06 18:34:25	Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x2ccb75…
05-06 18:34:11	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x8be304…
05-06 15:26:58	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xbdae54…
05-05 10:22:42	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc3a5cb…
05-05 07:22:00	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x4e9ec0…
05-04 22:31:56	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x2c5491…
05-04 22:25:58	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xe7425b…
05-04 22:23:08	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x307449…
05-04 22:22:22	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x99a8c4…
05-04 22:19:52	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xf6f27d…
05-04 22:15:50	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xe5090c…
05-04 22:14:16	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x1334fd…
05-04 22:13:48	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x941658…
05-04 22:03:10	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x7d5aeb…
05-04 22:01:56	Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x59fbde…
05-04 21:58:34	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x9e4621…
05-04 21:57:34	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xe9192c…
05-04 21:56:10	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x964836…
05-04 21:54:42	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x38b069…
05-04 21:51:42	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0xed9950…
05-04 21:49:40	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe04fc9…
05-04 21:48:42	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x0f92b1…
05-04 21:47:30	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1e69a0…
05-04 21:34:58	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	378	78¢	$295	0x13e71e…
05-04 17:37:54	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xcc846c…
05-04 12:49:44	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xfdbb2e…
05-04 05:24:56	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x764a7f…
05-03 17:20:00	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x0a9843…
05-03 09:42:14	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x034b91…
05-02 14:25:44	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x88cfe7…
05-02 11:56:34	Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9c7831…
05-02 11:56:14	Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x457664…
04-30 16:37:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$228	0x449ff9…
04-30 16:36:46	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x555bf0…
04-30 16:36:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xefe0a0…
04-30 16:35:32	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xc45211…
04-29 02:10:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x85e3cf…
04-29 02:10:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x667f35…
04-29 02:10:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6040a9…
04-29 02:10:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x18653d…
04-29 02:10:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xefb433…
04-29 02:10:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd522b4…
04-29 02:10:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7c5d6f…
04-29 02:10:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4cca22…
04-29 02:10:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x62728e…
04-29 02:10:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x18dc73…
04-29 02:10:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x01eb8d…
04-29 02:10:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xefa99f…
04-29 02:10:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb379ff…
04-29 02:10:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x84c77f…
04-29 02:10:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0dd407…
04-29 02:10:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x019b83…
04-29 02:10:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xac3a4d…
04-29 02:10:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x70f989…
04-29 02:10:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0ff84e…
04-29 02:10:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbdeb04…
04-29 02:10:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x45074c…
04-29 02:10:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x38d2d6…
04-29 02:10:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1e714d…
04-29 02:10:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x057b11…
04-29 02:10:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x848aa2…
04-29 02:10:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7eca55…
04-29 02:10:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x47fae2…
04-29 02:10:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x32c29b…
04-29 02:10:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xaea1d4…
04-29 02:10:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x91d283…
04-29 02:10:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5a2d89…
04-29 02:10:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1505e3…
04-29 02:10:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcc8432…
04-29 02:10:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xca777a…
04-29 02:10:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x87b008…
04-29 02:10:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2a6b51…
04-29 02:10:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfb87fc…
04-29 02:10:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe9c25f…
04-29 02:10:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x76aeea…
04-29 02:10:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x108997…
04-29 02:10:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb268d5…
04-29 02:10:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb25458…
04-29 02:10:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x366438…
04-29 02:10:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x00e6b5…
04-29 01:49:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x22fea1…
04-29 01:01:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x94c56e…
04-29 00:44:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8545c6…
04-28 23:47:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x459949…
04-28 23:30:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf122bd…
04-28 23:26:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x102d34…
04-28 23:25:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0a4de4…
04-28 23:23:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2acede…
04-28 23:15:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe3f36d…
04-28 23:13:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa3bc5c…
04-28 23:12:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf5effd…
04-28 23:12:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xeea503…