Flippant-Casement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$171

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$135

Open exposure

$2.21K

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-11 11:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 0% $-171

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	-1,134	$-992	88¢	$-1003	$-11	06-11 07:42
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	-828	$-644	73¢	$-604	+$40	06-11 11:40
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	-874	$-584	67¢	$-589	$-5	05-31 10:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+38	$20	30¢	$11	$-8	05-27 21:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	15	$5.5K	8,820	1,379	+7,441	open	—	05-19 15:31
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	13	$1.3K	2,689	500	+2,189	open	—	05-15 00:43
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	3	$992	0	1,134	-1,134	open	—	06-11 07:42
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	6	$644	0	828	-828	open	—	06-11 11:40
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	1	$584	0	874	-874	open	—	05-31 10:24
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	17	$308	1,165	879	+285	open	—	05-22 23:25
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	3	$288	601	0	+601	open	—	05-19 17:17
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of May 11 2026?	5	$131	735	0	+735	Yes	$-131	05-12 09:58
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	4	$79	194	194	+0	open	—	05-12 10:03
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$73	187	0	+187	open	—	05-12 12:23
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	3	$48	100	100	+0	Down	$-40	05-12 16:57
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$48	100	0	+100	open	—	05-12 09:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	05-27 21:03
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 in May?	1	$0	0	0	+0	open	—	05-12 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 11:40:49	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x7b5b84…
06-11 07:44:04	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0x918fa5…
06-11 07:42:48	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	279	88¢	$245	0x825911…
06-11 06:51:16	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x8d6588…
06-11 06:27:48	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	439	78¢	$342	0x1e002f…
06-11 06:27:36	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	288	88¢	$253	0xe7e6cf…
06-09 18:21:36	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xa9d9d2…
06-09 05:11:51	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	166	77¢	$128	0x50828b…
06-09 05:11:42	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	567	87¢	$493	0xe093d1…
05-31 10:24:46	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	874	67¢	$584	0x54d369…
05-27 21:03:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xae336a…
05-22 23:25:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	533	4¢	$21	0x961d19…
05-19 17:17:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	No	BUY	300	53¢	$158	0x1b7a71…
05-19 15:31:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x31efa9…
05-18 19:12:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x16398e…
05-18 00:49:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	41	23¢	$9	0x0c46d7…
05-18 00:48:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0x69e6bf…
05-18 00:48:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x63f21b…
05-18 00:48:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0x4f25ba…
05-18 00:48:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0x3c5b9e…
05-18 00:48:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0x34d1c7…
05-18 00:40:17	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x3402cc…
05-18 00:40:17	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x2eeef9…
05-18 00:39:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	43	23¢	$10	0x37c253…
05-18 00:39:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x5eebea…
05-18 00:39:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x28b698…
05-15 00:43:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0x0cf66f…
05-14 16:40:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	783	53¢	$415	0xd8ce8a…
05-14 16:35:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc96160…
05-14 15:55:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0x3a89af…
05-13 12:57:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xcb6a56…
05-13 06:03:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	SELL	250	23¢	$58	0xba6293…
05-12 17:10:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	No	BUY	101	33¢	$34	0xef3a9e…
05-12 16:57:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	93	2¢	$1	0x5a0a56…
05-12 13:43:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xb340c9…
05-12 13:38:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	95	14¢	$13	0x532305…
05-12 13:37:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x5048ed…
05-12 12:23:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	187	39¢	$73	0xc2384c…
05-12 12:00:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	450	64¢	$288	0x6eac61…
05-12 12:00:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0xdcf892…
05-12 11:58:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	513	17¢	$87	0x9fd14b…
05-12 11:29:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	67	17¢	$11	0xa1353a…
05-12 11:26:17	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0x9a2cd2…
05-12 10:03:56	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	Yes	SELL	143	21¢	$30	0xe39f33…
05-12 10:02:46	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x33f4ef…
05-12 10:02:13	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	Yes	SELL	48	21¢	$10	0x771739…
05-12 09:58:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xf202b9…
05-12 09:49:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xf0a000…
05-12 09:40:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x02c60c…
05-12 09:13:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x95c3a7…
05-12 09:07:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x6ac1f2…
05-12 08:03:27	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 in May?	Yes	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x2320b8…
05-12 07:08:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xf3ae25…
05-12 06:54:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xe7d68b…
05-12 06:42:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	323	19¢	$61	0x90a640…
05-12 06:02:39	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x588a43…
05-12 05:11:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xe2740f…
05-12 05:08:15	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	194	20¢	$39	0xcf2116…
05-12 04:01:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	52	25¢	$13	0x9b3f07…
05-12 03:28:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x80edc5…
05-12 03:23:27	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x94dc3a…
05-12 00:17:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,165	18¢	$206	0x8c8a67…
05-11 23:26:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0x664831…
05-11 23:26:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	SELL	1,195	71¢	$851	0xe4c425…
05-11 04:04:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	135	63¢	$85	0x2c94dc…
05-10 22:27:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x9db26a…
05-10 21:14:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0xfcc413…
05-10 07:24:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	661	64¢	$423	0xfad959…
05-10 02:50:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x4b1fd0…
05-10 01:18:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	838	64¢	$536	0xc85122…
05-09 02:05:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	Yes	SELL	184	37¢	$68	0x761641…
05-09 02:03:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xb04cd6…
05-09 02:00:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,984	34¢	$1,001	0xf8f81a…
05-08 16:42:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	2,900	59¢	$1,703	0x00318a…